KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaQuesto mercato è chiuso e in attesa di una risoluzione confermata.
Dati di risoluzione non verificati
Questo esito è inferito o non supportato da prove di regolamento di livello provider.
Probabilità implicita attualeRuben Gallego 3%-2.0ptIn testa tra 9 esiti
Qualita del mercato
10 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
52,5 €
Liquidità
784 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
- / 100.0%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 25 giorni fa
Obsoleto14 apr 26, 16:001 lug 26, 3:59
Trend
3%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Questo mercato è chiuso. Il trading simulato è disponibile solo sui mercati aperti.
Confronta le piattaforme· Ruben Gallego
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Bassa | 3% | — | 52,5 € | 784 € | 25 giorni fa | |
 Manifold Markets82% di corrispondenza · auto | — | 0% | — | — | — | 19 giorni fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Who will leave Congress before July? (Kalshi)
Chiusi
Risolto
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (100%)
100%
0%
0%
+2 altri esiti
Previsione della comunità6 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegole
If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator before July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ruben Gallego must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to "No."
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
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If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator before July 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ruben Gallego must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- If the role otherwise ceases to exist with no plausible successor, the contract may resolve to "No."