d4:I[722312,["/_next/static/chunks/0b_hufo18irrd.js","/_next/static/chunks/0ecrerv89-lg8.js","/_next/static/chunks/0smv1nkszkr4i.js","/_next/static/chunks/0fni_a62njz98.js","/_next/static/chunks/1bannnv8_mv21.js","/_next/static/chunks/2mc413lygcost.js","/_next/static/chunks/2c5v52mxzxrac.js","/_next/static/chunks/31jmzv2fz46eg.js","/_next/static/chunks/028erzt73qc4s.js","/_next/static/chunks/17qw_tuzr3njt.js"],"default"] d5:T4ab,If the minimum temperature recorded at Atlanta (CLIATL) for Sep 3, 2026, is between 76-77° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.d6:T63d,This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.d7:T4a9,If the minimum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for Sep 3, 2026, is between 78-79° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.d8:T627,This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.d9:T4ac,If the minimum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) for Sep 3, 2026, is greater than 78° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.da:T63b,This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.db:T4ad,If the minimum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Sep 3, 2026, is greater than 78° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.dc:T630,This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.dd:T4aa,If the minimum temperature recorded at Dallas (CLIDFW) for Sep 3, 2026, is between 75-76° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.de:T626,This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.df:T4ab,If the minimum temperature recorded at Houston (CLIHOU) for Sep 3, 2026, is between 75-76° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.e0:T62d,This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.e1:T4aa,If the minimum temperature recorded at Denver (CLIDEN) for Sep 3, 2026, is between 55-56° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.e2:T62d,This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.e3:T4b1,If the minimum temperature recorded at Los Angeles (CLILAX) for Sep 3, 2026, is greater than 65° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.e4:T636,This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.e5:T4b3,If the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Sep 3, 2026, is greater than 59° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.e6:T638,This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.e7:T4ab,If the minimum temperature recorded at Seattle (CLISEA) for Sep 3, 2026, is between 53-54° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.e8:T639,This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.e9:T454,This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026. The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question. The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.ea:T5fa,Interval BTC price prediction event expiring on September 4, 2026 at 5pm ET If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $77,500 or above on September 4, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_BTCUSD_60S index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_227f8e79-2af6-40f9-9a0c-a8297696e7ab.pdf). If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $77,000 or above on September 4, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_BTCUSD_60S index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_227f8e79-2af6-40f9-9a0c-a8297696e7ab.pdf). If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $76,500 or above on September 4, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_BTCUSD_60S index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_227f8e79-2af6-40f9-9a0c-a8297696e7ab.pdf). Settlement oracle: Kaiko (GRR-KAIKO_RFR_BTCUSD_60S).eb:T5f1,Interval ETH price prediction event expiring on September 4, 2026 at 5pm ET If the price of Ether (ETH) is $2,400 or above on September 4, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_ETHUSD_60S index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/eth_85f0a235-ae29-41c2-b6dc-b67623d1bce6.pdf). If the price of Ether (ETH) is $2,440 or above on September 4, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_ETHUSD_60S index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/eth_85f0a235-ae29-41c2-b6dc-b67623d1bce6.pdf). If the price of Ether (ETH) is $2,360 or above on September 4, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_ETHUSD_60S index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/eth_85f0a235-ae29-41c2-b6dc-b67623d1bce6.pdf). Settlement oracle: Kaiko (GRR-KAIKO_RFR_ETHUSD_60S).ec:T5ed,Interval SOL price prediction event expiring on September 4, 2026 at 5pm ET If the price of Solana (SOL) is $99 or above on September 4, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_SOLUSD_60S index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/sol_291553b9-adca-406a-96e8-2321adeaf9fb.pdf). If the price of Solana (SOL) is $100 or above on September 4, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_SOLUSD_60S index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/sol_291553b9-adca-406a-96e8-2321adeaf9fb.pdf). If the price of Solana (SOL) is $101 or above on September 4, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_SOLUSD_60S index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/sol_291553b9-adca-406a-96e8-2321adeaf9fb.pdf). Settlement oracle: Kaiko (GRR-KAIKO_RFR_SOLUSD_60S).ed:T5d5,Interval XRP price prediction event expiring on September 4, 2026 at 5pm ET If the price of XRP is $1.38 or above on September 4, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_XRPUSD_60S index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/xrp_caa54661-46a4-48ef-832e-abaa1eb844ae.pdf). If the price of XRP is $1.36 or above on September 4, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_XRPUSD_60S index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/xrp_caa54661-46a4-48ef-832e-abaa1eb844ae.pdf). If the price of XRP is $1.4 or above on September 4, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_XRPUSD_60S index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/xrp_caa54661-46a4-48ef-832e-abaa1eb844ae.pdf). Settlement oracle: Kaiko (GRR-KAIKO_RFR_XRPUSD_60S).ee:T9cf,↑ $790 · ↓ $765 · ↓ $755 · ↑ $795 · ↓ $745 · ↑ $780 · ↓ $760 · ↓ $735 · ↑ $785 · ↓ $750 · ↑ $800 · ↑ $775.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of August 31 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.

Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.

Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)

If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

ef:T719,Interval WTI price prediction event expiring on September 4, 2026 at 5pm ET If the price of Oil (WTI) is $78 or above on September 4, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_WTIUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [WTIOIL-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:CL) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/wti_oil_bb9688a8-b518-47d3-b55b-ae6d83753268.pdf). If the price of Oil (WTI) is $93 or above on September 4, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_WTIUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [WTIOIL-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:CL) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/wti_oil_bb9688a8-b518-47d3-b55b-ae6d83753268.pdf). If the price of Oil (WTI) is $81 or above on September 4, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_WTIUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [WTIOIL-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:CL) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/wti_oil_bb9688a8-b518-47d3-b55b-ae6d83753268.pdf). Settlement oracle: kaiko-equities (KK_RFR_WTIUSDC).f0:T753,Interval Brent price prediction event expiring on September 4, 2026 at 5pm ET If the price of Oil (Brent) is $96 or above on September 4, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_BRENTOILUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [BRENTOIL-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:BRENTOIL) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/brent_oil_facb4f65-1d38-4473-9ab0-af5e5f6a6f7c.pdf). If the price of Oil (Brent) is $99 or above on September 4, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_BRENTOILUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [BRENTOIL-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:BRENTOIL) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/brent_oil_facb4f65-1d38-4473-9ab0-af5e5f6a6f7c.pdf). If the price of Oil (Brent) is $90 or above on September 4, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the KK_RFR_BRENTOILUSDC index. This index provides a 60 second average of the [BRENTOIL-USDC](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/xyz:BRENTOIL) price. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/brent_oil_facb4f65-1d38-4473-9ab0-af5e5f6a6f7c.pdf). Settlement oracle: kaiko-equities (KK_RFR_BRENTOILUSDC).24:[["$","script",null,{"id":"pm-calendar-breadcrumbs","type":"application/ld+json","dangerouslySetInnerHTML":{"__html":"{\"@context\":\"https://schema.org\",\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"CoinRithm\",\"item\":\"https://www.coinrithm.com/it\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Mercati Predittivi\",\"item\":\"https://www.coinrithm.com/it/mercati-predittivi\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":3,\"name\":\"Calendario dei Mercati Predittivi\",\"item\":\"https://www.coinrithm.com/it/mercati-predittivi/calendario\"}]}"}}],["$","script",null,{"id":"pm-calendar-collection","type":"application/ld+json","dangerouslySetInnerHTML":{"__html":"{\"@context\":\"https://schema.org\",\"@type\":\"CollectionPage\",\"name\":\"Calendario dei Mercati Predittivi\",\"description\":\"Esplora i prossimi cluster di catalizzatori costruiti da corrispondenze approvate tra fonti e famiglie di mercati dello stesso giorno.\",\"url\":\"https://www.coinrithm.com/it/mercati-predittivi/calendario\",\"inLanguage\":\"it\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https://www.coinrithm.com/#website\"}}"}}],["$","$Ld4",null,{"locale":"it","hubPath":"/it/mercati-predittivi","templatesPath":"/it/mercati-predittivi/modelli","catalystPathPrefix":"/it/mercati-predittivi/catalizzatore","initialResponse":{"data":[{"slug":"2026-09-04-lowest-temperature-in-atlanta-on-sep-3-2026-c1kezu","title":"Lowest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 3, 2026","startDate":"2026-09-02T07:29:27.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T05:00:00.000Z","contentUpdatedAt":"2026-09-03T15:22:09.635Z","linkedEventCount":2,"sourceCount":2,"sources":[{"id":"kalshi","name":"Kalshi","icon":"/predictionmarkets/kalshi.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Exchange order book","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true},{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true}],"primaryTopic":null,"linkage":{"methods":["approved_match"],"approvedMatchPairCount":1,"approvedMatchEventCount":2,"sameFamilyEventCount":0},"previewEvents":[{"id":"KXLOWTATL-26SEP03","slug":"kxlowtatl-26sep03","title":"Lowest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 3, 2026?","description":"$d5","image":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTATL.webp","status":"open","startDate":"2026-09-02T14:00:00.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T05:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":4157.7300000000005,"volume24h":3320.4900000000002,"liquidity":3582.55,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTATL-26SEP03-B76.5","name":"76° to 77°","probability":99,"priceChange24h":37,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTATL.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTATL-26SEP03-B76.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":91.67},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTATL-26SEP03-T70","name":"69° or below","probability":3,"priceChange24h":2,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTATL.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTATL-26SEP03-T70","color":null,"normalizedProbability":2.78},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTATL-26SEP03-B70.5","name":"70° to 71°","probability":3,"priceChange24h":2,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTATL.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTATL-26SEP03-B70.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":2.78},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTATL-26SEP03-T77","name":"78° or above","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-27,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTATL.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTATL-26SEP03-T77","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.93},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTATL-26SEP03-B72.5","name":"72° to 73°","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-11,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTATL.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTATL-26SEP03-B72.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.93},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTATL-26SEP03-B74.5","name":"74° to 75°","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-8,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTATL.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTATL-26SEP03-B74.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.93}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"normalized_complete_book","rawSum":108,"overroundPoints":8},"priceChange24h":37,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":0.98,"bestAsk":1,"spread":2,"spreadPoints":2.0000000000000018,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":63,"qualityTier":"medium","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"moderate","liquidityTier":"medium","volumeTier":"medium","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":false,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":6,"externalUrl":"https://kalshi.com/markets/KXLOWTATL","source":{"id":"kalshi","name":"Kalshi","icon":"/predictionmarkets/kalshi.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Exchange order book","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"KXLOWTATL"},"directRelatedCoins":[],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":118260,"probabilityDelta":129,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":129,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":99,"maxOutcomeLabel":"76° to 77°","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":17,"bookStructureA":"independent","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":false},"otherSourceId":"polymarket","otherSourceName":"Polymarket","otherEventSlug":"lowest-temperature-in-atlanta-on-september-4-2026","otherEventTitle":"Lowest temperature in Atlanta on September 4?"}},{"id":"952372","slug":"lowest-temperature-in-atlanta-on-september-4-2026","title":"Lowest temperature in Atlanta on September 4?","description":"$d6","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-atlanta-on-december-5--dClj_prA8Ny.jpg","status":"open","startDate":"2026-09-02T07:29:27.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T12:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":177.982466,"volume24h":177.982466,"liquidity":2813.8072,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"81316472680974849651699640046539639154919899025988875390042444654654252195836","name":"76-77°F","probability":40,"priceChange24h":-3,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-atlanta-on-december-5--dClj_prA8Ny.jpg","tokenId":"81316472680974849651699640046539639154919899025988875390042444654654252195836","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"93195713975470814384009540169649466358582919170245528254714469376857628754425","name":"74-75°F","probability":32,"priceChange24h":-11,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-atlanta-on-december-5--dClj_prA8Ny.jpg","tokenId":"93195713975470814384009540169649466358582919170245528254714469376857628754425","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"63067016325083206112334774364869079187566592877562111392712593732010567220979","name":"72-73°F","probability":25,"priceChange24h":8,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-atlanta-on-december-5--dClj_prA8Ny.jpg","tokenId":"63067016325083206112334774364869079187566592877562111392712593732010567220979","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"24628056968365890350051128895925726879923058932787953940742950010898822685549","name":"78-79°F","probability":11,"priceChange24h":1,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-atlanta-on-december-5--dClj_prA8Ny.jpg","tokenId":"24628056968365890350051128895925726879923058932787953940742950010898822685549","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"20071282765260005769121038044840448752814614399967582834268283095803927951590","name":"70-71°F","probability":10,"priceChange24h":1,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-atlanta-on-december-5--dClj_prA8Ny.jpg","tokenId":"20071282765260005769121038044840448752814614399967582834268283095803927951590","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"42480722611325775152702092938707774989899510781228450984746110375541795228888","name":"80-81°F","probability":9,"priceChange24h":1,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-atlanta-on-december-5--dClj_prA8Ny.jpg","tokenId":"42480722611325775152702092938707774989899510781228450984746110375541795228888","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"6052474935791776526555608430624629751350197117364547922926642663474457715298","name":"68-69°F","probability":8,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-atlanta-on-december-5--dClj_prA8Ny.jpg","tokenId":"6052474935791776526555608430624629751350197117364547922926642663474457715298","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"12156824702046165733053409518393219291799114410365910630798874352260939681825","name":"67°F or below","probability":7,"priceChange24h":2,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-atlanta-on-december-5--dClj_prA8Ny.jpg","tokenId":"12156824702046165733053409518393219291799114410365910630798874352260939681825","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"87200875291300410031756480501152241070242031993586411722522695113597305755815","name":"86°F or higher","probability":4,"priceChange24h":0.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-atlanta-on-december-5--dClj_prA8Ny.jpg","tokenId":"87200875291300410031756480501152241070242031993586411722522695113597305755815","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"6499480910622571999483355363216254781917899801733801032300080241510867551564","name":"82-83°F","probability":3,"priceChange24h":-4.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-atlanta-on-december-5--dClj_prA8Ny.jpg","tokenId":"6499480910622571999483355363216254781917899801733801032300080241510867551564","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"92240287761374452121062866655630869576034116213941711217431821600319020516258","name":"84-85°F","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-6.85,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-atlanta-on-december-5--dClj_prA8Ny.jpg","tokenId":"92240287761374452121062866655630869576034116213941711217431821600319020516258","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"raw_quotes","rawSum":150,"overroundPoints":null},"priceChange24h":2,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":0.14,"spread":null,"spreadPoints":null,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":32,"qualityTier":"low","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"unknown","liquidityTier":"medium","volumeTier":"low","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":true,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":11,"externalUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-atlanta-on-september-4-2026","source":{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"atlanta-daily-lowest-temperature"},"directRelatedCoins":[],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":118260,"probabilityDelta":129,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":129,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":99,"maxOutcomeLabel":"76° to 77°","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":17,"bookStructureA":"independent","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":false},"otherSourceId":"kalshi","otherSourceName":"Kalshi","otherEventSlug":"kxlowtatl-26sep03","otherEventTitle":"Lowest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 3, 2026?"}}]},{"slug":"2026-09-04-lowest-temperature-in-miami-on-sep-3-2026-1psxgd","title":"Lowest temperature in Miami on Sep 3, 2026","startDate":"2026-09-02T07:29:33.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T05:00:00.000Z","contentUpdatedAt":"2026-09-04T00:27:42.723Z","linkedEventCount":2,"sourceCount":2,"sources":[{"id":"kalshi","name":"Kalshi","icon":"/predictionmarkets/kalshi.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Exchange order book","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true},{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true}],"primaryTopic":null,"linkage":{"methods":["approved_match"],"approvedMatchPairCount":1,"approvedMatchEventCount":2,"sameFamilyEventCount":0},"previewEvents":[{"id":"KXLOWTMIA-26SEP03","slug":"kxlowtmia-26sep03","title":"Lowest temperature in Miami on Sep 3, 2026?","description":"$d7","image":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTMIA.webp","status":"open","startDate":"2026-09-02T14:00:00.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T05:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":11476.820000000002,"volume24h":11007.31,"liquidity":10059.23,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTMIA-26SEP03-B76.5","name":"76° to 77°","probability":99,"priceChange24h":72,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTMIA.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTMIA-26SEP03-B76.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":94.29},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTMIA-26SEP03-T74","name":"73° or below","probability":2,"priceChange24h":-1,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTMIA.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTMIA-26SEP03-T74","color":null,"normalizedProbability":1.9},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTMIA-26SEP03-B78.5","name":"78° to 79°","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-34,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTMIA.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTMIA-26SEP03-B78.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.95},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTMIA-26SEP03-B74.5","name":"74° to 75°","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-8,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTMIA.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTMIA-26SEP03-B74.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.95},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTMIA-26SEP03-B80.5","name":"80° to 81°","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-11,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTMIA.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTMIA-26SEP03-B80.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.95},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTMIA-26SEP03-T81","name":"82° or above","probability":1,"priceChange24h":0,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTMIA.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTMIA-26SEP03-T81","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.95}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"normalized_complete_book","rawSum":105,"overroundPoints":5},"priceChange24h":-34,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":0.01,"spread":null,"spreadPoints":null,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":49,"qualityTier":"low","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"unknown","liquidityTier":"medium","volumeTier":"high","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":false,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":6,"externalUrl":"https://kalshi.com/markets/KXLOWTMIA","source":{"id":"kalshi","name":"Kalshi","icon":"/predictionmarkets/kalshi.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Exchange order book","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"KXLOWTMIA"},"directRelatedCoins":[],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":118261,"probabilityDelta":109.5,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":109.5,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":99,"maxOutcomeLabel":"76° to 77°","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":17,"bookStructureA":"exclusive","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":true},"otherSourceId":"polymarket","otherSourceName":"Polymarket","otherEventSlug":"lowest-temperature-in-miami-on-september-4-2026","otherEventTitle":"Lowest temperature in Miami on September 4?"}},{"id":"952373","slug":"lowest-temperature-in-miami-on-september-4-2026","title":"Lowest temperature in Miami on September 4?","description":"$d8","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-miami-on-december-5-fjW5d7xet1Aq.jpg","status":"open","startDate":"2026-09-02T07:29:33.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T12:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":2672.77965,"volume24h":2105.097986,"liquidity":7996.19784,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"3143182491343509174963105387645662409698323772568736766683468659800022113660","name":"80-81°F","probability":44,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-miami-on-december-5-fjW5d7xet1Aq.jpg","tokenId":"3143182491343509174963105387645662409698323772568736766683468659800022113660","color":null,"normalizedProbability":38.6},{"externalMarketId":"112378560443042177045638100279005548781658646522923383673832596597662126669613","name":"78-79°F","probability":38,"priceChange24h":10,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-miami-on-december-5-fjW5d7xet1Aq.jpg","tokenId":"112378560443042177045638100279005548781658646522923383673832596597662126669613","color":null,"normalizedProbability":33.33},{"externalMarketId":"114116577706201936868763963764033441449333704441868881774184930767739225841510","name":"82-83°F","probability":16,"priceChange24h":-4,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-miami-on-december-5-fjW5d7xet1Aq.jpg","tokenId":"114116577706201936868763963764033441449333704441868881774184930767739225841510","color":null,"normalizedProbability":14.04},{"externalMarketId":"53760115209636889276580109862895990205003228740154046422637311734315389032175","name":"76-77°F","probability":5,"priceChange24h":-1,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-miami-on-december-5-fjW5d7xet1Aq.jpg","tokenId":"53760115209636889276580109862895990205003228740154046422637311734315389032175","color":null,"normalizedProbability":4.39},{"externalMarketId":"77633502958259773749188196897696658424140672950069740838705066478108620887384","name":"84-85°F","probability":4,"priceChange24h":-0.