KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Sì 50%
Qualità del mercato
39 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
671,1 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
49.0% / 57.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
4 set 26, 16:00 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
If the US agrees to or announces a substantive federal action arising from its Smithsonian pressure campaign before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The White HouseU.S. Department of the InteriorNational Park Servicethe Associated PressReutersThe Washington PostABC News
- For this market, a qualifying action is limited to one of the following:
- A federal agency cancels, suspends, or refuses to renew an existing artifact loan to the Smithsonian.
- A federal agency cancels, suspends, or refuses to renew an existing procurement-assistance arrangement with the Smithsonian.
- A federal agency withholds, rescinds, suspends, or refuses a named discretionary grant to the Smithsonian, or imposes a new binding condition on that grant.
- The Department of the Interior or National Park Service installs any of the temporary Smithsonian-related signs or exhibits on National Park Service property ordered by Executive Order 14416.
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Trump take federal action against the Smithsonian??
- Kalshi quota Yes al 50% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Trump take federal action against the Smithsonian??
- Will Trump take federal action against the Smithsonian? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Trump take federal action against the Smithsonian??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the US agrees to or announces a substantive federal action arising from its Smithsonian pressure campaign before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.