Probabilità implicita attuale
Count Binface Party 66.1%+4.0ptIn testa tra 15 esiti
Qualita del mercato
60 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
631,6 €
Liquidità
20,2K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
76.0% / 78.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
9 lug 26, 15:3013 ago 27, 14:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Count Binface Party78%
Confronta le piattaforme· Tony Mack
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMigliore in assoluto80% di corrispondenza · auto | Media | 1% | 0pt | 13,9K € | 285,1K € | 7 minuti fa | Apri → |
 KalshiQuesta pagina | Media | 1% | 0pt | 631,6 € | 20,2K € | 7 minuti fa |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Clacton by-election: 2nd place
1.5 pts11m
+1.5pt78%
50%
50%
+50 altri esiti
74 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoAlta liquidità
Volume totale261,8K €
Volume 24h13,9K €
POLYMARKETRegole
If Reform UK finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
- In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
- Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Grandi operazioni
$1.6k78.0%POLYMARKETWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? — YesStraddleSeller17 h fa
POLYMARKETWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? — YesStraddleSeller17 h fa$3.2k75.2%POLYMARKETWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? — Yesharrisonhohman84 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? — Yesharrisonhohman84 gg fa$2.8k94.4%POLYMARKETWill Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? — NoTest66912 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? — NoTest66912 gg fa$1.1k90.5%POLYMARKETWill Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? — Nogroth17 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? — Nogroth17 gg fa$1.2k80.6%POLYMARKETWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? — YesProfessionalPunter19 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? — YesProfessionalPunter19 gg faTrend del volume
$7199 lug19g di dati27 lug
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If Reform UK finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
- In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
- Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.