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-miami-on-december-5-fjW5d7xet1Aq.jpg","tokenId":"77633502958259773749188196897696658424140672950069740838705066478108620887384","color":null,"normalizedProbability":3.51},{"externalMarketId":"94717489912356893576849105662301831138550702515573171008018202715421977404650","name":"74-75°F","probability":3,"priceChange24h":-5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-miami-on-december-5-fjW5d7xet1Aq.jpg","tokenId":"94717489912356893576849105662301831138550702515573171008018202715421977404650","color":null,"normalizedProbability":2.63},{"externalMarketId":"35162876698194936826538101910662108073405306049086597866336533674859848446762","name":"73°F or below","probability":2,"priceChange24h":-2.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-miami-on-december-5-fjW5d7xet1Aq.jpg","tokenId":"35162876698194936826538101910662108073405306049086597866336533674859848446762","color":null,"normalizedProbability":1.75},{"externalMarketId":"63104383860855918100139347283590673486335862572042803433480570509532248474733","name":"86-87°F","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-6.05,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-miami-on-december-5-fjW5d7xet1Aq.jpg","tokenId":"63104383860855918100139347283590673486335862572042803433480570509532248474733","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.88},{"externalMarketId":"32273798247642199980324883160680293901170682125609400134544467762320869138705","name":"88-89°F","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-0.3,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-miami-on-december-5-fjW5d7xet1Aq.jpg","tokenId":"32273798247642199980324883160680293901170682125609400134544467762320869138705","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.88},{"externalMarketId":"15310317155236433498192452875116726701397112169157341577839786342982265551726","name":"90-91°F","probability":0,"priceChange24h":-0.8,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-miami-on-december-5-fjW5d7xet1Aq.jpg","tokenId":"15310317155236433498192452875116726701397112169157341577839786342982265551726","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0},{"externalMarketId":"73157387424201705770666006522263905338533611589555664424514129443663612544242","name":"92°F or higher","probability":0,"priceChange24h":-0.75,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-miami-on-december-5-fjW5d7xet1Aq.jpg","tokenId":"73157387424201705770666006522263905338533611589555664424514129443663612544242","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"normalized_complete_book","rawSum":114,"overroundPoints":14},"priceChange24h":-4,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":0.11,"bestAsk":0.21,"spread":10,"spreadPoints":10,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":42,"qualityTier":"low","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"wide","liquidityTier":"medium","volumeTier":"medium","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":true,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":11,"externalUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-miami-on-september-4-2026","source":{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"miami-daily-lowest-temperature"},"directRelatedCoins":[],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":118261,"probabilityDelta":109.5,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":109.5,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":99,"maxOutcomeLabel":"76° to 77°","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":17,"bookStructureA":"exclusive","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":true},"otherSourceId":"kalshi","otherSourceName":"Kalshi","otherEventSlug":"kxlowtmia-26sep03","otherEventTitle":"Lowest temperature in Miami on Sep 3, 2026?"}}]},{"slug":"2026-09-04-lowest-temperature-in-austin-on-sep-3-2026-1s1m5k","title":"Lowest temperature in Austin on Sep 3, 2026","startDate":"2026-09-02T07:29:58.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T06:00:00.000Z","contentUpdatedAt":"2026-09-03T09:12:10.739Z","linkedEventCount":2,"sourceCount":2,"sources":[{"id":"kalshi","name":"Kalshi","icon":"/predictionmarkets/kalshi.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Exchange order book","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true},{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true}],"primaryTopic":null,"linkage":{"methods":["approved_match"],"approvedMatchPairCount":1,"approvedMatchEventCount":2,"sameFamilyEventCount":0},"previewEvents":[{"id":"KXLOWTAUS-26SEP03","slug":"kxlowtaus-26sep03","title":"Lowest temperature in Austin on Sep 3, 2026?","description":"$d9","image":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTAUS.webp","status":"open","startDate":"2026-09-02T14:00:00.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T06:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":4380.97,"volume24h":3397.76,"liquidity":3168.4500000000003,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTAUS-26SEP03-T78","name":"79° or above","probability":94,"priceChange24h":66,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTAUS.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTAUS-26SEP03-T78","color":null,"normalizedProbability":88.68},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTAUS-26SEP03-B77.5","name":"77° to 78°","probability":8,"priceChange24h":-21,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTAUS.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTAUS-26SEP03-B77.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":7.55},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTAUS-26SEP03-B75.5","name":"75° to 76°","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-28,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTAUS.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTAUS-26SEP03-B75.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.94},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTAUS-26SEP03-T71","name":"70° or below","probability":1,"priceChange24h":0,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTAUS.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTAUS-26SEP03-T71","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.94},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTAUS-26SEP03-B71.5","name":"71° to 72°","probability":1,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTAUS.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTAUS-26SEP03-B71.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.94},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTAUS-26SEP03-B73.5","name":"73° to 74°","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-8,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTAUS.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTAUS-26SEP03-B73.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.94}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"normalized_complete_book","rawSum":106,"overroundPoints":6},"priceChange24h":66,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":0.85,"bestAsk":0.94,"spread":9,"spreadPoints":8.999999999999996,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":47,"qualityTier":"low","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"wide","liquidityTier":"medium","volumeTier":"medium","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":false,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":6,"externalUrl":"https://kalshi.com/markets/KXLOWTAUS","source":{"id":"kalshi","name":"Kalshi","icon":"/predictionmarkets/kalshi.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Exchange order book","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"KXLOWTAUS"},"directRelatedCoins":[],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":118263,"probabilityDelta":164,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":164,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":94,"maxOutcomeLabel":"79° or above","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":17,"bookStructureA":"independent","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":false},"otherSourceId":"polymarket","otherSourceName":"Polymarket","otherEventSlug":"lowest-temperature-in-austin-on-september-4-2026","otherEventTitle":"Lowest temperature in Austin on September 4?"}},{"id":"952375","slug":"lowest-temperature-in-austin-on-september-4-2026","title":"Lowest temperature in Austin on September 4?","description":"$da","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/austin-b18a80e4a0.jpg","status":"open","startDate":"2026-09-02T07:29:58.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T12:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":463.149278,"volume24h":463.149278,"liquidity":3385.7211,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"25144252470983586205900380822200560584257494327615843727379991896080907455573","name":"76-77°F","probability":37,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/austin-b18a80e4a0.jpg","tokenId":"25144252470983586205900380822200560584257494327615843727379991896080907455573","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"3474666865952721958146394851282671156340531246556794531569093655211570956475","name":"74-75°F","probability":31,"priceChange24h":-0.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/austin-b18a80e4a0.jpg","tokenId":"3474666865952721958146394851282671156340531246556794531569093655211570956475","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"33586575309122356366809559676800370325515025803427066092672405163856873580913","name":"69°F or below","probability":30,"priceChange24h":-1.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/austin-b18a80e4a0.jpg","tokenId":"33586575309122356366809559676800370325515025803427066092672405163856873580913","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"18570748148766154597688993431882847589377496689281500902955405122012995444462","name":"72-73°F","probability":27,"priceChange24h":2,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/austin-b18a80e4a0.jpg","tokenId":"18570748148766154597688993431882847589377496689281500902955405122012995444462","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"77565799036270868729754004198194893154935036427726660962143503075580379353135","name":"78-79°F","probability":27,"priceChange24h":0.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/austin-b18a80e4a0.jpg","tokenId":"77565799036270868729754004198194893154935036427726660962143503075580379353135","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"111873972869483249862461277466967910938257302728563995582898076510962874508129","name":"80-81°F","probability":26,"priceChange24h":1.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/austin-b18a80e4a0.jpg","tokenId":"111873972869483249862461277466967910938257302728563995582898076510962874508129","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"76929042609769558569340430226709777353792944063426554508022820656558551751939","name":"82-83°F","probability":25,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/austin-b18a80e4a0.jpg","tokenId":"76929042609769558569340430226709777353792944063426554508022820656558551751939","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"12070907908671173731963330497817084826463833043242083334089746566082900891708","name":"86-87°F","probability":9,"priceChange24h":-0.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/austin-b18a80e4a0.jpg","tokenId":"12070907908671173731963330497817084826463833043242083334089746566082900891708","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"45047582874246880413568749091382872215028330933542409400277357561904730414975","name":"84-85°F","probability":8,"priceChange24h":-16.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/austin-b18a80e4a0.jpg","tokenId":"45047582874246880413568749091382872215028330933542409400277357561904730414975","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"57488369808876785252366853135496361285550567953742975346568420087663214353556","name":"70-71°F","probability":2,"priceChange24h":-23,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/austin-b18a80e4a0.jpg","tokenId":"57488369808876785252366853135496361285550567953742975346568420087663214353556","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"114991268891270575324841362301838496532095090193603902933373808882419601845676","name":"88°F or higher","probability":0,"priceChange24h":-39.7,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/austin-b18a80e4a0.jpg","tokenId":"114991268891270575324841362301838496532095090193603902933373808882419601845676","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"raw_quotes","rawSum":222,"overroundPoints":null},"priceChange24h":-39.7,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":0.001,"bestAsk":0.005,"spread":0.4,"spreadPoints":0.4,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":60,"qualityTier":"medium","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"tight","liquidityTier":"medium","volumeTier":"medium","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":true,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":11,"externalUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-austin-on-september-4-2026","source":{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"austin-daily-lowest-temperature"},"directRelatedCoins":[],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":118263,"probabilityDelta":164,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":164,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":94,"maxOutcomeLabel":"79° or above","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":17,"bookStructureA":"independent","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":false},"otherSourceId":"kalshi","otherSourceName":"Kalshi","otherEventSlug":"kxlowtaus-26sep03","otherEventTitle":"Lowest temperature in Austin on Sep 3, 2026?"}}]},{"slug":"2026-09-04-lowest-temperature-in-chicago-on-sep-3-2026-unyjga","title":"Lowest temperature in Chicago on Sep 3, 2026","startDate":"2026-09-02T07:29:37.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T06:00:00.000Z","contentUpdatedAt":"2026-09-03T07:07:38.441Z","linkedEventCount":2,"sourceCount":2,"sources":[{"id":"kalshi","name":"Kalshi","icon":"/predictionmarkets/kalshi.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Exchange order book","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true},{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true}],"primaryTopic":null,"linkage":{"methods":["approved_match"],"approvedMatchPairCount":1,"approvedMatchEventCount":2,"sameFamilyEventCount":0},"previewEvents":[{"id":"KXLOWTCHI-26SEP03","slug":"kxlowtchi-26sep03","title":"Lowest temperature in Chicago on Sep 3, 2026?","description":"$db","image":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTCHI.webp","status":"open","startDate":"2026-09-02T14:00:00.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T06:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":9560.29,"volume24h":8609.830000000002,"liquidity":5792.51,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTCHI-26SEP03-T78","name":"79° or above","probability":90,"priceChange24h":69,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTCHI.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTCHI-26SEP03-T78","color":null,"normalizedProbability":84.91},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTCHI-26SEP03-B77.5","name":"77° to 78°","probability":10,"priceChange24h":-21,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTCHI.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTCHI-26SEP03-B77.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":9.43},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTCHI-26SEP03-B73.5","name":"73° to 74°","probability":2,"priceChange24h":-3,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTCHI.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTCHI-26SEP03-B73.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":1.89},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTCHI-26SEP03-B71.5","name":"71° to 72°","probability":2,"priceChange24h":0,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTCHI.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTCHI-26SEP03-B71.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":1.89},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTCHI-26SEP03-B75.5","name":"75° to 76°","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-27,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTCHI.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTCHI-26SEP03-B75.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.94},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTCHI-26SEP03-T71","name":"70° or below","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-1,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTCHI.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTCHI-26SEP03-T71","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.94}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"normalized_complete_book","rawSum":106,"overroundPoints":6},"priceChange24h":69,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":0.9,"bestAsk":0.96,"spread":6,"spreadPoints":5.999999999999995,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":58,"qualityTier":"medium","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"wide","liquidityTier":"medium","volumeTier":"high","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":false,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":6,"externalUrl":"https://kalshi.com/markets/KXLOWTCHI","source":{"id":"kalshi","name":"Kalshi","icon":"/predictionmarkets/kalshi.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Exchange order book","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"KXLOWTCHI"},"directRelatedCoins":[],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":118262,"probabilityDelta":183,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":183,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":90,"maxOutcomeLabel":"79° or above","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":17,"bookStructureA":"independent","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":false},"otherSourceId":"polymarket","otherSourceName":"Polymarket","otherEventSlug":"lowest-temperature-in-chicago-on-september-4-2026","otherEventTitle":"Lowest temperature in Chicago on September 4?"}},{"id":"952374","slug":"lowest-temperature-in-chicago-on-september-4-2026","title":"Lowest temperature in Chicago on September 4?","description":"$dc","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-december-5-IoEGq9msnWg6.jpg","status":"open","startDate":"2026-09-02T07:29:37.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T12:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":385.646865,"volume24h":385.646865,"liquidity":1294.4408,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"71875815260620025872556022386214206167224659239585575624335304337765648692544","name":"74-75°F","probability":28,"priceChange24h":0.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-december-5-IoEGq9msnWg6.jpg","tokenId":"71875815260620025872556022386214206167224659239585575624335304337765648692544","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"19996301229415946609112165817490081863273224319032655519677863140837513749195","name":"76-77°F","probability":28,"priceChange24h":3,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-december-5-IoEGq9msnWg6.jpg","tokenId":"19996301229415946609112165817490081863273224319032655519677863140837513749195","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"75484555579085840433731935242099472835348511577661167024481917246320820568409","name":"70-71°F","probability":27,"priceChange24h":0.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-december-5-IoEGq9msnWg6.jpg","tokenId":"75484555579085840433731935242099472835348511577661167024481917246320820568409","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"68294784986548051186308811294815166715085727706438652167697999602411209528498","name":"72-73°F","probability":27,"priceChange24h":2,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-december-5-IoEGq9msnWg6.jpg","tokenId":"68294784986548051186308811294815166715085727706438652167697999602411209528498","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"51386469231504097289811863859369646137482077631648560877906092734427329013948","name":"68-69°F","probability":26,"priceChange24h":1.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-december-5-IoEGq9msnWg6.jpg","tokenId":"51386469231504097289811863859369646137482077631648560877906092734427329013948","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"66130974965569023148670455715716168943526190352411440355023529966505258227257","name":"78-79°F","probability":26,"priceChange24h":1.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-december-5-IoEGq9msnWg6.jpg","tokenId":"66130974965569023148670455715716168943526190352411440355023529966505258227257","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"32138454852126991070314401540669705983510412830145918121317488727413844170122","name":"80-81°F","probability":25,"priceChange24h":0.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-december-5-IoEGq9msnWg6.jpg","tokenId":"32138454852126991070314401540669705983510412830145918121317488727413844170122","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"64048029306195366443067372612917217516782308441585044932725552550672464719174","name":"82-83°F","probability":25,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-december-5-IoEGq9msnWg6.jpg","tokenId":"64048029306195366443067372612917217516782308441585044932725552550672464719174","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"103646863526362003378230744339148649075449540616029435401013027018327867518917","name":"84-85°F","probability":25,"priceChange24h":0.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-december-5-IoEGq9msnWg6.jpg","tokenId":"103646863526362003378230744339148649075449540616029435401013027018327867518917","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"6595686429697705766256653958562357867931502518616117429319780700623375005245","name":"67°F or below","probability":22,"priceChange24h":-1,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-december-5-IoEGq9msnWg6.jpg","tokenId":"6595686429697705766256653958562357867931502518616117429319780700623375005245","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"111507364284966993343005830847808278750386625831657451288056097938975420941550","name":"86°F or higher","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-22,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-chicago-on-december-5-IoEGq9msnWg6.jpg","tokenId":"111507364284966993343005830847808278750386625831657451288056097938975420941550","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"raw_quotes","rawSum":260,"overroundPoints":null},"priceChange24h":0.5,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":0.5,"spread":null,"spreadPoints":null,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":31,"qualityTier":"low","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"unknown","liquidityTier":"low","volumeTier":"medium","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":true,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":11,"externalUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-chicago-on-september-4-2026","source":{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"chicago-daily-lowest-temperature"},"directRelatedCoins":[],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":118262,"probabilityDelta":183,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":183,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":90,"maxOutcomeLabel":"79° or above","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":17,"bookStructureA":"independent","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":false},"otherSourceId":"kalshi","otherSourceName":"Kalshi","otherEventSlug":"kxlowtchi-26sep03","otherEventTitle":"Lowest temperature in Chicago on Sep 3, 2026?"}}]},{"slug":"2026-09-04-lowest-temperature-in-dallas-on-sep-3-2026-1rfhej","title":"Lowest temperature in Dallas on Sep 3, 2026","startDate":"2026-09-02T07:29:26.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T06:00:00.000Z","contentUpdatedAt":"2026-09-03T14:30:44.137Z","linkedEventCount":2,"sourceCount":2,"sources":[{"id":"kalshi","name":"Kalshi","icon":"/predictionmarkets/kalshi.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Exchange order book","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true},{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true}],"primaryTopic":null,"linkage":{"methods":["approved_match"],"approvedMatchPairCount":1,"approvedMatchEventCount":2,"sameFamilyEventCount":0},"previewEvents":[{"id":"KXLOWTDAL-26SEP03","slug":"kxlowtdal-26sep03","title":"Lowest temperature in Dallas on Sep 3, 2026?","description":"$dd","image":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTDAL.webp","status":"open","startDate":"2026-09-02T14:00:00.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T06:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":4047.94,"volume24h":3082.5199999999995,"liquidity":3588.5299999999997,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTDAL-26SEP03-B75.5","name":"75° to 76°","probability":94,"priceChange24h":65,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTDAL.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTDAL-26SEP03-B75.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":82.46},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTDAL-26SEP03-B73.5","name":"73° to 74°","probability":11,"priceChange24h":4,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTDAL.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTDAL-26SEP03-B73.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":9.65},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTDAL-26SEP03-B71.5","name":"71° to 72°","probability":6,"priceChange24h":4,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTDAL.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTDAL-26SEP03-B71.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":5.26},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTDAL-26SEP03-B77.5","name":"77° to 78°","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-56,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTDAL.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTDAL-26SEP03-B77.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.88},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTDAL-26SEP03-T71","name":"70° or below","probability":1,"priceChange24h":0,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTDAL.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTDAL-26SEP03-T71","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.88},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTDAL-26SEP03-T78","name":"79° or above","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-14,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTDAL.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTDAL-26SEP03-T78","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.88}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"normalized_complete_book","rawSum":114,"overroundPoints":14},"priceChange24h":65,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":0.88,"bestAsk":0.94,"spread":6,"spreadPoints":5.999999999999995,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":50,"qualityTier":"medium","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"wide","liquidityTier":"medium","volumeTier":"medium","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":false,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":6,"externalUrl":"https://kalshi.com/markets/KXLOWTDAL","source":{"id":"kalshi","name":"Kalshi","icon":"/predictionmarkets/kalshi.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Exchange order book","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"KXLOWTDAL"},"directRelatedCoins":[],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":118259,"probabilityDelta":130,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":130,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":94,"maxOutcomeLabel":"75° to 76°","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":17,"bookStructureA":"independent","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":false},"otherSourceId":"polymarket","otherSourceName":"Polymarket","otherEventSlug":"lowest-temperature-in-dallas-on-september-4-2026","otherEventTitle":"Lowest temperature in Dallas on September 4?"}},{"id":"952371","slug":"lowest-temperature-in-dallas-on-september-4-2026","title":"Lowest temperature in Dallas on September 4?","description":"$de","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-december-5-m1XZuVxmKEs_.jpg","status":"open","startDate":"2026-09-02T07:29:26.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T12:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":271.314,"volume24h":271.314,"liquidity":3894.2278,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"13878488096981810050636063942941237449882070920013673259398248826850336210844","name":"78-79°F","probability":31,"priceChange24h":-8.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-december-5-m1XZuVxmKEs_.jpg","tokenId":"13878488096981810050636063942941237449882070920013673259398248826850336210844","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"33474669778091963904111801088293112406187703169857616529421499005351093156570","name":"76-77°F","probability":30,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-december-5-m1XZuVxmKEs_.jpg","tokenId":"33474669778091963904111801088293112406187703169857616529421499005351093156570","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"95583020649416935509296267560402296922271803204889967225858250465290684506137","name":"74-75°F","probability":27,"priceChange24h":14.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-december-5-m1XZuVxmKEs_.jpg","tokenId":"95583020649416935509296267560402296922271803204889967225858250465290684506137","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"50688541831095021512865607973884680700974633934938162855871591422790534083160","name":"80-81°F","probability":27,"priceChange24h":9.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-december-5-m1XZuVxmKEs_.jpg","tokenId":"50688541831095021512865607973884680700974633934938162855871591422790534083160","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"2834573619360065711649465837805738899616782290759866286828796951634494513578","name":"69°F or below","probability":8,"priceChange24h":-17.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-december-5-m1XZuVxmKEs_.jpg","tokenId":"2834573619360065711649465837805738899616782290759866286828796951634494513578","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"43045284906430762382565002822828247524954785626464425697449470354290728969092","name":"72-73°F","probability":8,"priceChange24h":0.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-december-5-m1XZuVxmKEs_.jpg","tokenId":"43045284906430762382565002822828247524954785626464425697449470354290728969092","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"66523661563637994531581478768449077353232064884390439886878601791817207580183","name":"82-83°F","probability":8,"priceChange24h":4,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-december-5-m1XZuVxmKEs_.jpg","tokenId":"66523661563637994531581478768449077353232064884390439886878601791817207580183","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"41883210840818485001079623189176244323816241929458424004274557489680660184519","name":"70-71°F","probability":4,"priceChange24h":-3.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-december-5-m1XZuVxmKEs_.jpg","tokenId":"41883210840818485001079623189176244323816241929458424004274557489680660184519","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"53383917212625054778182477994391935770373168394749664869382085445671918087261","name":"84-85°F","probability":2,"priceChange24h":-2.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-december-5-m1XZuVxmKEs_.jpg","tokenId":"53383917212625054778182477994391935770373168394749664869382085445671918087261","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"39463421568966190728075906246408446695241222019004673159793740908989972328847","name":"86-87°F","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-3,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-december-5-m1XZuVxmKEs_.jpg","tokenId":"39463421568966190728075906246408446695241222019004673159793740908989972328847","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"78377311740344422938721588489942487186586190322823442914667313605384595352271","name":"88°F or higher","probability":0,"priceChange24h":-25.2,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-dallas-on-december-5-m1XZuVxmKEs_.jpg","tokenId":"78377311740344422938721588489942487186586190322823442914667313605384595352271","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"raw_quotes","rawSum":146,"overroundPoints":null},"priceChange24h":4,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":0.16,"spread":null,"spreadPoints":null,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":35,"qualityTier":"low","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"unknown","liquidityTier":"medium","volumeTier":"medium","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":true,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":11,"externalUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-dallas-on-september-4-2026","source":{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"dallas-daily-lowest-temperature"},"directRelatedCoins":[],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":118259,"probabilityDelta":130,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":130,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":94,"maxOutcomeLabel":"75° to 76°","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":17,"bookStructureA":"independent","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":false},"otherSourceId":"kalshi","otherSourceName":"Kalshi","otherEventSlug":"kxlowtdal-26sep03","otherEventTitle":"Lowest temperature in Dallas on Sep 3, 2026?"}}]},{"slug":"2026-09-04-lowest-temperature-in-houston-on-sep-3-2026-q21p9y","title":"Lowest temperature in Houston on Sep 3, 2026","startDate":"2026-09-02T07:30:07.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T06:00:00.000Z","contentUpdatedAt":"2026-09-03T21:23:33.999Z","linkedEventCount":2,"sourceCount":2,"sources":[{"id":"kalshi","name":"Kalshi","icon":"/predictionmarkets/kalshi.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Exchange order book","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true},{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true}],"primaryTopic":null,"linkage":{"methods":["approved_match"],"approvedMatchPairCount":1,"approvedMatchEventCount":2,"sameFamilyEventCount":0},"previewEvents":[{"id":"KXLOWTHOU-26SEP03","slug":"kxlowthou-26sep03","title":"Lowest temperature in Houston on Sep 3, 2026?","description":"$df","image":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTHOU.webp","status":"open","startDate":"2026-09-02T14:00:00.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T06:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":15720.29,"volume24h":14563.01,"liquidity":10569.65,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTHOU-26SEP03-B75.5","name":"75° to 76°","probability":93,"priceChange24h":90,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTHOU.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTHOU-26SEP03-B75.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":90.29},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTHOU-26SEP03-B73.5","name":"73° to 74°","probability":6,"priceChange24h":5,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTHOU.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTHOU-26SEP03-B73.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":5.83},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTHOU-26SEP03-T80","name":"81° or above","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-20,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTHOU.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTHOU-26SEP03-T80","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.97},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTHOU-26SEP03-B79.5","name":"79° to 80°","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-53,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTHOU.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTHOU-26SEP03-B79.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.97},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTHOU-26SEP03-B77.5","name":"77° to 78°","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-29,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTHOU.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTHOU-26SEP03-B77.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.97},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTHOU-26SEP03-T73","name":"72° or below","probability":1,"priceChange24h":0,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTHOU.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTHOU-26SEP03-T73","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.97}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"normalized_complete_book","rawSum":103,"overroundPoints":3},"priceChange24h":90,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":0.85,"bestAsk":0.96,"spread":11,"spreadPoints":10.999999999999998,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":53,"qualityTier":"medium","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"wide","liquidityTier":"medium","volumeTier":"high","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":false,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":6,"externalUrl":"https://kalshi.com/markets/KXLOWTHOU","source":{"id":"kalshi","name":"Kalshi","icon":"/predictionmarkets/kalshi.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Exchange order book","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"KXLOWTHOU"},"directRelatedCoins":[],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":118265,"probabilityDelta":169.5,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":169.5,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":93,"maxOutcomeLabel":"75° to 76°","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":17,"bookStructureA":"independent","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":false},"otherSourceId":"polymarket","otherSourceName":"Polymarket","otherEventSlug":"lowest-temperature-in-houston-on-september-4-2026","otherEventTitle":"Lowest temperature in Houston on September 4?"}},{"id":"952377","slug":"lowest-temperature-in-houston-on-september-4-2026","title":"Lowest temperature in Houston on September 4?","description":"$e0","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/houston-ef6084a9ac.jpg","status":"open","startDate":"2026-09-02T07:30:07.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T12:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":467.426865,"volume24h":461.426865,"liquidity":2475.34,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"9172643869197954529156358315315900784444827856991573305718102449946080807417","name":"78-79°F","probability":35,"priceChange24h":4,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/houston-ef6084a9ac.jpg","tokenId":"9172643869197954529156358315315900784444827856991573305718102449946080807417","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"53234299209301945733459756843579552357429977752554126702052899457605000297884","name":"69°F or below","probability":32,"priceChange24h":9.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/houston-ef6084a9ac.jpg","tokenId":"53234299209301945733459756843579552357429977752554126702052899457605000297884","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"84242218286496430209144572846037304334598437009667641634626257831909428988212","name":"80-81°F","probability":30,"priceChange24h":-4.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/houston-ef6084a9ac.jpg","tokenId":"84242218286496430209144572846037304334598437009667641634626257831909428988212","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"114451631000173546774515980297662740486960752678616799850022603240251841576313","name":"76-77°F","probability":27,"priceChange24h":0.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/houston-ef6084a9ac.jpg","tokenId":"114451631000173546774515980297662740486960752678616799850022603240251841576313","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"20790945535824766975050441475606720120991674462944851194275885971478181914473","name":"72-73°F","probability":26,"priceChange24h":1.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/houston-ef6084a9ac.jpg","tokenId":"20790945535824766975050441475606720120991674462944851194275885971478181914473","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"40183537816780413874451232014926851491069259121920960753312091721195914069182","name":"74-75°F","probability":26,"priceChange24h":1.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/houston-ef6084a9ac.jpg","tokenId":"40183537816780413874451232014926851491069259121920960753312091721195914069182","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"70977956578597606596495086615531612734245059331450750288746223331429626455955","name":"82-83°F","probability":26,"priceChange24h":1.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/houston-ef6084a9ac.jpg","tokenId":"70977956578597606596495086615531612734245059331450750288746223331429626455955","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"3626179918774850090758027633532101777453426011999558331210182417129610317490","name":"86-87°F","probability":25,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/houston-ef6084a9ac.jpg","tokenId":"3626179918774850090758027633532101777453426011999558331210182417129610317490","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"112148033159127197212683758884754653312051598277849972270542497022081446535526","name":"88°F or higher","probability":4,"priceChange24h":-16,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/houston-ef6084a9ac.jpg","tokenId":"112148033159127197212683758884754653312051598277849972270542497022081446535526","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"14043272702145474931336073700073276858682725637366986777966750318620735606204","name":"84-85°F","probability":3,"priceChange24h":-21.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/houston-ef6084a9ac.jpg","tokenId":"14043272702145474931336073700073276858682725637366986777966750318620735606204","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"98247183267371701465384408195267730516783659709971449485402971456186348003441","name":"70-71°F","probability":2,"priceChange24h":-8,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/houston-ef6084a9ac.jpg","tokenId":"98247183267371701465384408195267730516783659709971449485402971456186348003441","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"raw_quotes","rawSum":236,"overroundPoints":null},"priceChange24h":9.5,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":0.64,"spread":null,"spreadPoints":null,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":34,"qualityTier":"low","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"unknown","liquidityTier":"low","volumeTier":"medium","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":true,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":11,"externalUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-houston-on-september-4-2026","source":{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"houston-daily-lowest-temperature"},"directRelatedCoins":[],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":118265,"probabilityDelta":169.5,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":169.5,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":93,"maxOutcomeLabel":"75° to 76°","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":17,"bookStructureA":"independent","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":false},"otherSourceId":"kalshi","otherSourceName":"Kalshi","otherEventSlug":"kxlowthou-26sep03","otherEventTitle":"Lowest temperature in Houston on Sep 3, 2026?"}}]},{"slug":"2026-09-04-lowest-temperature-in-denver-on-sep-3-2026-p6jyhd","title":"Lowest temperature in Denver on Sep 3, 2026","startDate":"2026-09-02T07:30:02.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T07:00:00.000Z","contentUpdatedAt":"2026-09-03T18:12:51.334Z","linkedEventCount":2,"sourceCount":2,"sources":[{"id":"kalshi","name":"Kalshi","icon":"/predictionmarkets/kalshi.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Exchange order book","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true},{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true}],"primaryTopic":null,"linkage":{"methods":["approved_match"],"approvedMatchPairCount":1,"approvedMatchEventCount":2,"sameFamilyEventCount":0},"previewEvents":[{"id":"KXLOWTDEN-26SEP03","slug":"kxlowtden-26sep03","title":"Lowest temperature in Denver on Sep 3, 2026?","description":"$e1","image":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTDEN.webp","status":"open","startDate":"2026-09-02T14:00:00.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T07:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":58240.68,"volume24h":57678.06,"liquidity":36331.090000000004,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTDEN-26SEP03-T55","name":"54° or below","probability":99,"priceChange24h":97,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTDEN.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTDEN-26SEP03-T55","color":null,"normalizedProbability":95.19},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTDEN-26SEP03-B55.5","name":"55° to 56°","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-12,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTDEN.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTDEN-26SEP03-B55.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.96},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTDEN-26SEP03-B57.5","name":"57° to 58°","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-24,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTDEN.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTDEN-26SEP03-B57.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.96},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTDEN-26SEP03-B61.5","name":"61° to 62°","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-21,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTDEN.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTDEN-26SEP03-B61.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.96},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTDEN-26SEP03-T62","name":"63° or above","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-3,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTDEN.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTDEN-26SEP03-T62","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.96},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTDEN-26SEP03-B59.5","name":"59° to 60°","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-33,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTDEN.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTDEN-26SEP03-B59.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.96}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"normalized_complete_book","rawSum":104,"overroundPoints":4},"priceChange24h":-12,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":0.01,"bestAsk":0.05,"spread":4,"spreadPoints":4,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":72,"qualityTier":"medium","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"moderate","liquidityTier":"high","volumeTier":"high","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":false,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":6,"externalUrl":"https://kalshi.com/markets/KXLOWTDEN","source":{"id":"kalshi","name":"Kalshi","icon":"/predictionmarkets/kalshi.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Exchange order book","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"KXLOWTDEN"},"directRelatedCoins":[],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":118264,"probabilityDelta":191,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":191,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":99,"maxOutcomeLabel":"54° or below","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":17,"bookStructureA":"independent","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":false},"otherSourceId":"polymarket","otherSourceName":"Polymarket","otherEventSlug":"lowest-temperature-in-denver-on-september-4-2026","otherEventTitle":"Lowest temperature in Denver on September 4?"}},{"id":"952376","slug":"lowest-temperature-in-denver-on-september-4-2026","title":"Lowest temperature in Denver on September 4?","description":"$e2","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/denver-c2951e9cad.jpg","status":"open","startDate":"2026-09-02T07:30:02.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T12:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":458.48281,"volume24h":361.10526,"liquidity":1869.2876,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"61969744667310459725363427839016939350920975708429215498679440883871911050428","name":"55°F or below","probability":33,"priceChange24h":-8.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/denver-c2951e9cad.jpg","tokenId":"61969744667310459725363427839016939350920975708429215498679440883871911050428","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"37154047255246092556331174747104895170256056974247881402148179240219976062422","name":"60-61°F","probability":33,"priceChange24h":1.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/denver-c2951e9cad.jpg","tokenId":"37154047255246092556331174747104895170256056974247881402148179240219976062422","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"106222543516924585533549127709920654680578584837733999878844066722889301934017","name":"58-59°F","probability":30,"priceChange24h":2.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/denver-c2951e9cad.jpg","tokenId":"106222543516924585533549127709920654680578584837733999878844066722889301934017","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"103529943987311961125219713164598709663821821460061799826333956279928346605539","name":"62-63°F","probability":30,"priceChange24h":4.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/denver-c2951e9cad.jpg","tokenId":"103529943987311961125219713164598709663821821460061799826333956279928346605539","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"47718392945028950966887902441518875216945389039180290298584394491515356144793","name":"56-57°F","probability":26,"priceChange24h":1,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/denver-c2951e9cad.jpg","tokenId":"47718392945028950966887902441518875216945389039180290298584394491515356144793","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"62513935171757788416241824057220014511348468565911792088335163457308263446028","name":"64-65°F","probability":26,"priceChange24h":1,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/denver-c2951e9cad.jpg","tokenId":"62513935171757788416241824057220014511348468565911792088335163457308263446028","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"44072114492342541537014428314292703800819254729558376992726367771973230692288","name":"72-73°F","probability":25,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/denver-c2951e9cad.jpg","tokenId":"44072114492342541537014428314292703800819254729558376992726367771973230692288","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"36335293181633480560959233423972401450115467395417196661173712710793732345179","name":"66-67°F","probability":24,"priceChange24h":-3,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/denver-c2951e9cad.jpg","tokenId":"36335293181633480560959233423972401450115467395417196661173712710793732345179","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"30876568421045610687874679864052503690751582871059465834435420648198102814388","name":"70-71°F","probability":24,"priceChange24h":-1,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/denver-c2951e9cad.jpg","tokenId":"30876568421045610687874679864052503690751582871059465834435420648198102814388","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"81650529799226183076470979198057348363601358686598670768447180252351546939520","name":"68-69°F","probability":23,"priceChange24h":-1.