FutuurVerifica disponibilitàDati di risoluzione verificatiProbabilità implicita attuale
No 87%
No 87%Qualità del mercato
32 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
800,7 €
Bassa liquiditàTrader
9
Commenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
This event predicts whether Donald Trump’s net favorability will be positive on December 20, 2026, as calculated by RealClearPolitics’ Poll Average.
- For this market, net favorability is defined as the percentage approving minus the percentage disapproving.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be the RealClearPolitics poll average published on its official website for that date.
- If the net favorability value (Approve minus Disapprove) is greater than 0.0 on December 20, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- If the RealClearPolitics page is unavailable or ambiguous on that date, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on archived versions or consistent reporting from major news organizations citing the RCP average.