KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Above $99,999.99 25%-1.0ptIn testa tra 7 esiti
Qualità del mercato
80 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
5,8K €
Liquidità
1,1 Mln €
Alta liquiditàSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 minuto fa
2 gen 26, 23:00 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $99999.99 starting 01/02/2026 06:00 PM and before Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:CF Benchmarks
- The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation.
- The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values.
- If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves.
- If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.
- If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $109999.99 starting 01/02/2026 06:00 PM and before Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 · 75,000 to 79,999.99 11%
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — Bitcoin price in 2026? · $80K 100%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? · ↓ 60,000 100%