KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attuale74° or above 10%In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualita del mercato
36 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
661,7 €
Liquidità
654,7 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
5.0% / 8.0%
Spread
60.0%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
15 lug 26, 14:0017 lug 26, 8:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
74° or above10%
Confronta le piattaforme· 68° to 69°
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMigliore in assoluto86% di corrispondenza · auto | Alta | 39% | — | 8,6K € | 47,7K € | 13 minuti fa | Apri → |
| KalshiQuesta pagina | Bassa | 36% | — | 661,7 € | 654,7 € | 13 minuti fa |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 16?
17h
39%
24%
21%
+8 altri esiti
100 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale8,6K €
Volume 24h8,6K €
POLYMARKETRegole
If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 16, 2026, is less than 66° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
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If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jul 16, 2026, is less than 66° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Data for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the "Observed Weather" tab, and choosing the location "San Francisco Airport" with Daily Climate Report selected.
- Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above.
- Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances.