KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Z.ai 72%In testa tra 20 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualita del mercato
69 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
36,4K €
Liquidità
33,7K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
2.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 23 minuti fa
21 ago 26, 17:001 ott 26, 3:59
Trend
Regole
If Z.ai is confirmed as the developer of the Ox Alpha stealth AI model after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCBBCThe GuardianABC News AustraliaSouth China Morning PostCBCThe Verge
- Confirmation requires that the named company has itself publicly stated, or its official channels have confirmed, that it built or operates the model listed on OpenRouter as Ox Alpha.
- Relaunching or renaming the same model under the company's own brand counts.
- A company is identified by its corporate identity, not its product brand.
- Independent technical analysis, including tokenizer, benchmark or encoder fingerprinting, does not count however confident, unless the named company itself confirms.
- the named outcome is the outcome if no company is confirmed as described above, or the company so confirmed is not among those named in this event.
Mercati aperti
ExchangeKALSHIBTC price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,500 or above+96.0pt99%
- $74,500 or above+82.0pt99%
- $76,000 or above+93.0pt99%
+97 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 7,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 4,8 Mln €
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on August 22?
- 52,000+0.2pt100%
- 54,000+0.1pt100%
- 56,000+0.1pt100%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIETH price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,290 or above+33.0pt99%
- $2,250 or above+18.0pt99%
- $2,330 or above+53.0pt99%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 75,000 to 79,999.99+0.8pt12.1%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+3.7pt11.1%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99-1.1pt11.1%
+25 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIHow high will ETH get in August?
- Above $2,000.0099%
- Above $2,250.0097%
- Above $2,500.00+36.0pt78%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 386,2K €
KALSHIXRP price at Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $1.33991 or above+85.0pt99%
- $1.29991 or above+77.0pt99%
- $1.03991 or above+5.0pt99%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Bitcoin above ___ on August 23?
- Anthropic IPO by __?
- How low will BTC get in August?
- Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22?
- BTC price range on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- ETH price range on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Bitcoin above ___ on August 27?
- Ethereum above ___ on August 22?
- Bitcoin above ___ on August 24?
- SOL price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which company is behind Ox Alpha??
- Kalshi quota Z.ai al 72% al 22 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which company is behind Ox Alpha??
- Which company is behind Ox Alpha? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Which company is behind Ox Alpha??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Z.ai is confirmed as the developer of the Ox Alpha stealth AI model after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.