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US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

2.5% (24h)3m
KalshiKalshiSolo residenti USAKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Qualita del mercato 55Qualita mediaMercato poco profondo196 pt di divergenza

Avvisi

Segui questo mercato per creare avvisi.

Supporto decisionale

Probabilità implicita attuale

Above 1.0% 89%

Qualita del mercato

55 / 100

Qualita media
Bid / Ask

89.0% / 90.0%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 6 minuti fa

Ultimo aggiornamento: 6 apr, 0:20

Risoluzione

30 lug 2026, 14:00

Volume 24h

142,7 €

Liquidità

2276,4 €

Spread

1.1%

Spread stretto
Variazione 7g

-

Bassa liquiditaMercato poco profondo
Inizio 24 gen 2026, 15:00Fine 30 lug 2026, 14:00

Trend

Nessun dato del grafico disponibile.
Esito24hProbabilità
Above 1.0%
Above 1.0%
-2.5%89%
Above 1.5%
Above 1.5%
-6.0%70%
Above 2.5%
Above 2.5%
-2.5%41%
Above 2.0%
Above 2.0%
-2.7%57%
Above 3.0%
Above 3.0%
-2.0%18%
Above 4.5%
Above 4.5%
-0.4%2%
Above 3.5%
Above 3.5%
-1.0%9%
Above 4.0%
Above 4.0%
-0.8%4%
Polymarket

Disponibile anche su Polymarket

196 pt di divergenza
KalshiKalshi
Ultimo aggiornamento: 6 minuti fa
Above 1.0%
89%
Above 1.5%
70%
Above 2.0%
57%
Above 2.5%
41%
Volume

4262,4 €

Volume 24h

142,7 €

Liquidità

2276,4 €

Spread: Spread strettoLiquidità: Bassa liquidita
Solo residenti USAKYC richiesto2% di commissioneRegola in USD
PolymarketPolymarket
Ultimo aggiornamento: 20 minuti fa
Above 1.0%
▼ 89pt-
Above 1.5%
▼ 70pt-
Above 2.0%
▼ 57pt-
Above 2.5%
▼ 41pt-
Volume

204.797,9 €

Volume 24h

841,8 €

Liquidità

18.798,8 €

Spread: Spread ampioLiquidità: Bassa liquidita
Non disponibile negli USASenza KYC2% di commissioneRegola in USDC
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.

Regole

If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.

  • The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q1 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.
  • If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 3.0, then the market resolves to Yes.

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