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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. Keir Starmer departure announced?
Keir Starmer departure announced?

Keir Starmer departure announced?

2.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticaEurope19g
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026 15%+2.0%
In testa tra 7 esiti
Qualita del mercato

44 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

118,1 €

Liquidità

6,2K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

15.0% / 17.0%

Spread

13.3%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 3 minuti fa

5 feb 26, 15:001 lug 26, 3:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Before Jul 1, 202615%

Regole

If Keir Starmer has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom or has actually left as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office.
  • Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official.
  • The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.
  • "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal.
  • Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office.

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Attivi in questi argomenti

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Regole

If Keir Starmer has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom or has actually left as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office.
  • Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official.
  • The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.
  • "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal.
  • Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office.