KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Democratic party 88.8%+66.0ptCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
76 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
30,1K €
Liquidità
18,7K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
87.0% / 89.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
14 ott 25, 14:003 nov 27, 15:00
Trend
Regole
If the House member sworn in for MO-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Library of Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance-3.0pt50%
- Marco Rubio17%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 600,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,9 Mln €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.7pt13%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 altri esiti
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez20%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mld €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt53.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt42.7%
- Renan Santos-0.6pt1.9%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.5pt36.8%
- Édouard Philippe29.5%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.7%
+38 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.8%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.8%
- Gavin Newsom12.9%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 181 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 390,2K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per MO-05 House winner??
- Kalshi quota Democratic party al 89% al 4 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve MO-05 House winner??
- MO-05 House winner? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato MO-05 House winner??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the House member sworn in for MO-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.