KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attuale82° or above 19%In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualita del mercato
77 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
16K €
Liquidità
12,2K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
19.0% / 20.0%
Spread
5.3%
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
21 lug 26, 14:0023 lug 26, 8:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
82° or above19%
Confronta le piattaforme· 73° or below
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Alta | 29% | — | 16K € | 12,2K € | 9 minuti fa | |
 PolymarketPiù attiva86% di corrispondenza · auto | Media | 31% | — | 23,7K € | 48,2K € | 9 minuti fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 22?
14.0%8h
+11.0%31%
+9.8%20%
-14.0%20%
+8 altri esiti
73 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale24,2K €
Volume 24h23,7K €
POLYMARKETRegole
If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 22, 2026, is less than 74° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$18.3k21 lug2g di dati22 lug
Mercati Correlati
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FORECASTEXAttivi in questi argomenti
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If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 22, 2026, is less than 74° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.