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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. Los Angeles mayoral election: 2nd place (1st round)
Los Angeles mayoral election: 2nd place (1st round)

Los Angeles mayoral election: 2nd place (1st round)

PoliticaOne-OffElezione11m
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Nithya Raman
Nithya Raman 99%
In testa tra 5 esiti
Qualita del mercato

71 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

53,8 €

Liquidità

5,7K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

99.0% / 100.0%

Spread

1.0%

Spread stretto
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 2 minuti fa

16 apr 26, 14:002 giu 27, 14:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Nithya Raman99%

Regole

If Nithya Raman finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
  • In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
  • Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
  • Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
  • If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.

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Regole

If Nithya Raman finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the Los Angeles mayoral election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
  • In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
  • Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
  • Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
  • If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.