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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. Makerfield by-election winner?
Makerfield by-election winner?

Makerfield by-election winner?

One-OffPoliticaElezione1a
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Restore Britain
Restore Britain 1%
In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualita del mercato

52 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

467 €

Liquidità

3,5K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

1.0% / 2.0%

Spread

100.0%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 3 minuti fa

16 mag 26, 11:301 gen 28, 15:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Restore Britain1%

SmarketsDisponibile anche su Smarkets

Smarkets

Makerfield By-Election - Winner

Smarkets
Green
0.1%
Smarkets
Labour
82.6%
Smarkets
Reform UK
12.5%

+1 altri esiti

28 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale0 €
Volume 24h0 €
SmarketsSMARKETS

PolymarketDisponibile anche su Polymarket

Makerfield by-election Winner

Makerfield by-election Winner

0.1%6g
Andy Burnham
Andy Burnham
+2.0%87%
Robert Kenyon
Robert Kenyon
-2.0%13%
Rebecca Shepherd
Rebecca Shepherd
-0.1%2%

+30 altri esiti

89 • Alta qualitàSpread moderatoAlta liquidità
Volume totale2,8 Mln €
Volume 24h149,2K €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regole

If the Labour party wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
  • If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
  • For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
  • If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
  • For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.

I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.

Mercati Correlati

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California Governor Election Winner

2 Mln €
Xavier Becerra: 88%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
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Brazil Presidential Election

764K €
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Peru Presidential election winner?

Peru Presidential election winner?

9,7K €
Roberto Sánchez: 4%KalshiKALSHI
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

5,2K €
James Talarico: 1%KalshiKALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,867.10+2.52%EthereumETH$1,658.07+1.88%SolanaSOL$65.28+1.86%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.73%XRPXRP$1.12+0.74%BNBBNB$596.82+1.84%

Notizie Correlate

Former Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto NewsRussia election odds hold with United Russia leading at ~54.5%Blockchain.NewsPeru 2nd Round Bet Focus Narrows to Fujimori Narrow VictoryBlockchain.NewsBurnham Favored in Makerfield By-Election as Markets React to Rising OddsBlockchain.NewsCrypto PACs Shape Bets on Peru’s 2026 RaceBlockchain.NewsNew Defend Developers PAC targets key races with DeFi on the lineCrypto News

Regole

If the Labour party wins the 2026 Makerfield by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
  • If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
  • For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
  • If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
  • For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.