KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Likud 39.8%In testa tra 21 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
32 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
7,5K €
Liquidità mediaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
28 ago 26, 22:00 UTC27 ott 27, 14:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
KalshiSwedish Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
KalshiNew Zealand Election 2nd Place (Polymarket)
Manifold MarketsBerlin State Election: 2nd Place
KalshiLatvian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketSão Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketRegole
If the named outcome finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Central Elections Committee
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order.
- Rank is based on Knesset seats, not national vote share, using the Central Elections Committee's final certified result rather than preliminary counts.
- A party or list awarded no seats cannot place 2nd.
- Joint candidate lists count as single entities.
- Their seats are not credited separately to constituent parties.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 606,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 721K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 411,2K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place?
- Kalshi quota Likud al 40% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place?
- Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place dovrebbe risolversi il 27 ottobre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the named outcome finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.