KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeJay Clayton 97.1%+0.2ptIn testa tra 23 esiti
Qualita del mercato
64 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
19K €
Liquidità
676,3K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 minuti fa
22 mag 26, 19:3520 gen 29, 15:00
Trend
0%
0%
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Jay Clayton99%
Confronta le piattaforme· Jay Clayton
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Media | 99% | — | 19K € | 676,3K € | 18 minuti fa | |
 PolymarketPiù attiva64% di corrispondenza · verificato | Bassa | 100% | — | 30,6K € | 0 € | 45 giorni fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?
6.2 ptsChiusi
Risolto
Other (100%)
100%
-11.4pt0%
-6.3pt0%
+48 altri esiti
29 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquidità
Volume totale187,6K €
Volume 24h30,6K €
POLYMARKETRegole
If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Aaron Lukas before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion.
- Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess appointment” are included, even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is John Ratcliffe before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Michael Ellis before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Richard Grenell before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Grandi operazioni
$3.0k94.7%KALSHIJay Clayton — Yes16 gg fa
KALSHIJay Clayton — Yes16 gg fa$3.7k94.6%KALSHIJay Clayton — Yes16 gg fa
KALSHIJay Clayton — Yes16 gg faTrend del volume
$21.6k2 lug27g di dati28 lug
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If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Aaron Lukas before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Acting and Interim holders of the office are not included in the Payout Criterion.
- Persons confirmed by the Senate to be that position, or appointed via a “recess appointment” are included, even if that recess appointment is later struck down as illegal.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is John Ratcliffe before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Michael Ellis before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first new person to be Director of National Intelligence is Richard Grenell before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.