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/denver-c2951e9cad.jpg","tokenId":"81650529799226183076470979198057348363601358686598670768447180252351546939520","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"110797286753932478961219546067588445314693989428499657833112571075287934614164","name":"74°F or higher","probability":4,"priceChange24h":-37,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/denver-c2951e9cad.jpg","tokenId":"110797286753932478961219546067588445314693989428499657833112571075287934614164","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"raw_quotes","rawSum":278,"overroundPoints":null},"priceChange24h":-8.5,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":0.01,"bestAsk":0.64,"spread":63,"spreadPoints":63,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":34,"qualityTier":"low","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"wide","liquidityTier":"low","volumeTier":"medium","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":true,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":11,"externalUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-denver-on-september-4-2026","source":{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"denver-daily-lowest-temperature"},"directRelatedCoins":[],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":118264,"probabilityDelta":191,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":191,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":99,"maxOutcomeLabel":"54° or below","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":17,"bookStructureA":"independent","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":false},"otherSourceId":"kalshi","otherSourceName":"Kalshi","otherEventSlug":"kxlowtden-26sep03","otherEventTitle":"Lowest temperature in Denver on Sep 3, 2026?"}}]},{"slug":"2026-09-04-lowest-temperature-in-los-angeles-on-sep-3-2026-1rjnv8","title":"Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 3, 2026","startDate":"2026-09-02T11:29:57.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T08:00:00.000Z","contentUpdatedAt":"2026-09-03T09:57:30.986Z","linkedEventCount":2,"sourceCount":2,"sources":[{"id":"kalshi","name":"Kalshi","icon":"/predictionmarkets/kalshi.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Exchange order book","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true},{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true}],"primaryTopic":null,"linkage":{"methods":["approved_match"],"approvedMatchPairCount":1,"approvedMatchEventCount":2,"sameFamilyEventCount":0},"previewEvents":[{"id":"KXLOWTLAX-26SEP03","slug":"kxlowtlax-26sep03","title":"Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 3, 2026?","description":"$e3","image":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTLAX.webp","status":"open","startDate":"2026-09-02T14:00:00.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T08:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":7516.880000000001,"volume24h":5753.02,"liquidity":4524.58,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTLAX-26SEP03-T65","name":"66° or above","probability":99,"priceChange24h":63,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTLAX.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTLAX-26SEP03-T65","color":null,"normalizedProbability":94.29},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTLAX-26SEP03-B62.5","name":"62° to 63°","probability":2,"priceChange24h":-11,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTLAX.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTLAX-26SEP03-B62.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":1.9},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTLAX-26SEP03-B64.5","name":"64° to 65°","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-54,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTLAX.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTLAX-26SEP03-B64.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.95},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTLAX-26SEP03-B58.5","name":"58° to 59°","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-1,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTLAX.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTLAX-26SEP03-B58.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.95},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTLAX-26SEP03-B60.5","name":"60° to 61°","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-1,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTLAX.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTLAX-26SEP03-B60.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.95},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTLAX-26SEP03-T58","name":"57° or below","probability":1,"priceChange24h":0,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTLAX.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTLAX-26SEP03-T58","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.95}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"normalized_complete_book","rawSum":105,"overroundPoints":5},"priceChange24h":63,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":0.97,"bestAsk":1,"spread":3,"spreadPoints":3.0000000000000027,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":64,"qualityTier":"medium","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"moderate","liquidityTier":"medium","volumeTier":"high","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":false,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":6,"externalUrl":"https://kalshi.com/markets/KXLOWTLAX","source":{"id":"kalshi","name":"Kalshi","icon":"/predictionmarkets/kalshi.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Exchange order book","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"KXLOWTLAX"},"directRelatedCoins":[],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":118251,"probabilityDelta":130,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":130,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":99,"maxOutcomeLabel":"66° or above","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":17,"bookStructureA":"independent","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":false},"otherSourceId":"polymarket","otherSourceName":"Polymarket","otherEventSlug":"lowest-temperature-in-los-angeles-on-september-4-2026","otherEventTitle":"Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 4?"}},{"id":"953087","slug":"lowest-temperature-in-los-angeles-on-september-4-2026","title":"Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 4?","description":"$e4","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/los-angeles-cdae9380c7.jpg","status":"open","startDate":"2026-09-02T11:29:57.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T12:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":639.037452,"volume24h":480.876582,"liquidity":2295.0984,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"115108193385893848665084869876387184988430717219074856121442230112730759478861","name":"66-67°F","probability":59,"priceChange24h":16,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/los-angeles-cdae9380c7.jpg","tokenId":"115108193385893848665084869876387184988430717219074856121442230112730759478861","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"81462352170153758466724517891467074970031938615193552363917199995007226826996","name":"68-69°F","probability":19,"priceChange24h":7,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/los-angeles-cdae9380c7.jpg","tokenId":"81462352170153758466724517891467074970031938615193552363917199995007226826996","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"94889056162107711555281227135579322831725050180327776236167696698506747919772","name":"64-65°F","probability":18,"priceChange24h":-16,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/los-angeles-cdae9380c7.jpg","tokenId":"94889056162107711555281227135579322831725050180327776236167696698506747919772","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"64053102300357741928151639727457846566149012998059448323934275255209599693541","name":"60-61°F","probability":9,"priceChange24h":-14,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/los-angeles-cdae9380c7.jpg","tokenId":"64053102300357741928151639727457846566149012998059448323934275255209599693541","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"77880661867704336594443393291681795616905484854651943056850897490092988824396","name":"62-63°F","probability":9,"priceChange24h":-3,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/los-angeles-cdae9380c7.jpg","tokenId":"77880661867704336594443393291681795616905484854651943056850897490092988824396","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"63097925375094935998954294043345662213212053874686081404555131613104525778065","name":"70-71°F","probability":9,"priceChange24h":-0.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/los-angeles-cdae9380c7.jpg","tokenId":"63097925375094935998954294043345662213212053874686081404555131613104525778065","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"83271920606216856663987152692968568191059694754352881275004987708826809220230","name":"74°F or higher","probability":8,"priceChange24h":-16.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/los-angeles-cdae9380c7.jpg","tokenId":"83271920606216856663987152692968568191059694754352881275004987708826809220230","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"27276115477086094563716653094820395821595707998269190725457075189756632438383","name":"72-73°F","probability":7,"priceChange24h":-17,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/los-angeles-cdae9380c7.jpg","tokenId":"27276115477086094563716653094820395821595707998269190725457075189756632438383","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"23303150528183080713906461544897207733396809134957825133995132421513772675931","name":"55°F or below","probability":6,"priceChange24h":-20,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/los-angeles-cdae9380c7.jpg","tokenId":"23303150528183080713906461544897207733396809134957825133995132421513772675931","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"65839896335693787247112840269901150462688992060623859211965978714266400329667","name":"56-57°F","probability":6,"priceChange24h":-3.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/los-angeles-cdae9380c7.jpg","tokenId":"65839896335693787247112840269901150462688992060623859211965978714266400329667","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"46208545303851444114254891552116657105430408616220457957559337490829720698404","name":"58-59°F","probability":5,"priceChange24h":-2.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/los-angeles-cdae9380c7.jpg","tokenId":"46208545303851444114254891552116657105430408616220457957559337490829720698404","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"raw_quotes","rawSum":155,"overroundPoints":null},"priceChange24h":7,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":0.06,"bestAsk":0.31,"spread":25,"spreadPoints":25,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":36,"qualityTier":"low","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"wide","liquidityTier":"low","volumeTier":"medium","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":true,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":11,"externalUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-los-angeles-on-september-4-2026","source":{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"los-angeles-daily-lowest-temperature"},"directRelatedCoins":[],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":118251,"probabilityDelta":130,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":130,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":99,"maxOutcomeLabel":"66° or above","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":17,"bookStructureA":"independent","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":false},"otherSourceId":"kalshi","otherSourceName":"Kalshi","otherEventSlug":"kxlowtlax-26sep03","otherEventTitle":"Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 3, 2026?"}}]},{"slug":"2026-09-04-lowest-temperature-in-san-francisco-on-sep-3-2026-1prwqu","title":"Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 3, 2026","startDate":"2026-09-02T11:30:03.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T08:00:00.000Z","contentUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T14:11:18.733Z","linkedEventCount":2,"sourceCount":2,"sources":[{"id":"kalshi","name":"Kalshi","icon":"/predictionmarkets/kalshi.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Exchange order book","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true},{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true}],"primaryTopic":null,"linkage":{"methods":["approved_match"],"approvedMatchPairCount":1,"approvedMatchEventCount":2,"sameFamilyEventCount":0},"previewEvents":[{"id":"KXLOWTSFO-26SEP03","slug":"kxlowtsfo-26sep03","title":"Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 3, 2026?","description":"$e5","image":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTSFO.webp","status":"open","startDate":"2026-09-02T14:00:00.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T08:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":3142.7000000000003,"volume24h":2058.08,"liquidity":2682.4500000000003,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTSFO-26SEP03-T59","name":"60° or above","probability":80,"priceChange24h":55,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTSFO.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTSFO-26SEP03-T59","color":null,"normalizedProbability":76.92},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTSFO-26SEP03-B58.5","name":"58° to 59°","probability":19,"priceChange24h":-36,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTSFO.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTSFO-26SEP03-B58.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":18.27},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTSFO-26SEP03-B54.5","name":"54° to 55°","probability":2,"priceChange24h":-3,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTSFO.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTSFO-26SEP03-B54.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":1.92},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTSFO-26SEP03-B56.5","name":"56° to 57°","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-16,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTSFO.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTSFO-26SEP03-B56.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.96},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTSFO-26SEP03-T52","name":"51° or below","probability":1,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTSFO.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTSFO-26SEP03-T52","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.96},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTSFO-26SEP03-B52.5","name":"52° to 53°","probability":1,"priceChange24h":0,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTSFO.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTSFO-26SEP03-B52.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.96}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"normalized_complete_book","rawSum":104,"overroundPoints":4},"priceChange24h":55,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":0.8,"bestAsk":0.82,"spread":2,"spreadPoints":1.9999999999999907,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":64,"qualityTier":"medium","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"tight","liquidityTier":"medium","volumeTier":"medium","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":false,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":6,"externalUrl":"https://kalshi.com/markets/KXLOWTSFO","source":{"id":"kalshi","name":"Kalshi","icon":"/predictionmarkets/kalshi.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Exchange order book","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"KXLOWTSFO"},"directRelatedCoins":[],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":118252,"probabilityDelta":157.5,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":157.5,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":80,"maxOutcomeLabel":"60° or above","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":17,"bookStructureA":"independent","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":false},"otherSourceId":"polymarket","otherSourceName":"Polymarket","otherEventSlug":"lowest-temperature-in-san-francisco-on-september-4-2026","otherEventTitle":"Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 4?"}},{"id":"953088","slug":"lowest-temperature-in-san-francisco-on-september-4-2026","title":"Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 4?","description":"$e6","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/san-francisco-e705a842df.jpg","status":"open","startDate":"2026-09-02T11:30:03.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T12:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":397.636061,"volume24h":384.56789499999996,"liquidity":1773.7764,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"89030603869473380167627286897043969272328910960323942253649718335526256002931","name":"56-57°F","probability":32,"priceChange24h":8,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/san-francisco-e705a842df.jpg","tokenId":"89030603869473380167627286897043969272328910960323942253649718335526256002931","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"11379004578118769912185848469265727904253121954150306114104140549178354942222","name":"54-55°F","probability":31,"priceChange24h":0.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/san-francisco-e705a842df.jpg","tokenId":"11379004578118769912185848469265727904253121954150306114104140549178354942222","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"100860880000286193029170841995726736934588682966445956602498825588840931096650","name":"58-59°F","probability":30,"priceChange24h":-14.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/san-francisco-e705a842df.jpg","tokenId":"100860880000286193029170841995726736934588682966445956602498825588840931096650","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"101352290919044099574965651722257492200439583525865928585589245791444987567091","name":"66°F or higher","probability":26,"priceChange24h":-7,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/san-francisco-e705a842df.jpg","tokenId":"101352290919044099574965651722257492200439583525865928585589245791444987567091","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"102900417275853073109709662137863562500569759779044611552163358668736427839536","name":"62-63°F","probability":25,"priceChange24h":5.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/san-francisco-e705a842df.jpg","tokenId":"102900417275853073109709662137863562500569759779044611552163358668736427839536","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"107946777548714654975544825403708038577648652192206812689061869103253224870413","name":"52-53°F","probability":24,"priceChange24h":8,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/san-francisco-e705a842df.jpg","tokenId":"107946777548714654975544825403708038577648652192206812689061869103253224870413","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"67143104556497146697188872250777418478568923650768750260392146876973115242260","name":"47°F or below","probability":22,"priceChange24h":-1.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/san-francisco-e705a842df.jpg","tokenId":"67143104556497146697188872250777418478568923650768750260392146876973115242260","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"98642758414788350077468186871822989244393765213089473088791713043746262104938","name":"60-61°F","probability":11,"priceChange24h":-11.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/san-francisco-e705a842df.jpg","tokenId":"98642758414788350077468186871822989244393765213089473088791713043746262104938","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"72682470661832109743296401899065685314771021948399045999380569980421694645854","name":"48-49°F","probability":4,"priceChange24h":-6,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/san-francisco-e705a842df.jpg","tokenId":"72682470661832109743296401899065685314771021948399045999380569980421694645854","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"38084485135688223945955060873741633623593353117255158844377236175539175161001","name":"50-51°F","probability":3,"priceChange24h":-13.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/san-francisco-e705a842df.jpg","tokenId":"38084485135688223945955060873741633623593353117255158844377236175539175161001","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"57040936017482731595878956244063973732139588646555923993261300609793935234743","name":"64-65°F","probability":3,"priceChange24h":-15,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/san-francisco-e705a842df.jpg","tokenId":"57040936017482731595878956244063973732139588646555923993261300609793935234743","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"raw_quotes","rawSum":211,"overroundPoints":null},"priceChange24h":-1.5,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":0.44,"spread":null,"spreadPoints":null,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":32,"qualityTier":"low","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"unknown","liquidityTier":"low","volumeTier":"medium","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":true,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":11,"externalUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-san-francisco-on-september-4-2026","source":{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"san-francisco-daily-lowest-temperature"},"directRelatedCoins":[],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":118252,"probabilityDelta":157.5,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":157.5,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":80,"maxOutcomeLabel":"60° or above","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":17,"bookStructureA":"independent","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":false},"otherSourceId":"kalshi","otherSourceName":"Kalshi","otherEventSlug":"kxlowtsfo-26sep03","otherEventTitle":"Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 3, 2026?"}}]},{"slug":"2026-09-04-lowest-temperature-in-seattle-on-sep-3-2026-1qtzrd","title":"Lowest temperature in Seattle on Sep 3, 2026","startDate":"2026-09-02T11:29:19.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T08:00:00.000Z","contentUpdatedAt":"2026-09-02T22:12:15.782Z","linkedEventCount":2,"sourceCount":2,"sources":[{"id":"kalshi","name":"Kalshi","icon":"/predictionmarkets/kalshi.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Exchange order book","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true},{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true}],"primaryTopic":null,"linkage":{"methods":["approved_match"],"approvedMatchPairCount":1,"approvedMatchEventCount":2,"sameFamilyEventCount":0},"previewEvents":[{"id":"KXLOWTSEA-26SEP03","slug":"kxlowtsea-26sep03","title":"Lowest temperature in Seattle on Sep 3, 2026?","description":"$e7","image":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTSEA.webp","status":"open","startDate":"2026-09-02T14:00:00.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T08:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":3903.17,"volume24h":3565.17,"liquidity":2939.91,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTSEA-26SEP03-B53.5","name":"53° to 54°","probability":98,"priceChange24h":44,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTSEA.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTSEA-26SEP03-B53.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":95.15},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTSEA-26SEP03-B51.5","name":"51° to 52°","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-26,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTSEA.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTSEA-26SEP03-B51.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.97},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTSEA-26SEP03-B47.5","name":"47° to 48°","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-1,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTSEA.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTSEA-26SEP03-B47.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.97},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTSEA-26SEP03-B49.5","name":"49° to 50°","probability":1,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTSEA.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTSEA-26SEP03-B49.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.97},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTSEA-26SEP03-T54","name":"55° or above","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-14,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTSEA.