Questo mercato si è risolto: Labour (99%)
Risolto: 19 giu 2026, 03:28
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Esito Vincente
Labour
A 7 giorni
—
A 24 ore
89%
ConsensoProbabilità implicita attualeLabour 95.2%+10.0ptIn testa tra 6 esiti
Qualita del mercato
39 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
144,1K €
Liquidità
9,2K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 38 giorni fa
Obsoleto16 mag 26, 11:301 gen 28, 15:00
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Labour99%
Reform UK9%
1%
95.2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Questo mercato è chiuso. Il trading simulato è disponibile solo sui mercati aperti.
Confronta le piattaforme· Labour
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMigliore in assoluto80% di corrispondenza · auto | Bassa | 100% | — | 4,4K € | 0 € | 37 giorni fa | Apri → |
 KalshiQuesta paginaPiù attiva | Bassa | 99% | — | 144,1K € | 9,2K € | 38 giorni fa | |
 Smarkets88% di corrispondenza · auto | Bassa | 90% | — | 0 € | 0 € | 38 giorni fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Smarkets
Makerfield By-Election - Winner
Chiusi
91.3%
8.4%
0.2%
14 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale0 €
Volume 24h0 €
SMARKETSDisponibile anche su Polymarket
Makerfield by-election Winner
12.9 ptsChiusi
Risolto
Andy Burnham (100%)
+12.9pt100%
0%
0%
+30 altri esiti
49 • Bassa qualitàSpread strettoBassa liquidità
Volume totale7,7 Mln €
Volume 24h4,4K €
POLYMARKETRegole
If the Labour party wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
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If the Labour party wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.