Probabilità implicita attuale
David Miliband 6%In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualita del mercato
52 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
518,1 €
Liquidità
2,9K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
3.0% / 5.0%
Spread
66.7%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 30 minuti fa
9 lug 26, 18:438 gen 27, 15:00
Trend
0%
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
David Miliband6%
Confronta le piattaforme· Ed Miliband
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMigliore in assoluto72% di corrispondenza · auto | Media | 55% | -1pt | 9,5K € | 172,2K € | 10 minuti fa | Apri → |
 KalshiQuesta pagina | Media | 0% | -56pt | 518,1 € | 2,9K € | 30 minuti fa | |
 Smarkets72% di corrispondenza · collegato | Bassa | 55% | -1pt | 418 € | 0 € | 30 minuti fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?
9.0%5m
+0.5%55%
50%
50%
+34 altri esiti
73 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale245,2K €
Volume 24h9,5K €
POLYMARKETDisponibile anche su Smarkets
Next Foreign Secretary In 2026
55%
40 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale3,3K €
Volume 24h418 €
SMARKETSRegole
If No new person formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded.
- For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity—as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held—is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.
- If Wes Streeting formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If David Miliband formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If John Healey formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Grandi operazioni
$1.2k67.0%POLYMARKETNo0x17ed…c08714 gg fa
POLYMARKETNo0x17ed…c08714 gg faTrend del volume
$5929 lug9g di dati17 lug
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If No new person formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded.
- For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity—as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held—is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.
- If Wes Streeting formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If David Miliband formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If John Healey formally holds the position of UK Foreign Secretary before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.