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTSEA-26SEP03-T54","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.97},{"externalMarketId":"KXLOWTSEA-26SEP03-T47","name":"46° or below","probability":1,"priceChange24h":0,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXLOWTSEA.webp","tokenId":"KXLOWTSEA-26SEP03-T47","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.97}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"normalized_complete_book","rawSum":103,"overroundPoints":3},"priceChange24h":44,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":0.96,"bestAsk":1,"spread":4,"spreadPoints":4.0000000000000036,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":61,"qualityTier":"medium","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"moderate","liquidityTier":"medium","volumeTier":"medium","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":false,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":6,"externalUrl":"https://kalshi.com/markets/KXLOWTSEA","source":{"id":"kalshi","name":"Kalshi","icon":"/predictionmarkets/kalshi.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Exchange order book","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"KXLOWTSEA"},"directRelatedCoins":[],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":118269,"probabilityDelta":127.5,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":127.5,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":98,"maxOutcomeLabel":"53° to 54°","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":17,"bookStructureA":"independent","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":false},"otherSourceId":"polymarket","otherSourceName":"Polymarket","otherEventSlug":"lowest-temperature-in-seattle-on-september-4-2026","otherEventTitle":"Lowest temperature in Seattle on September 4?"}},{"id":"953086","slug":"lowest-temperature-in-seattle-on-september-4-2026","title":"Lowest temperature in Seattle on September 4?","description":"$e8","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-december-5-mjogoGN44OY4.jpg","status":"open","startDate":"2026-09-02T11:29:19.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T12:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":173.5572,"volume24h":173.5572,"liquidity":2255.1603,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"29421501509461127814827037217979333240350389698659962598576022108849334305596","name":"52-53°F","probability":40,"priceChange24h":0.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-december-5-mjogoGN44OY4.jpg","tokenId":"29421501509461127814827037217979333240350389698659962598576022108849334305596","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"15873287793399306672170528050766874863420109681591427576946563683102077073218","name":"50-51°F","probability":32,"priceChange24h":-1.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-december-5-mjogoGN44OY4.jpg","tokenId":"15873287793399306672170528050766874863420109681591427576946563683102077073218","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"4014677632223028424274582539973488494329729716024182922275444509249208283845","name":"54-55°F","probability":27,"priceChange24h":0.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-december-5-mjogoGN44OY4.jpg","tokenId":"4014677632223028424274582539973488494329729716024182922275444509249208283845","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"101381562922089323829936337340881470263490328031300879675573815728946506640366","name":"48-49°F","probability":11,"priceChange24h":1.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-december-5-mjogoGN44OY4.jpg","tokenId":"101381562922089323829936337340881470263490328031300879675573815728946506640366","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"38447588497586181730509221655400438309429759486003821581379653467867739857753","name":"45°F or below","probability":9,"priceChange24h":-13,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-december-5-mjogoGN44OY4.jpg","tokenId":"38447588497586181730509221655400438309429759486003821581379653467867739857753","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"111912509358439561614584118290295891440848883983939482882577119270399396641222","name":"46-47°F","probability":8,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-december-5-mjogoGN44OY4.jpg","tokenId":"111912509358439561614584118290295891440848883983939482882577119270399396641222","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"82461284169597001082646875542322209897159475836744322157031886199395354330126","name":"56-57°F","probability":7,"priceChange24h":-1.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-december-5-mjogoGN44OY4.jpg","tokenId":"82461284169597001082646875542322209897159475836744322157031886199395354330126","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"115491921898506131648237288124485857302924499550686527150111813765448273425331","name":"58-59°F","probability":7,"priceChange24h":-1,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-december-5-mjogoGN44OY4.jpg","tokenId":"115491921898506131648237288124485857302924499550686527150111813765448273425331","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"95838698575836356630657034625686363314468747111836129905142538872168369697642","name":"62-63°F","probability":4,"priceChange24h":-4,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-december-5-mjogoGN44OY4.jpg","tokenId":"95838698575836356630657034625686363314468747111836129905142538872168369697642","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"37036904420603251033128354950945561828666769239710641606377162419471973296721","name":"64°F or higher","probability":4,"priceChange24h":-3.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-december-5-mjogoGN44OY4.jpg","tokenId":"37036904420603251033128354950945561828666769239710641606377162419471973296721","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"5854129041880537940060358021195521458131857669287311245220550665903182801071","name":"60-61°F","probability":3,"priceChange24h":-4.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seattle-on-december-5-mjogoGN44OY4.jpg","tokenId":"5854129041880537940060358021195521458131857669287311245220550665903182801071","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"raw_quotes","rawSum":152,"overroundPoints":null},"priceChange24h":-1.5,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":0.14,"spread":null,"spreadPoints":null,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":31,"qualityTier":"low","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"unknown","liquidityTier":"low","volumeTier":"low","flags":{"thinMarket":true,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":true,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":11,"externalUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-seattle-on-september-4-2026","source":{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"seattle-daily-lowest-temperature"},"directRelatedCoins":[],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":118269,"probabilityDelta":127.5,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":127.5,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":98,"maxOutcomeLabel":"53° to 54°","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":17,"bookStructureA":"independent","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":false},"otherSourceId":"kalshi","otherSourceName":"Kalshi","otherEventSlug":"kxlowtsea-26sep03","otherEventTitle":"Lowest temperature in Seattle on Sep 3, 2026?"}}]},{"slug":"2026-09-04-august-unemployment-rate-x5bis5","title":"August Unemployment Rate","startDate":"2025-12-15T15:00:00.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T08:30:00.000Z","contentUpdatedAt":"2026-09-04T01:23:05.829Z","linkedEventCount":3,"sourceCount":3,"sources":[{"id":"futuur","name":"Futuur","icon":"/predictionmarkets/futuur.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Real-money USDC prediction exchange (with a separate play-money book)","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true},{"id":"kalshi","name":"Kalshi","icon":"/predictionmarkets/kalshi.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Exchange order book","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true},{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true}],"primaryTopic":null,"linkage":{"methods":["approved_match"],"approvedMatchPairCount":2,"approvedMatchEventCount":3,"sameFamilyEventCount":0},"previewEvents":[{"id":"811515","slug":"august-unemployment-rate-1786116586124","title":"August Unemployment Rate","description":"$e9","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/march-unemployment-rate-wpcB-Q7lTi_r.jpg","status":"open","startDate":"2026-08-07T17:10:40.937Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T08:30:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":35358.761641,"volume24h":3187.98515,"liquidity":18343.05282,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"41178078014084522418083402452946840753521408889902407952421308196583788378708","name":"4.1%","probability":37,"priceChange24h":2.5,"icon":null,"tokenId":"41178078014084522418083402452946840753521408889902407952421308196583788378708","color":null,"normalizedProbability":34.58},{"externalMarketId":"9893568629435677009025864554536342544157366952838397933595584015777457764372","name":"4.2%","probability":32,"priceChange24h":-1,"icon":null,"tokenId":"9893568629435677009025864554536342544157366952838397933595584015777457764372","color":null,"normalizedProbability":29.91},{"externalMarketId":"90835642126933464382204934019763877398282653903893696306453993204995205540680","name":"4.0%","probability":18,"priceChange24h":3,"icon":null,"tokenId":"90835642126933464382204934019763877398282653903893696306453993204995205540680","color":null,"normalizedProbability":16.82},{"externalMarketId":"109756136919900731451299010518341006930036402295658244691365874796996224568616","name":"4.3%","probability":12,"priceChange24h":-1.5,"icon":null,"tokenId":"109756136919900731451299010518341006930036402295658244691365874796996224568616","color":null,"normalizedProbability":11.21},{"externalMarketId":"59590249331588939958198983004010126295899414955564978471411245588485936691778","name":"3.9%","probability":4,"priceChange24h":1.35,"icon":null,"tokenId":"59590249331588939958198983004010126295899414955564978471411245588485936691778","color":null,"normalizedProbability":3.74},{"externalMarketId":"76868179732154571870414338086779207439720104823947177152778158433119598898227","name":"4.4%","probability":2,"priceChange24h":-0.1,"icon":null,"tokenId":"76868179732154571870414338086779207439720104823947177152778158433119598898227","color":null,"normalizedProbability":1.87},{"externalMarketId":"79837936939801075758786668981851585653648182626606018751745353419210826166315","name":"4.5%","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-0.95,"icon":null,"tokenId":"79837936939801075758786668981851585653648182626606018751745353419210826166315","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.93},{"externalMarketId":"12185793400117129291009140588842292921008408604730797111958032328787534499259","name":"≥4.6%","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-0.15,"icon":null,"tokenId":"12185793400117129291009140588842292921008408604730797111958032328787534499259","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.93},{"externalMarketId":"100623663424990757032337540684321884263399602175111998493656631362936408205852","name":"≤3.8%","probability":0,"priceChange24h":-0.2,"icon":null,"tokenId":"100623663424990757032337540684321884263399602175111998493656631362936408205852","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"normalized_complete_book","rawSum":107,"overroundPoints":7},"priceChange24h":-1,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":0.31,"bestAsk":0.32,"spread":1,"spreadPoints":1.0000000000000009,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":71,"qualityTier":"medium","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"tight","liquidityTier":"medium","volumeTier":"medium","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":true,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":9,"externalUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/august-unemployment-rate-1786116586124","source":{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"unemployment"},"directRelatedCoins":[],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":48558,"probabilityDelta":1.7000000000000015,"exceedsThreshold":false,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":"limitless","higherProbabilitySourceName":"Limitless","comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":1.7000000000000015,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":0.7999999999999998,"maxOutcomeLabel":"3.9%","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0.7999999999999998,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":"3.9%","matchedOutcomeCount":9,"totalOutcomeCount":9,"bookStructureA":"exclusive","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":true},"otherSourceId":"limitless","otherSourceName":"Limitless","otherEventSlug":"august-unemployment-rate-1786349546297","otherEventTitle":"August Unemployment Rate"}},{"id":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG","slug":"kxeconstatu3-26aug","title":"Unemployment rate in Aug 2026?","description":"If the Unemployment rate is exactly 4.1% in Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXECONSTATU3.webp","status":"open","startDate":"2025-12-15T15:00:00.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T12:29:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":53998.490000000005,"volume24h":3556.44,"liquidity":35415.06,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T4.1","name":"Exactly 4.1%","probability":38,"priceChange24h":5,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXECONSTATU3.webp","tokenId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T4.1","color":null,"normalizedProbability":32.76},{"externalMarketId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T4.2","name":"Exactly 4.2%","probability":30,"priceChange24h":-2,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXECONSTATU3.webp","tokenId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T4.2","color":null,"normalizedProbability":25.86},{"externalMarketId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T4.0","name":"Exactly 4.0%","probability":15,"priceChange24h":1,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXECONSTATU3.webp","tokenId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T4.0","color":null,"normalizedProbability":12.93},{"externalMarketId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T4.3","name":"Exactly 4.3%","probability":14,"priceChange24h":0,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXECONSTATU3.webp","tokenId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T4.3","color":null,"normalizedProbability":12.07},{"externalMarketId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T4.7","name":"Exactly 4.7%","probability":4,"priceChange24h":0,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXECONSTATU3.webp","tokenId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T4.7","color":null,"normalizedProbability":3.45},{"externalMarketId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T3.9","name":"Exactly 3.9%","probability":3,"priceChange24h":-1,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXECONSTATU3.webp","tokenId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T3.9","color":null,"normalizedProbability":2.59},{"externalMarketId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T4.8","name":"Exactly 4.8%","probability":3,"priceChange24h":0,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXECONSTATU3.webp","tokenId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T4.8","color":null,"normalizedProbability":2.59},{"externalMarketId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T4.9","name":"Exactly 4.9%","probability":3,"priceChange24h":0,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXECONSTATU3.webp","tokenId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T4.9","color":null,"normalizedProbability":2.59},{"externalMarketId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T4.6","name":"Exactly 4.6%","probability":2,"priceChange24h":1,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXECONSTATU3.webp","tokenId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T4.6","color":null,"normalizedProbability":1.72},{"externalMarketId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T3.3","name":"Exactly 3.3%","probability":2,"priceChange24h":0,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXECONSTATU3.webp","tokenId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T3.3","color":null,"normalizedProbability":1.72},{"externalMarketId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T4.4","name":"Exactly 4.4%","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-2,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXECONSTATU3.webp","tokenId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T4.4","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.86},{"externalMarketId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T4.5","name":"Exactly 4.5%","probability":1,"priceChange24h":0,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXECONSTATU3.webp","tokenId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T4.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.86},{"externalMarketId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T3.4","name":"Exactly 3.4%","probability":0,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXECONSTATU3.webp","tokenId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T3.4","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0},{"externalMarketId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T3.5","name":"Exactly 3.5%","probability":0,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXECONSTATU3.webp","tokenId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T3.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0},{"externalMarketId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T3.6","name":"Exactly 3.6%","probability":0,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXECONSTATU3.webp","tokenId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T3.6","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0},{"externalMarketId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T3.7","name":"Exactly 3.7%","probability":0,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXECONSTATU3.webp","tokenId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T3.7","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0},{"externalMarketId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T3.8","name":"Exactly 3.8%","probability":0,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXECONSTATU3.webp","tokenId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T3.8","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0},{"externalMarketId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T5.0","name":"Exactly 5.0%","probability":0,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXECONSTATU3.webp","tokenId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T5.0","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0},{"externalMarketId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T5.1","name":"Exactly 5.1%","probability":0,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXECONSTATU3.webp","tokenId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T5.1","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0},{"externalMarketId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T5.2","name":"Exactly 5.2%","probability":0,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXECONSTATU3.webp","tokenId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T5.2","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0},{"externalMarketId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T5.3","name":"Exactly 5.3%","probability":0,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXECONSTATU3.webp","tokenId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T5.3","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0},{"externalMarketId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T5.4","name":"Exactly 5.4%","probability":0,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXECONSTATU3.webp","tokenId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T5.4","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0},{"externalMarketId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T5.5","name":"Exactly 5.5%","probability":0,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXECONSTATU3.webp","tokenId":"KXECONSTATU3-26AUG-T5.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"normalized_complete_book","rawSum":116,"overroundPoints":16},"priceChange24h":5,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":0.38,"bestAsk":0.39,"spread":1,"spreadPoints":1.0000000000000009,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":67,"qualityTier":"medium","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"tight","liquidityTier":"high","volumeTier":"medium","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":true,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":23,"externalUrl":"https://kalshi.com/markets/KXECONSTATU3","source":{"id":"kalshi","name":"Kalshi","icon":"/predictionmarkets/kalshi.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Exchange order book","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"KXECONSTATU3"},"directRelatedCoins":[],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":52368,"probabilityDelta":111.5,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":111.5,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":38,"maxOutcomeLabel":"Exactly 4.1%","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":32,"bookStructureA":"exclusive","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":true},"otherSourceId":"polymarket","otherSourceName":"Polymarket","otherEventSlug":"august-unemployment-rate-1786116586124","otherEventTitle":"August Unemployment Rate"}},{"id":"242627","slug":"us-unemployment-rate-august-2026","title":"US unemployment rate — August 2026","description":"","image":"","status":"open","startDate":null,"endDate":"2026-09-04T12:29:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:30:17.384Z","ageMinutes":0,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":359.52,"volume24h":137.84,"liquidity":1744.2,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"594314","name":"Above 3.7%","probability":98,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"594314","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"594317","name":"Above 4.0%","probability":98,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"594317","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"594316","name":"Above 3.9%","probability":97,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"594316","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"594315","name":"Above 3.8%","probability":97,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"594315","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"594318","name":"Above 4.1%","probability":22,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"594318","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"594319","name":"Above 4.2%","probability":17,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"594319","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"594321","name":"Above 4.4%","probability":6,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"594321","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"594322","name":"Above 4.5%","probability":5,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"594322","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"594323","name":"Above 4.6%","probability":5,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"594323","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"594320","name":"Above 4.3%","probability":4,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"594320","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"raw_quotes","rawSum":449,"overroundPoints":null},"priceChange24h":null,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"spreadPoints":null,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":29,"qualityTier":"low","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"unknown","liquidityTier":"low","volumeTier":"low","flags":{"thinMarket":true,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":false,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":26,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":10,"externalUrl":"https://futuur.com/q/242627/us-unemployment-rate-august-2026","source":{"id":"futuur","name":"Futuur","icon":"/predictionmarkets/futuur.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Real-money USDC prediction exchange (with a separate play-money book)","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":null},"forecasting":null,"directRelatedCoins":[],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":49084,"probabilityDelta":282.5,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":282.5,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":98,"maxOutcomeLabel":"Above 3.7%","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":33,"bookStructureA":"exclusive","bookStructureB":"independent","comparableBooks":false},"otherSourceId":"kalshi","otherSourceName":"Kalshi","otherEventSlug":"kxeconstatu3-26aug","otherEventTitle":"Unemployment rate in Aug 2026?"}}]},{"slug":"2026-09-04-will-aaron-rodgers-retire-before-next-season-1h3bbw","title":"Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season","startDate":"2025-06-24T18:00:00.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T14:00:00.000Z","contentUpdatedAt":"2026-07-25T00:02:21.206Z","linkedEventCount":2,"sourceCount":2,"sources":[{"id":"kalshi","name":"Kalshi","icon":"/predictionmarkets/kalshi.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Exchange order book","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true},{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true}],"primaryTopic":null,"linkage":{"methods":["approved_match"],"approvedMatchPairCount":1,"approvedMatchEventCount":2,"sameFamilyEventCount":0},"previewEvents":[{"id":"KXARODGRETIRE-26","slug":"kxarodgretire-26","title":"Will Aaron Rodgers retire before the 2026-2027 season?","description":"If Aaron Rodgers announces their retirement before the date of the first 2026-27 season regular season game, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNote: the retirement must be intended to be effective immediately or prior to the first new season after the announcement. This market applies to retiring from the league, not the sport as a whole.