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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Bonds & Treasuries
  3. SOFR at end of Q2 2026
SOFR at end of Q2 2026

SOFR at end of Q2 2026

Bonds & TreasuriesQuarterly20g
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Above 3.75%
Above 3.75% 16%
In testa tra 3 esiti
Qualita del mercato

24 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

61,5 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

5.0% / 9.0%

Spread

80.0%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 7 minuti fa

1 apr 26, 14:001 lug 26, 11:55

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Above 3.75%16%

Regole

If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q2 2026 is above 3.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q2 2026 is above 4.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q2 2026 is above 5.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Mercati Correlati

UST par yield curve (3M) at end of Q2 2026

UST par yield curve (3M) at end of Q2 2026

0,3 €
Above 4.00%: 3%KalshiKALSHI
UST par yield curve (5Y) at end of Q2 2026

UST par yield curve (5Y) at end of Q2 2026

0 €
Above 3.50%: 96%KalshiKALSHI
UST par yield curve (30Y) at end of Q2 2026

UST par yield curve (30Y) at end of Q2 2026

0 €
Above 4.00%: 97%KalshiKALSHI
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

30,3 €
4.3%: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

0,9 €
Sì: 4%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

0 €
$39 trillion: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,978.79+2.54%EthereumETH$1,662.50+1.96%SolanaSOL$65.36+1.80%

Notizie Correlate

HashKey Group Joins HKMA’s Tokenised Bond Expert Group, Cementing Hong Kong’s Infrastructure PlayBlockchain ReporterJPMorgan, HSBC join Hong Kong tokenized bond working groupCrypto NewsHKMA Forms Tokenized Bond Expert Group to Advance MarketBlockchain.NewsBitwise model puts bitcoin fair value at $224,000 as sovereign-default hedgeCoindesk

Regole

If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q2 2026 is above 3.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q2 2026 is above 4.25%, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q2 2026 is above 5.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.