Who will drop out of their primary?

5.0% (24h)One-OffPolitica US Politics Elezione22g

KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativa

Probabilità implicita attuale

James Fishback 58%+5.0%

In testa tra 6 esiti

Qualita del mercato

80 / 100

Alta qualità

Volume 24h

2,3K €

Liquidità

25,3K €

Alta liquidità

Bid / Ask

56.0% / 59.0%

Spread

5.4%

Spread moderato

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 15 minuti fa

6 apr 26, 22:0018 ago 26, 3:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Chad Bianco

John Cornyn

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

James Fishback58%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

If James Fishback drops out of the 2026 Florida Governor primary before Aug 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

“Dropped out” means any of the following: James Fishback announces they are ending, suspending, or withdrawing from their campaign James Fishback files official withdrawal paperwork with relevant election authorities James Fishback publicly states they are no longer seeking the office James Fishback endorses another candidate while stating they are no longer running James Fishback is disqualified by election authorities or courts and does not appeal
The following do NOT constitute dropping out: Losing a primary or election Failing to qualify for debates or ballots Temporarily suspending campaign activities without withdrawing Being eliminated through the normal election process Reducing campaign activities while remaining a candidate
Key provisions: Once someone drops out per above criteria, the market resolves YES even if they later re-enter “Suspending” a campaign is treated as dropping out unless James Fishback explicitly states they remain a candidate For primary races, dropping out of the presidential race entirely counts as dropping out of that party’s primary Withdrawing from the race counts even if the person remains on the ballot
If Chad Bianco drops out of the 2026 California Governor primary before Jun 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
“Dropped out” means any of the following: Chad Bianco announces they are ending, suspending, or withdrawing from their campaign Chad Bianco files official withdrawal paperwork with relevant election authorities Chad Bianco publicly states they are no longer seeking the office Chad Bianco endorses another candidate while stating they are no longer running Chad Bianco is disqualified by election authorities or courts and does not appeal

Trend del volume

$2.6k

7 lug20g di dati26 lug

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Regole

If James Fishback drops out of the 2026 Florida Governor primary before Aug 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

“Dropped out” means any of the following: James Fishback announces they are ending, suspending, or withdrawing from their campaign James Fishback files official withdrawal paperwork with relevant election authorities James Fishback publicly states they are no longer seeking the office James Fishback endorses another candidate while stating they are no longer running James Fishback is disqualified by election authorities or courts and does not appeal
The following do NOT constitute dropping out: Losing a primary or election Failing to qualify for debates or ballots Temporarily suspending campaign activities without withdrawing Being eliminated through the normal election process Reducing campaign activities while remaining a candidate
Key provisions: Once someone drops out per above criteria, the market resolves YES even if they later re-enter “Suspending” a campaign is treated as dropping out unless James Fishback explicitly states they remain a candidate For primary races, dropping out of the presidential race entirely counts as dropping out of that party’s primary Withdrawing from the race counts even if the person remains on the ballot
If Chad Bianco drops out of the 2026 California Governor primary before Jun 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
“Dropped out” means any of the following: Chad Bianco announces they are ending, suspending, or withdrawing from their campaign Chad Bianco files official withdrawal paperwork with relevant election authorities Chad Bianco publicly states they are no longer seeking the office Chad Bianco endorses another candidate while stating they are no longer running Chad Bianco is disqualified by election authorities or courts and does not appeal

Who will drop out of their primary?

5.0% (24h)One-OffPolitica US Politics Elezione22g

KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativa

Probabilità implicita attuale

James Fishback 58%+5.0%

In testa tra 6 esiti

Qualita del mercato

80 / 100

Alta qualità

Volume 24h

2,3K €

Liquidità

25,3K €

Alta liquidità

Bid / Ask

56.0% / 59.0%

Spread

5.4%

Spread moderato

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 15 minuti fa

6 apr 26, 22:0018 ago 26, 3:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Chad Bianco

John Cornyn

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

James Fishback58%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

If James Fishback drops out of the 2026 Florida Governor primary before Aug 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

“Dropped out” means any of the following: James Fishback announces they are ending, suspending, or withdrawing from their campaign James Fishback files official withdrawal paperwork with relevant election authorities James Fishback publicly states they are no longer seeking the office James Fishback endorses another candidate while stating they are no longer running James Fishback is disqualified by election authorities or courts and does not appeal
The following do NOT constitute dropping out: Losing a primary or election Failing to qualify for debates or ballots Temporarily suspending campaign activities without withdrawing Being eliminated through the normal election process Reducing campaign activities while remaining a candidate
Key provisions: Once someone drops out per above criteria, the market resolves YES even if they later re-enter “Suspending” a campaign is treated as dropping out unless James Fishback explicitly states they remain a candidate For primary races, dropping out of the presidential race entirely counts as dropping out of that party’s primary Withdrawing from the race counts even if the person remains on the ballot
If Chad Bianco drops out of the 2026 California Governor primary before Jun 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
“Dropped out” means any of the following: Chad Bianco announces they are ending, suspending, or withdrawing from their campaign Chad Bianco files official withdrawal paperwork with relevant election authorities Chad Bianco publicly states they are no longer seeking the office Chad Bianco endorses another candidate while stating they are no longer running Chad Bianco is disqualified by election authorities or courts and does not appeal

Trend del volume

$2.6k

7 lug20g di dati26 lug

Mercati Correlati

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555,7K €

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%

POLYMARKET

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

452K €

Gadi Eizenkot: 52%

POLYMARKET

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

402,5K €

Gavin Newsom: 20%

POLYMARKET

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

144,1K €

James Fishback: 3%

KALSHI

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

104,3K €

Nithya Raman: 38%

KALSHI

South Dakota Republican Governor nominee?

59,5K €

Toby Doeden: 3%

KALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$64,493.09+0.99%

EthereumETH$1,881.75+1.51%

SolanaSOL$75.01+1.54%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0733+5.53%

XRPXRP$1.10+1.15%

BNBBNB$571.46+1.17%

Notizie Correlate

Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News

Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News

White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk

Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News

White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph

Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.News

Regole

If James Fishback drops out of the 2026 Florida Governor primary before Aug 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

“Dropped out” means any of the following: James Fishback announces they are ending, suspending, or withdrawing from their campaign James Fishback files official withdrawal paperwork with relevant election authorities James Fishback publicly states they are no longer seeking the office James Fishback endorses another candidate while stating they are no longer running James Fishback is disqualified by election authorities or courts and does not appeal
The following do NOT constitute dropping out: Losing a primary or election Failing to qualify for debates or ballots Temporarily suspending campaign activities without withdrawing Being eliminated through the normal election process Reducing campaign activities while remaining a candidate
Key provisions: Once someone drops out per above criteria, the market resolves YES even if they later re-enter “Suspending” a campaign is treated as dropping out unless James Fishback explicitly states they remain a candidate For primary races, dropping out of the presidential race entirely counts as dropping out of that party’s primary Withdrawing from the race counts even if the person remains on the ballot
If Chad Bianco drops out of the 2026 California Governor primary before Jun 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
“Dropped out” means any of the following: Chad Bianco announces they are ending, suspending, or withdrawing from their campaign Chad Bianco files official withdrawal paperwork with relevant election authorities Chad Bianco publicly states they are no longer seeking the office Chad Bianco endorses another candidate while stating they are no longer running Chad Bianco is disqualified by election authorities or courts and does not appeal