Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?
1.0 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffElezione1a
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
New Hampshire · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
New Hampshire 87.5%In testa tra 4 esiti
New Hampshire 87.5%Qualità del mercato
71 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
458,3 €
Open interest
40,7K USD
Open interest altoBid / Ask
— / —
New HampshireSpread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 minuti fa
27 lug 26, 17:07 UTC1 apr 28, 03:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · New Hampshire
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which state will host the first Democratic presidential primary in the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill New Hampshire schedule its 2028 presidential primary before South Carolina?
KalshiWho will win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic presidential primary?
Manifold MarketsConditional on this candidate winning the 2028 Democratic presidential primary, will they win the general election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 Republican presidential primary in New Hampshire?
PredictItRegole
If New Hampshire holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- A contest counts regardless of whether the Democratic National Committee sanctions, recognizes, or gives delegate effect to it. If multiple states vote on the same day, the market will resolve to 1 / N where N is the number of tied states. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Regole per ogni esito
- New Hampshire
- If New Hampshire holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Iowa
- If Iowa holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- South Carolina
- If South Carolina holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nevada
- If Nevada holds the earliest 2028 Democratic presidential contest administered by its election officials or the Democratic Party among the 50 states after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