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXARODGRETIRE.webp","status":"open","startDate":"2025-06-24T18:00:00.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T14:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":165661.4,"volume24h":0,"liquidity":40629.63,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"KXARODGRETIRE-26:no","name":"No","probability":98,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXARODGRETIRE.webp","tokenId":null,"color":"#ef4444","normalizedProbability":98},{"externalMarketId":"KXARODGRETIRE-26:yes","name":"Yes","probability":2,"priceChange24h":0,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXARODGRETIRE.webp","tokenId":"KXARODGRETIRE-26","color":"#22c55e","normalizedProbability":2}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"normalized_complete_book","rawSum":100,"overroundPoints":0},"priceChange24h":0,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":0.01,"spread":null,"spreadPoints":null,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":44,"qualityTier":"low","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"unknown","liquidityTier":"high","volumeTier":"unknown","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":true,"highAmbiguity":false,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":1,"externalUrl":"https://kalshi.com/markets/KXARODGRETIRE","source":{"id":"kalshi","name":"Kalshi","icon":"/predictionmarkets/kalshi.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Exchange order book","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"KXARODGRETIRE"},"directRelatedCoins":[],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":11448,"probabilityDelta":100,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":100,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":99,"maxOutcomeLabel":"No","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":4,"bookStructureA":"exclusive","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":true},"otherSourceId":"polymarket","otherSourceName":"Polymarket","otherEventSlug":"will-aaron-rodgers-retire-before-next-season","otherEventTitle":"Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?"}},{"id":"101256","slug":"will-aaron-rodgers-retire-before-next-season","title":"Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Aaron Rodgers retires from the NFL before the start of the 2026-2027 NFL regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn official announcement from Rodgers that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred, as long as the announced retirement is stated to take effect before the start of the 2026-2027 NFL regular season. Announcements that Rodgers will retire after the start of the 2026-2027 NFL regular season will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Aaron Rodgers, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-aaron-rodgers-retire-before-next-season-maWs0-uq_L_6.jpg","status":"open","startDate":"2025-12-11T00:04:25.375Z","endDate":"2026-09-10T00:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":172594.09156099998,"volume24h":0,"liquidity":2404.68394,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"103307265735195560881018309220225588575140633747732160138758887162375371374635","name":"No","probability":99,"priceChange24h":0.1,"icon":null,"tokenId":"103307265735195560881018309220225588575140633747732160138758887162375371374635","color":null,"normalizedProbability":99},{"externalMarketId":"53308502795590592913309031980173305246964858845751194178803631158495756262114","name":"Yes","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-0.1,"icon":null,"tokenId":"53308502795590592913309031980173305246964858845751194178803631158495756262114","color":null,"normalizedProbability":1}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"normalized_complete_book","rawSum":100,"overroundPoints":0},"priceChange24h":-0.1,"priceChange7d":-0.1,"bestBid":0.003,"bestAsk":0.009,"spread":0.6,"spreadPoints":0.6,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":49,"qualityTier":"low","qualityCapReason":"unassessable","spreadTier":"tight","liquidityTier":"low","volumeTier":"unknown","flags":{"thinMarket":true,"inactiveMarket":true,"highAmbiguity":false,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":1,"externalUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-aaron-rodgers-retire-before-next-season","source":{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"directRelatedCoins":[],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":11448,"probabilityDelta":100,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":100,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":99,"maxOutcomeLabel":"No","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":4,"bookStructureA":"exclusive","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":true},"otherSourceId":"kalshi","otherSourceName":"Kalshi","otherEventSlug":"kxarodgretire-26","otherEventTitle":"Will Aaron Rodgers retire before the 2026-2027 season?"}}]},{"slug":"2026-09-04-trump-approval-rating-on-september-4-16oue7","title":"Trump approval rating on September 4","startDate":"2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T15:00:00.000Z","contentUpdatedAt":"2026-09-03T01:07:26.511Z","linkedEventCount":2,"sourceCount":2,"sources":[{"id":"kalshi","name":"Kalshi","icon":"/predictionmarkets/kalshi.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Exchange order book","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true},{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true}],"primaryTopic":null,"linkage":{"methods":["approved_match"],"approvedMatchPairCount":1,"approvedMatchEventCount":2,"sameFamilyEventCount":0},"previewEvents":[{"id":"KXAPRPOTUS-26SEP04","slug":"kxaprpotus-26sep04","title":"Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026?","description":"If the President's approval rating is below 38.8% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026.","image":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXAPRPOTUS.webp","status":"open","startDate":"2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T15:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":140238.85000000003,"volume24h":39121.38,"liquidity":94077.69,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"KXAPRPOTUS-26SEP04-39.8","name":"39.7 to 39.9","probability":51,"priceChange24h":11,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXAPRPOTUS.webp","tokenId":"KXAPRPOTUS-26SEP04-39.8","color":null,"normalizedProbability":48.11},{"externalMarketId":"KXAPRPOTUS-26SEP04-39.5","name":"39.4 to 39.6","probability":28,"priceChange24h":17,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXAPRPOTUS.webp","tokenId":"KXAPRPOTUS-26SEP04-39.5","color":null,"normalizedProbability":26.42},{"externalMarketId":"KXAPRPOTUS-26SEP04-40.1","name":"40.0 to 40.2","probability":11,"priceChange24h":-12,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXAPRPOTUS.webp","tokenId":"KXAPRPOTUS-26SEP04-40.1","color":null,"normalizedProbability":10.38},{"externalMarketId":"KXAPRPOTUS-26SEP04-40.4","name":"40.3 to 40.5","probability":9,"priceChange24h":-20,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXAPRPOTUS.webp","tokenId":"KXAPRPOTUS-26SEP04-40.4","color":null,"normalizedProbability":8.49},{"externalMarketId":"KXAPRPOTUS-26SEP04-40.6","name":"Above 40.5","probability":3,"priceChange24h":-3,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXAPRPOTUS.webp","tokenId":"KXAPRPOTUS-26SEP04-40.6","color":null,"normalizedProbability":2.83},{"externalMarketId":"KXAPRPOTUS-26SEP04-38.9","name":"38.8 to 39.0","probability":2,"priceChange24h":1,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXAPRPOTUS.webp","tokenId":"KXAPRPOTUS-26SEP04-38.9","color":null,"normalizedProbability":1.89},{"externalMarketId":"KXAPRPOTUS-26SEP04-38.7","name":"Below 38.8","probability":1,"priceChange24h":0,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXAPRPOTUS.webp","tokenId":"KXAPRPOTUS-26SEP04-38.7","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.94},{"externalMarketId":"KXAPRPOTUS-26SEP04-39.2","name":"39.1 to 39.3","probability":1,"priceChange24h":0,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXAPRPOTUS.webp","tokenId":"KXAPRPOTUS-26SEP04-39.2","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.94}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"normalized_complete_book","rawSum":106,"overroundPoints":6},"priceChange24h":0,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":0.01,"bestAsk":0.03,"spread":2,"spreadPoints":1.9999999999999998,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":78,"qualityTier":"high","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"tight","liquidityTier":"high","volumeTier":"high","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":true,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":8,"externalUrl":"https://kalshi.com/markets/KXAPRPOTUS","source":{"id":"kalshi","name":"Kalshi","icon":"/predictionmarkets/kalshi.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Exchange order book","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"KXAPRPOTUS"},"directRelatedCoins":[],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":94892,"probabilityDelta":108.5,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":108.5,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":51,"maxOutcomeLabel":"39.7 to 39.9","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":14,"bookStructureA":"exclusive","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":true},"otherSourceId":"polymarket","otherSourceName":"Polymarket","otherEventSlug":"trump-approval-rating-on-september-4","otherEventTitle":"Trump approval rating on September 4?"}},{"id":"927895","slug":"trump-approval-rating-on-september-4","title":"Trump approval rating on September 4?","description":"This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.\n\nNote that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).\n\nThis market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.\n\nThe resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","status":"open","startDate":"2026-08-28T22:02:07.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T23:59:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":7356.926972,"volume24h":2506.297085,"liquidity":1381.95353,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"45198833929897927481538795337704514332127704617368930444796281598161494483804","name":"38.5–38.9","probability":48,"priceChange24h":-2.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","tokenId":"45198833929897927481538795337704514332127704617368930444796281598161494483804","color":null,"normalizedProbability":43.24},{"externalMarketId":"84930645669970415119190351378921916196781007140913141935674266742128571790679","name":"38.0–38.4","probability":33,"priceChange24h":-4,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","tokenId":"84930645669970415119190351378921916196781007140913141935674266742128571790679","color":null,"normalizedProbability":29.73},{"externalMarketId":"4133464101060396175523010021277276715650035211482239539337366429803248811522","name":"37.5–37.9","probability":17,"priceChange24h":2.45,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","tokenId":"4133464101060396175523010021277276715650035211482239539337366429803248811522","color":null,"normalizedProbability":15.32},{"externalMarketId":"40110667539895917984893352616161662306914256696534482235294086679214227065904","name":"39.0+","probability":11,"priceChange24h":10.05,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","tokenId":"40110667539895917984893352616161662306914256696534482235294086679214227065904","color":null,"normalizedProbability":9.91},{"externalMarketId":"41215808762680702605640652501031487049094191614236835233204365522979534014939","name":"<37.0","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-0.55,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","tokenId":"41215808762680702605640652501031487049094191614236835233204365522979534014939","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.9},{"externalMarketId":"68532684385453351398310504039393868490900504330191865343255463032644778816636","name":"37.0–37.4","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-0.1,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/trump-approval-rating-on-may-23-A1Y-0TrOmu6a.jpg","tokenId":"68532684385453351398310504039393868490900504330191865343255463032644778816636","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.9}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"normalized_complete_book","rawSum":111,"overroundPoints":11},"priceChange24h":-4,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":0.32,"bestAsk":0.33,"spread":1,"spreadPoints":1.0000000000000009,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":60,"qualityTier":"medium","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"tight","liquidityTier":"low","volumeTier":"medium","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":true,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":6,"externalUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-september-4","source":{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"trump-538-approval"},"directRelatedCoins":[],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":94892,"probabilityDelta":108.5,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":108.5,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":51,"maxOutcomeLabel":"39.7 to 39.9","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":14,"bookStructureA":"exclusive","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":true},"otherSourceId":"kalshi","otherSourceName":"Kalshi","otherEventSlug":"kxaprpotus-26sep04","otherEventTitle":"Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026?"}}]},{"slug":"2026-09-04-btc-price-on-september-4-166pf3","title":"BTC price on September 4","startDate":"2026-08-28T09:30:00.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z","contentUpdatedAt":"2026-09-04T02:29:07.750Z","linkedEventCount":2,"sourceCount":2,"sources":[{"id":"gemini","name":"Gemini","icon":"/predictionmarkets/gemini.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"CFTC-regulated prediction exchange; public live quotes and rolling 24h volume","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true},{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true}],"primaryTopic":{"slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},"linkage":{"methods":["approved_match"],"approvedMatchPairCount":1,"approvedMatchEventCount":2,"sameFamilyEventCount":0},"previewEvents":[{"id":"926330","slug":"bitcoin-price-on-september-4-2026","title":"Bitcoin price on September 4?","description":"This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","status":"open","startDate":"2026-08-28T16:00:20.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:30:36.031Z","ageMinutes":0,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":63280.25633999999,"volume24h":24763.815315,"liquidity":210739.7226,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"68973822264442864416918761883674010845133108343393367485067645743164689784378","name":"80,000-82,000","probability":50,"priceChange24h":44.55,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","tokenId":"68973822264442864416918761883674010845133108343393367485067645743164689784378","color":null,"normalizedProbability":49.5},{"externalMarketId":"110395549588707887825357091083721920888485513085590692582752569343386725676722","name":"78,000-80,000","probability":26,"priceChange24h":-5.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","tokenId":"110395549588707887825357091083721920888485513085590692582752569343386725676722","color":null,"normalizedProbability":25.74},{"externalMarketId":"40742861073076114675794206960404841388870832089664296756786247028174447941373","name":"82,000-84,000","probability":17,"priceChange24h":14.95,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","tokenId":"40742861073076114675794206960404841388870832089664296756786247028174447941373","color":null,"normalizedProbability":16.83},{"externalMarketId":"50282566028085799344486404103703347303349568095674363829774102051156775876207","name":"76,000-78,000","probability":3,"priceChange24h":-43.85,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","tokenId":"50282566028085799344486404103703347303349568095674363829774102051156775876207","color":null,"normalizedProbability":2.97},{"externalMarketId":"106950052508450569646605239071483816322153673140630689981166796187157456385362","name":"84,000-86,000","probability":3,"priceChange24h":2.6,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","tokenId":"106950052508450569646605239071483816322153673140630689981166796187157456385362","color":null,"normalizedProbability":2.97},{"externalMarketId":"69801961745435583911634600928362155643714600437431031777019154746019860724106","name":"74,000-76,000","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-14.8,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","tokenId":"69801961745435583911634600928362155643714600437431031777019154746019860724106","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.99},{"externalMarketId":"73833688620083251070414331949700783670578016055326107869015941567146110991900","name":"86,000-88,000","probability":1,"priceChange24h":0.55,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","tokenId":"73833688620083251070414331949700783670578016055326107869015941567146110991900","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.99},{"externalMarketId":"26587011419877676492307558697663492500140849690274981333838032595833958126114","name":"70,000-72,000","probability":0,"priceChange24h":-0.55,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","tokenId":"26587011419877676492307558697663492500140849690274981333838032595833958126114","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0},{"externalMarketId":"53925190799624476478456128057579341430418114570183083227606474884369634342026","name":"72,000-74,000","probability":0,"priceChange24h":-1.9,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","tokenId":"53925190799624476478456128057579341430418114570183083227606474884369634342026","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0},{"externalMarketId":"26054530115840874510096860234185613920991499653983832754228094102711123602967","name":"<70,000","probability":0,"priceChange24h":-2.05,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","tokenId":"26054530115840874510096860234185613920991499653983832754228094102711123602967","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0},{"externalMarketId":"12829993164551707777965030830471582633174109221429113143118612986321635139655","name":">88,000","probability":0,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","tokenId":"12829993164551707777965030830471582633174109221429113143118612986321635139655","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"normalized_complete_book","rawSum":101,"overroundPoints":1},"priceChange24h":-14.8,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":0.005,"bestAsk":0.009,"spread":0.4,"spreadPoints":0.3999999999999999,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":86,"qualityTier":"high","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"tight","liquidityTier":"high","volumeTier":"high","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":true,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":11,"externalUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-price-on-september-4-2026","source":{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"bitcoin-neg-risk-weekly"},"directRelatedCoins":[{"slug":"bitcoin","symbol":"BTC","name":"Bitcoin","matchType":"name","price":80787.25422691058,"priceChange24h":3.890976329764335}],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":93635,"probabilityDelta":585.5,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":585.5,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":97,"maxOutcomeLabel":"$$77,500 or above","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":27,"bookStructureA":"independent","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":false},"otherSourceId":"gemini","otherSourceName":"Gemini","otherEventSlug":"btc-price-on-september-4","otherEventTitle":"BTC price on September 4"}},{"id":"BTC2609042100","slug":"btc-price-on-september-4","title":"BTC price on September 4","description":"$ea","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/btc_ace6c0f4-f500-4b7d-a66c-a3ea5ea1d9e9.avif","status":"open","startDate":"2026-08-28T09:30:00.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T21:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:30:17.384Z","ageMinutes":0,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":43925.72,"volume24h":19166.06,"liquidity":0,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"219292-526203","name":"$$77,500 or above","probability":97,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-BTC2609042100-HI77500","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219292-527807","name":"$$77,000 or above","probability":97,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-BTC2609042100-HI77000","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219292-527845","name":"$$76,500 or above","probability":97,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-BTC2609042100-HI76500","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219292-527864","name":"$$76,000 or above","probability":97,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-BTC2609042100-HI76000","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219292-526205","name":"$$78,000 or above","probability":94.5,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-BTC2609042100-HI78000","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219292-547674","name":"$$75,500 or above","probability":93,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-BTC2609042100-HI75500","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219292-526207","name":"$$78,500 or above","probability":90.5,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-BTC2609042100-HI78500","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219292-526209","name":"$$79,000 or above","probability":84.5,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-BTC2609042100-HI79000","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219292-526211","name":"$$79,500 or above","probability":76,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-BTC2609042100-HI79500","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219292-526212","name":"$$80,000 or above","probability":65,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-BTC2609042100-HI80000","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219292-526214","name":"$$80,500 or above","probability":53,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-BTC2609042100-HI80500","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219292-526215","name":"$$81,000 or above","probability":41.5,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-BTC2609042100-HI81000","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219292-558368","name":"$$81,500 or above","probability":31.5,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-BTC2609042100-HI81500","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219292-558480","name":"$$82,000 or above","probability":23.5,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-BTC2609042100-HI82000","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219292-558797","name":"$$82,500 or above","probability":17,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-BTC2609042100-HI82500","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219292-560328","name":"$$83,000 or above","probability":12,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-BTC2609042100-HI83000","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"raw_quotes","rawSum":1070,"overroundPoints":null},"priceChange24h":null,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":95,"bestAsk":99,"spread":4,"spreadPoints":4,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":51,"qualityTier":"medium","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"moderate","liquidityTier":"unknown","volumeTier":"high","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":false,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":0,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":16,"externalUrl":"https://exchange.gemini.com/predictions/BTC2609042100/btc-price-on-september-4","source":{"id":"gemini","name":"Gemini","icon":"/predictionmarkets/gemini.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"CFTC-regulated prediction exchange; public live quotes and rolling 24h volume","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"points"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"BTC1H"},"directRelatedCoins":[{"slug":"bitcoin","symbol":"BTC","name":"Bitcoin","matchType":"name","price":80787.25422691058,"priceChange24h":3.890976329764335}],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":93635,"probabilityDelta":585.5,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":585.5,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":97,"maxOutcomeLabel":"$$77,500 or above","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":27,"bookStructureA":"independent","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":false},"otherSourceId":"polymarket","otherSourceName":"Polymarket","otherEventSlug":"bitcoin-price-on-september-4-2026","otherEventTitle":"Bitcoin price on September 4?"}}]},{"slug":"2026-09-04-eth-price-on-september-4-m6nl13","title":"ETH price on September 4","startDate":"2026-08-28T09:30:00.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z","contentUpdatedAt":"2026-09-03T17:30:50.812Z","linkedEventCount":2,"sourceCount":2,"sources":[{"id":"gemini","name":"Gemini","icon":"/predictionmarkets/gemini.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"CFTC-regulated prediction exchange; public live quotes and rolling 24h volume","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true},{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true}],"primaryTopic":{"slug":"ethereum","label":"Ethereum"},"linkage":{"methods":["approved_match"],"approvedMatchPairCount":1,"approvedMatchEventCount":2,"sameFamilyEventCount":0},"previewEvents":[{"id":"926335","slug":"ethereum-price-on-september-4-2026","title":"Ethereum price on September 4?","description":"This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","status":"open","startDate":"2026-08-28T16:00:22.