KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 99%
Qualità del mercato
57 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
8,1 €
Liquidità
3,5K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
1.0% / 4.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
2 mar 26, 15:00 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Rolex release a steel GMT-Master II with a black and red Bezel this year?
KalshiWill Rolex release a new reference in titanium this year?
Kalshi$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketLargest Company end of December 2026?
PolymarketWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
KalshiRegole
If Patek releases a steel Nautilus reference to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Patek Philippe
Mercati aperti
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+1.0pt94%
- $50M+3.0pt89%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 482,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 422,4K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+18.0pt76.8%
- 65-89-3.5pt22.2%
- 90-114-3.3pt1%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA78.2%
- Apple+0.1pt13.9%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6 Mln €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt17.1%
- 200-219-1.0pt16.2%
- 160-179+2.0pt15.2%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIIllinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- Above 87.5 TWh97%
- Above 90.0 TWh+1.0pt96%
- Above 92.5 TWh+3.0pt95%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 113,7K €
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 189,6K €
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Largest Company end of September?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Patek release a steel Nautilus reference this year??
- Kalshi quota No al 99% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Patek release a steel Nautilus reference this year??
- Will Patek release a steel Nautilus reference this year? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Patek release a steel Nautilus reference this year??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Patek releases a steel Nautilus reference to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.