Questo mercato si è risolto: Andy Burnham, ≥15% (99%)
Risolto: 19 giu 2026, 03:29
Probabilità implicita attuale
Andy Burnham, 3-6% 1%-17.0%In testa tra 10 esiti
Qualita del mercato
32 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
95,9 €
Liquidità
256,6 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto26 mag 26, 17:0018 giu 27, 14:00
Trend
1%
99%
2%
2%
1%
1%
Questo mercato è chiuso. Il trading simulato è disponibile solo sui mercati aperti.
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory
48.0%
+48.0%100%
-13.4%0%
-5.5%0%
+5 altri esiti
100 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione
Volume totale54,1K €
Volume 24h15,1K €
POLYMARKETRegole
If the margin of victory for Andy Burnham in the 2026 Makerfield by-election falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Andy Burnham minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Burnham if Andy Burnham wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Andy Burnham loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Andy Burnham minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Burnham if Andy Burnham wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Andy Burnham loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Andy Burnham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Andy Burnham wins, or the electoral votes received by Andy Burnham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Andy Burnham does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
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If the margin of victory for Andy Burnham in the 2026 Makerfield by-election falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Andy Burnham minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Burnham if Andy Burnham wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Andy Burnham loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Andy Burnham minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Burnham if Andy Burnham wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Andy Burnham loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Andy Burnham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Andy Burnham wins, or the electoral votes received by Andy Burnham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Andy Burnham does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.