KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
By May 14, 2027 80%In testa tra 10 esiti
Qualità del mercato
53 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
3,4K €
Liquidità
7,2K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
6.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
24 ago 26, 22:45 UTC3 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $85000 starting Aug 24, 2026 and before Aug 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:CF Benchmarks
- The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation.
- The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values.
- If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves.
- If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.
- If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $85000 starting Aug 24, 2026 and before Sep 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.