KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeBefore 2029 17%-3.0%In testa tra 4 esiti
Qualita del mercato
36 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
2K €
Liquidità
1,5K €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
16.0% / 20.0%
Spread
25.0%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 20 minuti fa
7 lug 26, 21:001 gen 29, 4:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Before 202917%
Trend del volume
$2.3k7 lug5g di dati12 lug
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If People's Republic of China agrees to or announces the formal abolition of the hukou household registration system nationwide before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal signing of treaties Parliamentary approval with binding effect Official ratification Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
- Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
- The following do NOT qualify:
- Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Regional actions (unless specified) Retraction of previously announced commitments