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":6091.422503,"volume24h":3452.860505,"liquidity":68174.17482,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"52724120753464715679479741171842351009872600892016635500306353332840645459531","name":"2,500-2,600","probability":46,"priceChange24h":41.75,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","tokenId":"52724120753464715679479741171842351009872600892016635500306353332840645459531","color":null,"normalizedProbability":44.66},{"externalMarketId":"46146069564527276496075440300460641417628885225717704069805698307881420520859","name":"2,400-2,500","probability":44,"priceChange24h":5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","tokenId":"46146069564527276496075440300460641417628885225717704069805698307881420520859","color":null,"normalizedProbability":42.72},{"externalMarketId":"64791625288005641603942253762260265679184426575402586089441446482959051987086","name":"2,600-2,700","probability":5,"priceChange24h":3.6,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","tokenId":"64791625288005641603942253762260265679184426575402586089441446482959051987086","color":null,"normalizedProbability":4.85},{"externalMarketId":"60890560201210131101787941927653984203871935444838787558724644919311452052384","name":"2,300-2,400","probability":4,"priceChange24h":-45.95,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","tokenId":"60890560201210131101787941927653984203871935444838787558724644919311452052384","color":null,"normalizedProbability":3.88},{"externalMarketId":"97206859702721763759478866077330748425375273461643267886941045479772435434223","name":"2,100-2,200","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-1.6,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","tokenId":"97206859702721763759478866077330748425375273461643267886941045479772435434223","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.97},{"externalMarketId":"95907150820187001904779879552473241109071045653664403962624619892564154624899","name":"2,200-2,300","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-7.75,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","tokenId":"95907150820187001904779879552473241109071045653664403962624619892564154624899","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.97},{"externalMarketId":"41154862624043841972128454536851724739285487014677646018194561704236430346958","name":"2,700-2,800","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-1.05,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","tokenId":"41154862624043841972128454536851724739285487014677646018194561704236430346958","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.97},{"externalMarketId":"52388686830934624041497425699029814994781834067502792439618898743505443109726","name":"2,800-2,900","probability":1,"priceChange24h":0.2,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","tokenId":"52388686830934624041497425699029814994781834067502792439618898743505443109726","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.97},{"externalMarketId":"51067921459823086875828481443410781805575011767260007055493884398941049409886","name":"<2,000","probability":0,"priceChange24h":-0.55,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","tokenId":"51067921459823086875828481443410781805575011767260007055493884398941049409886","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0},{"externalMarketId":"12967820382607475402819597217233295730325390463541760274307044187981021115139","name":"2,000-2,100","probability":0,"priceChange24h":-0.4,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","tokenId":"12967820382607475402819597217233295730325390463541760274307044187981021115139","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0},{"externalMarketId":"89668594887120934365930688340738209058624623320962303914292935332427019061826","name":">2,900","probability":0,"priceChange24h":-1.15,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","tokenId":"89668594887120934365930688340738209058624623320962303914292935332427019061826","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"normalized_complete_book","rawSum":103,"overroundPoints":3},"priceChange24h":-7.75,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":0.004,"bestAsk":0.011,"spread":0.7,"spreadPoints":0.7,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":78,"qualityTier":"high","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"tight","liquidityTier":"high","volumeTier":"medium","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":true,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":11,"externalUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/ethereum-price-on-september-4-2026","source":{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"ethereum-neg-risk-weekly"},"directRelatedCoins":[{"slug":"ethereum","symbol":"ETH","name":"Ethereum","matchType":"name","price":2501.333057020252,"priceChange24h":4.027065112329058}],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":93634,"probabilityDelta":238,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":238,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":95,"maxOutcomeLabel":"$$2,400 or above","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":18,"bookStructureA":"independent","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":false},"otherSourceId":"gemini","otherSourceName":"Gemini","otherEventSlug":"eth-price-on-september-4","otherEventTitle":"ETH price on September 4"}},{"id":"ETH2609042100","slug":"eth-price-on-september-4","title":"ETH price on September 4","description":"$eb","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/eth_427f68cf-9bf1-4b52-9738-6e906c1e2146.avif","status":"open","startDate":"2026-08-28T09:30:00.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T21:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:30:17.384Z","ageMinutes":0,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":675.86,"volume24h":142.3,"liquidity":0,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"219291-526199","name":"$$2,400 or above","probability":95,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-ETH2609042100-HI2400","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219291-526201","name":"$$2,440 or above","probability":85,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-ETH2609042100-HI2440","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219291-526197","name":"$$2,360 or above","probability":81,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-ETH2609042100-HI2360","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219291-526202","name":"$$2,480 or above","probability":62,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-ETH2609042100-HI2480","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219291-526204","name":"$$2,520 or above","probability":32,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-ETH2609042100-HI2520","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219291-526206","name":"$$2,560 or above","probability":13,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-ETH2609042100-HI2560","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219291-526208","name":"$$2,600 or above","probability":5,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-ETH2609042100-HI2600","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"raw_quotes","rawSum":373,"overroundPoints":null},"priceChange24h":null,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":93,"bestAsk":97,"spread":4,"spreadPoints":4,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":41,"qualityTier":"low","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"moderate","liquidityTier":"unknown","volumeTier":"low","flags":{"thinMarket":true,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":false,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":0,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":7,"externalUrl":"https://exchange.gemini.com/predictions/ETH2609042100/eth-price-on-september-4","source":{"id":"gemini","name":"Gemini","icon":"/predictionmarkets/gemini.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"CFTC-regulated prediction exchange; public live quotes and rolling 24h volume","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"points"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"ETH1H"},"directRelatedCoins":[{"slug":"ethereum","symbol":"ETH","name":"Ethereum","matchType":"name","price":2501.333057020252,"priceChange24h":4.027065112329058}],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":93634,"probabilityDelta":238,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":238,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":95,"maxOutcomeLabel":"$$2,400 or above","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":18,"bookStructureA":"independent","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":false},"otherSourceId":"polymarket","otherSourceName":"Polymarket","otherEventSlug":"ethereum-price-on-september-4-2026","otherEventTitle":"Ethereum price on September 4?"}}]},{"slug":"2026-09-04-sol-price-on-september-4-6ziwsz","title":"SOL price on September 4","startDate":"2026-08-28T09:30:00.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z","contentUpdatedAt":"2026-09-04T01:58:48.041Z","linkedEventCount":2,"sourceCount":2,"sources":[{"id":"gemini","name":"Gemini","icon":"/predictionmarkets/gemini.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"CFTC-regulated prediction exchange; public live quotes and rolling 24h volume","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true},{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true}],"primaryTopic":{"slug":"solana","label":"Solana"},"linkage":{"methods":["approved_match"],"approvedMatchPairCount":1,"approvedMatchEventCount":2,"sameFamilyEventCount":0},"previewEvents":[{"id":"926339","slug":"solana-price-on-september-4-2026","title":"Solana price on September 4?","description":"This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/SOL-logo.png","status":"open","startDate":"2026-08-28T16:00:31.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":3980.8263739999998,"volume24h":3087.480574,"liquidity":28918.02085,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"34181159903792999866920223381952082760755097850040923594080439635342130720760","name":"100-110","probability":92,"priceChange24h":56.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/SOL-logo.png","tokenId":"34181159903792999866920223381952082760755097850040923594080439635342130720760","color":null,"normalizedProbability":88.46},{"externalMarketId":"52419619470801267579202341114677905187609204336207404982428976657279740715740","name":"90-100","probability":7,"priceChange24h":-42.35,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/SOL-logo.png","tokenId":"52419619470801267579202341114677905187609204336207404982428976657279740715740","color":null,"normalizedProbability":6.73},{"externalMarketId":"72060415198685991549230533417766793504566912349416527195517024969953780504207","name":"110-120","probability":2,"priceChange24h":-45.7,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/SOL-logo.png","tokenId":"72060415198685991549230533417766793504566912349416527195517024969953780504207","color":null,"normalizedProbability":1.92},{"externalMarketId":"22606441439416332514556599062310003150333553511448678300617798765462321222805","name":"70-80","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-47.9,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/SOL-logo.png","tokenId":"22606441439416332514556599062310003150333553511448678300617798765462321222805","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.96},{"externalMarketId":"66380346199887837180782941201086216654551327874153761776189531744591480997927","name":"80-90","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-48.15,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/SOL-logo.png","tokenId":"66380346199887837180782941201086216654551327874153761776189531744591480997927","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.96},{"externalMarketId":"31925975257328657809112120429503620449554816383769095522897031996138251406901","name":"120-130","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-47.6,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/SOL-logo.png","tokenId":"31925975257328657809112120429503620449554816383769095522897031996138251406901","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.96},{"externalMarketId":"54053769050506577324190479399106288387072471941208781949499535437295967261779","name":"<60","probability":0,"priceChange24h":-0.45,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/SOL-logo.png","tokenId":"54053769050506577324190479399106288387072471941208781949499535437295967261779","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0},{"externalMarketId":"35679628036480847297834376952122814537794821648280024442845196765368887745232","name":"60-70","probability":0,"priceChange24h":-0.4,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/SOL-logo.png","tokenId":"35679628036480847297834376952122814537794821648280024442845196765368887745232","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0},{"externalMarketId":"78266604826304383474832029765789665111126142792819059807922873003713101114270","name":"130-140","probability":0,"priceChange24h":-48.15,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/SOL-logo.png","tokenId":"78266604826304383474832029765789665111126142792819059807922873003713101114270","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0},{"externalMarketId":"101070109114131428141802892560584825615449186430011513189784535997765706409794","name":"140-150","probability":0,"priceChange24h":-48.2,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/SOL-logo.png","tokenId":"101070109114131428141802892560584825615449186430011513189784535997765706409794","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0},{"externalMarketId":"55397778786906764124591876314117646959769608288933053156326438526426351789052","name":">150","probability":0,"priceChange24h":-0.45,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/SOL-logo.png","tokenId":"55397778786906764124591876314117646959769608288933053156326438526426351789052","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"normalized_complete_book","rawSum":104,"overroundPoints":4},"priceChange24h":-48.2,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":0.001,"spread":null,"spreadPoints":null,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":50,"qualityTier":"medium","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"unknown","liquidityTier":"high","volumeTier":"medium","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":false,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":11,"externalUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/solana-price-on-september-4-2026","source":{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"solana-neg-risk-weekly"},"directRelatedCoins":[{"slug":"solana","symbol":"SOL","name":"Solana","matchType":"name","price":103.5408390016513,"priceChange24h":2.486075623162169}],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":95354,"probabilityDelta":339.25,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":339.25,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":95.5,"maxOutcomeLabel":"$$99 or above","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":24,"bookStructureA":"independent","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":false},"otherSourceId":"gemini","otherSourceName":"Gemini","otherEventSlug":"sol-price-on-september-4","otherEventTitle":"SOL price on September 4"}},{"id":"SOL2609042100","slug":"sol-price-on-september-4","title":"SOL price on September 4","description":"$ec","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/sol_0e1cf18e-eff3-4570-a348-210cd5434e8f.avif","status":"open","startDate":"2026-08-28T09:30:00.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T21:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":547.47,"volume24h":233.11,"liquidity":0,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"219290-540831","name":"$$99 or above","probability":95.5,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-SOL2609042100-HI99","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219290-528229","name":"$$100 or above","probability":91.5,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-SOL2609042100-HI100","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219290-527863","name":"$$101 or above","probability":83.5,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-SOL2609042100-HI101","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219290-526187","name":"$$102 or above","probability":73,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-SOL2609042100-HI102","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219290-547552","name":"$$97 or above","probability":66,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-SOL2609042100-HI97","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219290-526189","name":"$$103 or above","probability":57,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-SOL2609042100-HI103","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219290-526191","name":"$$104 or above","probability":41,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-SOL2609042100-HI104","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219290-526193","name":"$$105 or above","probability":28.5,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-SOL2609042100-HI105","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219290-526194","name":"$$106 or above","probability":17,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-SOL2609042100-HI106","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219290-526196","name":"$$107 or above","probability":9,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-SOL2609042100-HI107","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219290-526198","name":"$$108 or above","probability":5.5,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-SOL2609042100-HI108","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219290-526200","name":"$$109 or above","probability":3.5,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-SOL2609042100-HI109","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219290-527690","name":"$$110 or above","probability":3.5,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-SOL2609042100-HI110","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"raw_quotes","rawSum":574.5,"overroundPoints":null},"priceChange24h":null,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":93,"bestAsk":98,"spread":5,"spreadPoints":5,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":41,"qualityTier":"low","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"moderate","liquidityTier":"unknown","volumeTier":"low","flags":{"thinMarket":true,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":false,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":0,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":13,"externalUrl":"https://exchange.gemini.com/predictions/SOL2609042100/sol-price-on-september-4","source":{"id":"gemini","name":"Gemini","icon":"/predictionmarkets/gemini.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"CFTC-regulated prediction exchange; public live quotes and rolling 24h volume","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"points"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"SOL1H"},"directRelatedCoins":[{"slug":"solana","symbol":"SOL","name":"Solana","matchType":"name","price":103.5408390016513,"priceChange24h":2.486075623162169}],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":95354,"probabilityDelta":339.25,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":339.25,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":95.5,"maxOutcomeLabel":"$$99 or above","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":24,"bookStructureA":"independent","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":false},"otherSourceId":"polymarket","otherSourceName":"Polymarket","otherEventSlug":"solana-price-on-september-4-2026","otherEventTitle":"Solana price on September 4?"}}]},{"slug":"2026-09-04-xrp-price-on-september-4-rnvlct","title":"XRP price on September 4","startDate":"2026-08-28T09:30:00.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z","contentUpdatedAt":"2026-09-04T01:58:51.197Z","linkedEventCount":2,"sourceCount":2,"sources":[{"id":"gemini","name":"Gemini","icon":"/predictionmarkets/gemini.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"CFTC-regulated prediction exchange; public live quotes and rolling 24h volume","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true},{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true}],"primaryTopic":{"slug":"xrp","label":"XRP"},"linkage":{"methods":["approved_match","same_family_same_day"],"approvedMatchPairCount":1,"approvedMatchEventCount":2,"sameFamilyEventCount":2},"previewEvents":[{"id":"926343","slug":"xrp-price-on-september-4-2026","title":"XRP price on September 4?","description":"This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/XRP-logo.png","status":"open","startDate":"2026-08-28T16:00:32.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":3881.345157,"volume24h":3655.249157,"liquidity":18873.86026,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"13952552568088452117534497366744490698080207101795366913116603663357840460470","name":"1.40-1.50","probability":80,"priceChange24h":33.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/XRP-logo.png","tokenId":"13952552568088452117534497366744490698080207101795366913116603663357840460470","color":null,"normalizedProbability":72.73},{"externalMarketId":"77019493249291070354015535514736036952513257011679651656243690764965147614801","name":"1.30-1.40","probability":16,"priceChange24h":-31,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/XRP-logo.png","tokenId":"77019493249291070354015535514736036952513257011679651656243690764965147614801","color":null,"normalizedProbability":14.55},{"externalMarketId":"64257106148764901671888380563198737262096423825437398005910150269015889190657","name":"1.50-1.60","probability":7,"priceChange24h":-35.25,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/XRP-logo.png","tokenId":"64257106148764901671888380563198737262096423825437398005910150269015889190657","color":null,"normalizedProbability":6.36},{"externalMarketId":"68322395906478653710402793137107378259660891905644986747324453189395742508807","name":"1.60-1.70","probability":2,"priceChange24h":-39.15,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/XRP-logo.png","tokenId":"68322395906478653710402793137107378259660891905644986747324453189395742508807","color":null,"normalizedProbability":1.82},{"externalMarketId":"109762257649442460873089961856788036167994392339349515431044923688523205877642","name":"1.70-1.80","probability":2,"priceChange24h":-42.05,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/XRP-logo.png","tokenId":"109762257649442460873089961856788036167994392339349515431044923688523205877642","color":null,"normalizedProbability":1.82},{"externalMarketId":"53522036004170206364615556656405232062528110962028467538438769035134134644227","name":"1.10-1.20","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-40.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/XRP-logo.png","tokenId":"53522036004170206364615556656405232062528110962028467538438769035134134644227","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.91},{"externalMarketId":"104417910659675391999909619338010812830251137372535145431207439014875485553005","name":"1.20-1.30","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-45.95,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/XRP-logo.png","tokenId":"104417910659675391999909619338010812830251137372535145431207439014875485553005","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.91},{"externalMarketId":"109336399481648044295914778713924928207642212996859933283843750091925618311475","name":"1.80-1.90","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-45.45,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/XRP-logo.png","tokenId":"109336399481648044295914778713924928207642212996859933283843750091925618311475","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.91},{"externalMarketId":"44960568660572781359399262586080478910747932649081295196079360468688962876722","name":"<1.00","probability":0,"priceChange24h":-0.05,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/XRP-logo.png","tokenId":"44960568660572781359399262586080478910747932649081295196079360468688962876722","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0},{"externalMarketId":"55476143924575188111403671538132566629963557772257588032490050908675679849062","name":"1.00-1.10","probability":0,"priceChange24h":-41.2,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/XRP-logo.png","tokenId":"55476143924575188111403671538132566629963557772257588032490050908675679849062","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0},{"externalMarketId":"71434041788325175650129773561787842789826882228074611774039373361683885422471","name":">1.90","probability":0,"priceChange24h":-0.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/XRP-logo.png","tokenId":"71434041788325175650129773561787842789826882228074611774039373361683885422471","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"normalized_complete_book","rawSum":110,"overroundPoints":10},"priceChange24h":-31,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":0.13,"bestAsk":0.18,"spread":5,"spreadPoints":4.999999999999999,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":60,"qualityTier":"medium","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"moderate","liquidityTier":"medium","volumeTier":"medium","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":false,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":11,"externalUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/xrp-price-on-september-4-2026","source":{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"xrp-neg-risk-weekly"},"directRelatedCoins":[{"slug":"xrp","symbol":"XRP","name":"XRP","matchType":"name","price":1.44156416011021,"priceChange24h":5.17770442971879}],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":95353,"probabilityDelta":317,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":317,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":93.5,"maxOutcomeLabel":"$$1.38 or above","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":21,"bookStructureA":"independent","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":false},"otherSourceId":"gemini","otherSourceName":"Gemini","otherEventSlug":"xrp-price-on-september-4","otherEventTitle":"XRP price on September 4"}},{"id":"XRP2609042100","slug":"xrp-price-on-september-4","title":"XRP price on September 4","description":"$ed","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/xrp_df628348-77d6-4859-bbd6-fdf14bb8b482.avif","status":"open","startDate":"2026-08-28T09:30:00.