KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 70%
Qualità del mercato
46 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
781,6 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
24.0% / 29.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
11 mar 26, 14:00 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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If any sitting member of the United States Congress has announced that they have changed or will change their political party affiliation after Mar 11, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This Payout Criterion includes a member switching from partisan affiliation to independent, or independent to a given political party.
- This Payout Criterion also includes a member of Congress announcing that they will run for the next Congressional office, or in another future political campaign, in a different party's primary.
- For purposes of this Contract, partisan affiliation encompasses national party affiliations, and does not encompass regional political party affiliation.
- For example, a member announcing that they intend to join the Democratic Party instead of the Democratic-Farmers-Labor Party will not satisfy the Payout Criterion.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will anyone else in Congress change parties in 2026??
- Kalshi quota No al 70% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will anyone else in Congress change parties in 2026??
- Will anyone else in Congress change parties in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will anyone else in Congress change parties in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If any sitting member of the United States Congress has announced that they have changed or will change their political party affiliation after Mar 11, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.