KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Above 400,000 jobs · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
Above 400,000 jobs 63.5%In testa tra 7 esiti
Above 400,000 jobs 63.5%Qualità del mercato
60 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
9,2K €
Open interest
1,9K USD
Open interest bassoBid / Ask
— / —
Above 400,000 jobsSpread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 27 minuti fa
4 ott 26, 23:00 UTC8 gen 27, 13:29 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Above 400,000 jobs
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many jobs added in October?
PolymarketWill US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceed 7,800 million dollars in December 2026?
ForecastExWill US retail sales for building material and garden eq. and supplies dealers exceed 40,800 million dollars in December 2026?
ForecastExWill US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceed 8,000 million dollars in December 2026?
ForecastExWill US retail sales for miscellaneous store retailers exceed 15,800 million dollars in December 2026?
ForecastExUS retail sales in October
KalshiRegole
If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 300,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market measures the net increase in U.S. retail trade payroll employment from September–December 2026 using BLS’s not-seasonally-adjusted “All employees, retail trade” series (CEU4200000001). The expiration value is the first published December 2026 level, converted from thousands to individual jobs, minus the fixed September baseline of 15,378,400 jobs. The initial December estimate is used even if labeled preliminary. Later corrections, revisions, and benchmark updates to either month are ignored. No additional rounding applies. The measure includes seasonal and nonseasonal jobs and reflects net employment growth, not gross hires or announced hiring plans.
Regole per ogni esito
- Above 400,000 jobs
- If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 400,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 350,000 jobs
- If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 350,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 300,000 jobs
- If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 300,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 550,000 jobs
- If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 550,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 450,000 jobs
- If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 450,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 500,000 jobs
- If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 500,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 600,000 jobs
- If the U.S. holiday-season net retail jobs added for September–December 2026 is above 600,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes.