KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaQuesto mercato si è risolto: Conservative (99%)
Risolto: 19 giu 2026, 03:30
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Probabilità implicita attualeConservative 93.4%+81.0ptIn testa tra 7 esiti
Qualita del mercato
45 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
2,7K €
Liquidità
67,2 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 39 giorni fa
Obsoleto26 mag 26, 21:0018 giu 27, 14:00
Trend
93.4%
0.9%
1.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
Questo mercato è chiuso. Il trading simulato è disponibile solo sui mercati aperti.
Confronta le piattaforme· Conservative
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h
Disponibile anche su Smarkets
Aberdeen South By-Election - Winner
Chiusi
20.4%
0.2%
7 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale0 €
Volume 24h0 €
SMARKETS
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
2026 Aberdeen South By-Election Winner
85.5 ptsChiusi
Risolto
Douglas Lumsden (100%)
+85.5pt100%
-0.3pt0%
-85.0pt0%
+19 altri esiti
49 • Bassa qualitàSpread strettoBassa liquidità
Volume totale27,6K €
Volume 24h6,4K €
POLYMARKETRegole
If Labour wins the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
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If Labour wins the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.