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  1. Mercati Predittivi
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  3. Who will win the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?
Who will win the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?

Who will win the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?

91.3% (24h)One-OffPoliticaElezione
KalshiKalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione

Questo mercato si è risolto: Oh Se-hoon (100%)

Risolto: 4 giu 2026, 18:20

Esito Vincente

Oh Se-hoon

A 7 giorni

—

A 24 ore

10%

Sorpresa
Probabilità implicita attuale
Oh Se-hoon
Oh Se-hoon 100%+91.3%
In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualita del mercato

63 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

1,4K €

Liquidità

1,1K €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

99.3% / 99.9%

Spread

0.6%

Spread stretto
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 8 giorni fa

Obsoleto
16 dic 25, 15:003 giu 27, 14:00

Cronologia delle Probabilità

Chong Won-o1%
Oh Se-hoon3%
Park Ju-min1%
0%25%50%75%100%2 giu3 giu4 giu
Esito24hProbabilità
Chong Won-o
Chong Won-o
-93.4%
1%
Park Ju-min
Park Ju-min
-2.4%
1%
Oh Se-hoon
Oh Se-hoon
+91.3%
100%
Na Kyung-won
Na Kyung-won
0%
Seo Young-kyo
Seo Young-kyo
0%
Kim Min-seok
Kim Min-seok
0%

Questo mercato è chiuso. Il trading simulato è disponibile solo sui mercati aperti.

Regole

If Oh Se-hoon wins the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
  • The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority.
  • Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.
  • In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails.
  • The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first.

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Attivi in questi argomenti

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Regole

If Oh Se-hoon wins the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
  • The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority.
  • Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.
  • In cases of competing claims (two presidents, disputed succession), the individual recognized by the hierarchical majority of Source Agencies prevails.
  • The market remains open until the rescheduled election or two years from the original date, whichever comes first.