GeminiDati verificati limitatiProbabilità implicita attuale
JD Vance 18.5%In testa tra 11 esiti
Qualita del mercato
48 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
103,5 €
Liquidità
0 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
18.0% / 19.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 minuti fa
19 feb 26, 18:2810 nov 28, 0:00
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
JD Vance19%
Confronta le piattaforme· JD Vance
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMigliore in assoluto80% di corrispondenza · collegato | Alta | 18% | -2pt | 375,5K € | 34,5 Mln € | 15 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Polymarket85% di corrispondenza · auto | Media | 20% | 0pt | 371,8K € | 44 Mln € | 15 minuti fa | Apri → |
| GeminiQuesta pagina | Bassa | 19% | -1pt | 103,5 € | 0 € | 15 minuti fa | |
 Futuur85% di corrispondenza · collegato | Bassa | 28% | +8pt | 0 € | 16K € | 15 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Myriad83% di corrispondenza · collegato | Bassa | 42% | +22pt | 0 € | 0 € | 15 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Smarkets85% di corrispondenza · collegato | Bassa | 18% | -2pt | 233,3 € | 0 € | 15 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Limitless91% di corrispondenza · auto | Bassa | 50% | +30pt | 0 € | 0 € | 15 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Manifold Markets85% di corrispondenza · collegato | — | 18% | -2pt | — | — | 15 minuti fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Limitless
Presidential Election Winner 2028
2a
50%
50%
50%
+4 altri esiti
22 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale14,6K €
Volume 24h0 €
LIMITLESSDisponibile anche su Polymarket
Presidential Election Winner 2028
2a
20%
-0.2pt12%
12%
+125 altri esiti
74 • Qualità mediaSpread strettoAlta liquidità
Volume totale588,9 Mln €
Volume 24h371,8K €
POLYMARKETDisponibile anche su Manifold Markets
2028 US Presidential Election winner?
2a
-0.3pt17.5%
16.5%
+0.2pt15.2%
+42 altri esiti
Previsione della comunità1008 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSDisponibile anche su Smarkets
2028 Presidential Election Winner
17.5%
10.9%
10%
+37 altri esiti
27 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquidità
Volume totale284,7K €
Volume 24h233,3 €
SMARKETSDisponibile anche su Futuur
US Presidential Election Winner in 2028
3m
28%
28%
26%
+2 altri esiti
42 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità
Volume totale0 €
Volume 24h0 €
FUTUURDisponibile anche su Myriad
US Presidential Election Winner 2028
5.7 pts2a
-0.1pt41.6%
-0.1pt19.8%
+0.2pt10.8%
+28 altri esiti
30 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale0 €
Volume 24h0 €
MYRIADDisponibile anche su Kalshi
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
0.5 pts3a
17%
17%
11.3%
+27 altri esiti
89 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquidità
Volume totale48 Mln €
Volume 24h375,5K €
KALSHIRegole
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
- This market will resolve on whether JD Vance wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
- The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions]().
- Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for JD Vance.
- If all three sources have not called the race for JD Vance by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is inaugurated.
- If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
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Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
- This market will resolve on whether JD Vance wins the 2028 US Presidential Election scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
- The resolution source for this market will be a combination of Tertiary Sources described in the contract's [Terms & Conditions]().
- Specifically, this market will resolve to YES once all three of the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have called the race for JD Vance.
- If all three sources have not called the race for JD Vance by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is inaugurated.
- If no candidate is inaugurated on January 20, 2029, this market will resolve to YES if JD Vance is reported by the FEC to be the winner as of that date or as soon thereafter as the FEC reports a winner, until November 7, 2029, at which point the contract will resolve to the last fair traded price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.