Probabilità implicita attuale
Alexander Dobrindt 1%In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualita del mercato
68 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1,3K €
Liquidità
22,6K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 minuti fa
21 lug 26, 17:488 gen 27, 15:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Alexander Dobrindt1%
Grandi operazioni
$1.7k90.0%
KALSHIThorsten Frei — Yesl’altro ieri
KALSHIThorsten Frei — Yesl’altro ieriTrend del volume
$1.5k21 lug6g di dati26 lug
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If Thorsten Frei formally holds the position of Chair of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group in the German Bundestag before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded.
- For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity—as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held—is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.
- If Carsten Linnemann formally holds the position of Chair of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group in the German Bundestag before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Alexander Dobrindt formally holds the position of Chair of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group in the German Bundestag before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Nina Warken formally holds the position of Chair of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group in the German Bundestag before Jan 1, 2027, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.