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T21:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":4357.21,"volume24h":1933.25,"liquidity":0,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"219289-526182","name":"$$1.38 or above","probability":93.5,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-XRP2609042100-HI1D38","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219289-526180","name":"$$1.36 or above","probability":91,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-XRP2609042100-HI1D36","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219289-526184","name":"$$1.4 or above","probability":84,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-XRP2609042100-HI1D40","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219289-526186","name":"$$1.42 or above","probability":69.5,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-XRP2609042100-HI1D42","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219289-528179","name":"$$1.32 or above","probability":64,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-XRP2609042100-HI1D32","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219289-526178","name":"$$1.34 or above","probability":61,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-XRP2609042100-HI1D34","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219289-526188","name":"$$1.44 or above","probability":50,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-XRP2609042100-HI1D44","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219289-526190","name":"$$1.46 or above","probability":31,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-XRP2609042100-HI1D46","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219289-526192","name":"$$1.48 or above","probability":17,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-XRP2609042100-HI1D48","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219289-558467","name":"$$1.5 or above","probability":8.5,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-XRP2609042100-HI1D50","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"219289-560127","name":"$$1.52 or above","probability":4.5,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-XRP2609042100-HI1D52","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"raw_quotes","rawSum":574,"overroundPoints":null},"priceChange24h":null,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":91,"bestAsk":96,"spread":5,"spreadPoints":5,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":45,"qualityTier":"low","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"moderate","liquidityTier":"unknown","volumeTier":"medium","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":false,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":0,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":11,"externalUrl":"https://exchange.gemini.com/predictions/XRP2609042100/xrp-price-on-september-4","source":{"id":"gemini","name":"Gemini","icon":"/predictionmarkets/gemini.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"CFTC-regulated prediction exchange; public live quotes and rolling 24h volume","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"points"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"XRP1H"},"directRelatedCoins":[{"slug":"xrp","symbol":"XRP","name":"XRP","matchType":"name","price":1.44156416011021,"priceChange24h":5.17770442971879}],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":95353,"probabilityDelta":317,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":null,"higherProbabilitySourceName":null,"comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":317,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":93.5,"maxOutcomeLabel":"$$1.38 or above","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":0,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":null,"matchedOutcomeCount":0,"totalOutcomeCount":21,"bookStructureA":"independent","bookStructureB":"exclusive","comparableBooks":false},"otherSourceId":"polymarket","otherSourceName":"Polymarket","otherEventSlug":"xrp-price-on-september-4-2026","otherEventTitle":"XRP price on September 4?"}}]},{"slug":"2026-09-04-oil-price-wti-on-sep-4-2026-uv1tny","title":"Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 4, 2026","startDate":"2026-08-28T23:30:00.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T18:30:00.000Z","contentUpdatedAt":"2026-09-04T02:07:27.945Z","linkedEventCount":2,"sourceCount":1,"sources":[{"id":"kalshi","name":"Kalshi","icon":"/predictionmarkets/kalshi.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Exchange order book","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true}],"primaryTopic":null,"linkage":{"methods":["same_family_same_day"],"approvedMatchPairCount":0,"approvedMatchEventCount":0,"sameFamilyEventCount":2},"previewEvents":[{"id":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414","slug":"kxwtiw-26sep0414","title":"Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 4, 2026?","description":"If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(October 2026 contract) on September 04, 2026 is between 91.00-91.99 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.","image":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTIW.webp","status":"open","startDate":"2026-08-28T23:30:00.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T18:30:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":178884.70000000004,"volume24h":59740.719999999994,"liquidity":126664.67000000001,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B91.50","name":"$$91.00 to $91.99","probability":26,"priceChange24h":12,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTIW.webp","tokenId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B91.50","color":null,"normalizedProbability":21.31},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B92.50","name":"$$92.00 to $92.99","probability":21,"priceChange24h":8,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTIW.webp","tokenId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B92.50","color":null,"normalizedProbability":17.21},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B90.50","name":"$$90.00 to $90.99","probability":17,"priceChange24h":2,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTIW.webp","tokenId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B90.50","color":null,"normalizedProbability":13.93},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B93.50","name":"$$93.00 to $93.99","probability":12,"priceChange24h":5,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTIW.webp","tokenId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B93.50","color":null,"normalizedProbability":9.84},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B89.50","name":"$$89.00 to $89.99","probability":10,"priceChange24h":-1,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTIW.webp","tokenId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B89.50","color":null,"normalizedProbability":8.2},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B95.50","name":"$$95.00 to $95.99","probability":5,"priceChange24h":2,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTIW.webp","tokenId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B95.50","color":null,"normalizedProbability":4.1},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B94.50","name":"$$94.00 to $94.99","probability":5,"priceChange24h":2,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTIW.webp","tokenId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B94.50","color":null,"normalizedProbability":4.1},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B88.50","name":"$$88.00 to $88.99","probability":4,"priceChange24h":-7,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTIW.webp","tokenId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B88.50","color":null,"normalizedProbability":3.28},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-T95.99","name":"Above $95.99","probability":3,"priceChange24h":-2,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTIW.webp","tokenId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-T95.99","color":null,"normalizedProbability":2.46},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B72.50","name":"$$72.00 to $72.99","probability":2,"priceChange24h":0,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTIW.webp","tokenId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B72.50","color":null,"normalizedProbability":1.64},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B73.50","name":"$$73.00 to $73.99","probability":2,"priceChange24h":0,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTIW.webp","tokenId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B73.50","color":null,"normalizedProbability":1.64},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-T71.00","name":"Below $71.00","probability":1,"priceChange24h":0,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTIW.webp","tokenId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-T71.00","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.82},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B86.50","name":"$$86.00 to $86.99","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-1,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTIW.webp","tokenId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B86.50","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.82},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B85.50","name":"$$85.00 to $85.99","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-1,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTIW.webp","tokenId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B85.50","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.82},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B87.50","name":"$$87.00 to $87.99","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-6,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTIW.webp","tokenId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B87.50","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.82},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B79.50","name":"$$79.00 to $79.99","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-5,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTIW.webp","tokenId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B79.50","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.82},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B82.50","name":"$$82.00 to $82.99","probability":1,"priceChange24h":0,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTIW.webp","tokenId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B82.50","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.82},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B83.50","name":"$$83.00 to $83.99","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-1,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTIW.webp","tokenId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B83.50","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.82},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B84.50","name":"$$84.00 to $84.99","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-3,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTIW.webp","tokenId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B84.50","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.82},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B75.50","name":"$$75.00 to $75.99","probability":1,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTIW.webp","tokenId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B75.50","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.82},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B76.50","name":"$$76.00 to $76.99","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-1,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTIW.webp","tokenId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B76.50","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.82},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B77.50","name":"$$77.00 to $77.99","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-1,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTIW.webp","tokenId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B77.50","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.82},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B78.50","name":"$$78.00 to $78.99","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-1,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTIW.webp","tokenId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B78.50","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.82},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B71.50","name":"$$71.00 to $71.99","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-1,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTIW.webp","tokenId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B71.50","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.82},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B80.50","name":"$$80.00 to $80.99","probability":1,"priceChange24h":0,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTIW.webp","tokenId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B80.50","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.82},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B81.50","name":"$$81.00 to $81.99","probability":1,"priceChange24h":0,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTIW.webp","tokenId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B81.50","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0.82},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B74.50","name":"$$74.00 to $74.99","probability":0,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTIW.webp","tokenId":"KXWTIW-26SEP0414-B74.50","color":null,"normalizedProbability":0}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"normalized_complete_book","rawSum":122,"overroundPoints":22},"priceChange24h":12,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":0.23,"bestAsk":0.26,"spread":3,"spreadPoints":3,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":68,"qualityTier":"medium","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"moderate","liquidityTier":"high","volumeTier":"high","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":true,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":27,"externalUrl":"https://kalshi.com/markets/KXWTIW","source":{"id":"kalshi","name":"Kalshi","icon":"/predictionmarkets/kalshi.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Exchange order book","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"KXWTIW"},"directRelatedCoins":[],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":null},{"id":"KXWTI-26SEP0414","slug":"kxwti-26sep0414","title":"Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 4, 2026?","description":"If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(October 2026 contract) on September 04, 2026 is above 90.49 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nSettlement is based on the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract 2 business days before the current contract's last trading day. For example, if the May 2026 contract's last trading day is April 28, the active month switches from May → June 2 business days prior to the expiry date.\n\nThe settlement contract and corresponding month represent standard exchange symbology where contracts are named after their delivery month, not their expiration date.The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.","image":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTI.webp","status":"open","startDate":"2026-09-02T23:30:00.000Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T18:30:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":63645.00999999999,"volume24h":59643.03999999999,"liquidity":55253.14999999999,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T84.49","name":"Above $84.49","probability":99,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTI.webp","tokenId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T84.49","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T85.99","name":"Above $85.99","probability":99,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTI.webp","tokenId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T85.99","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T85.49","name":"Above $85.49","probability":99,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTI.webp","tokenId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T85.49","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T83.49","name":"Above $83.49","probability":99,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTI.webp","tokenId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T83.49","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T86.49","name":"Above $86.49","probability":99,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTI.webp","tokenId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T86.49","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T87.99","name":"Above $87.99","probability":98,"priceChange24h":9,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTI.webp","tokenId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T87.99","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T86.99","name":"Above $86.99","probability":97,"priceChange24h":3,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTI.webp","tokenId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T86.99","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T87.49","name":"Above $87.49","probability":97,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTI.webp","tokenId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T87.49","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T84.99","name":"Above $84.99","probability":96,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTI.webp","tokenId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T84.99","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T83.99","name":"Above $83.99","probability":96,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTI.webp","tokenId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T83.99","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T88.49","name":"Above $88.49","probability":96,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTI.webp","tokenId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T88.49","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T88.99","name":"Above $88.99","probability":96,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTI.webp","tokenId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T88.99","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T89.49","name":"Above $89.49","probability":94,"priceChange24h":19,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTI.webp","tokenId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T89.49","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T89.99","name":"Above $89.99","probability":89,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTI.webp","tokenId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T89.99","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T90.49","name":"Above $90.49","probability":84,"priceChange24h":30,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTI.webp","tokenId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T90.49","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T90.99","name":"Above $90.99","probability":72,"priceChange24h":27,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTI.webp","tokenId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T90.99","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T91.49","name":"Above $91.49","probability":59,"priceChange24h":19,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTI.webp","tokenId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T91.49","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T91.99","name":"Above $91.99","probability":50,"priceChange24h":11,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTI.webp","tokenId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T91.99","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T92.49","name":"Above $92.49","probability":38,"priceChange24h":5,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTI.webp","tokenId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T92.49","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T92.99","name":"Above $92.99","probability":26,"priceChange24h":11,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTI.webp","tokenId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T92.99","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T93.49","name":"Above $93.49","probability":19,"priceChange24h":8,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTI.webp","tokenId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T93.49","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T93.99","name":"Above $93.99","probability":11,"priceChange24h":2,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTI.webp","tokenId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T93.99","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T94.49","name":"Above $94.49","probability":6,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTI.webp","tokenId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T94.49","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T94.99","name":"Above $94.99","probability":4,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTI.webp","tokenId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T94.99","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T95.99","name":"Above $95.99","probability":3,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTI.webp","tokenId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T95.99","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T97.99","name":"Above $97.99","probability":1,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTI.webp","tokenId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T97.99","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T97.49","name":"Above $97.49","probability":1,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTI.webp","tokenId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T97.49","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T96.99","name":"Above $96.99","probability":1,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTI.webp","tokenId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T96.99","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T95.49","name":"Above $95.49","probability":0,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTI.webp","tokenId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T95.49","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T96.49","name":"Above $96.49","probability":0,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/series-images-webp/KXWTI.webp","tokenId":"KXWTI-26SEP0414-T96.49","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"raw_quotes","rawSum":1729,"overroundPoints":null},"priceChange24h":30,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":0.83,"bestAsk":0.84,"spread":1,"spreadPoints":1.0000000000000009,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":74,"qualityTier":"medium","qualityCapReason":"raw_book","spreadTier":"tight","liquidityTier":"high","volumeTier":"high","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":false,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":30,"externalUrl":"https://kalshi.com/markets/KXWTI","source":{"id":"kalshi","name":"Kalshi","icon":"/predictionmarkets/kalshi.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Exchange order book","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"KXWTI"},"directRelatedCoins":[],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":null}]},{"slug":"2026-09-04-what-will-s-p-500-spy-hit-week-of-august-31-2026-int10m","title":"What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of August 31 2026","startDate":"2026-08-28T22:01:32.805Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T20:00:00.000Z","contentUpdatedAt":"2026-09-03T16:44:40.758Z","linkedEventCount":2,"sourceCount":2,"sources":[{"id":"limitless","name":"Limitless","icon":"/predictionmarkets/limitless.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"On-chain prediction market on Base","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true},{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true}],"primaryTopic":null,"linkage":{"methods":["approved_match","same_family_same_day"],"approvedMatchPairCount":1,"approvedMatchEventCount":2,"sameFamilyEventCount":2},"previewEvents":[{"id":"927892","slug":"will-spy-hit-week-of-august-31-2026","title":"What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of August 31 2026?","description":"What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of August 31 2026?","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/s-and-p-500-1e40af6979.png","status":"open","startDate":"2026-08-28T22:01:32.805Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T20:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":48806.170874,"volume24h":5402.099573,"liquidity":30207.12655,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"95341743863243463745859491180518452192178240211608594671652725469202372758813","name":"↑ $770","probability":100,"priceChange24h":56.45,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/s-and-p-500-1e40af6979.png","tokenId":"95341743863243463745859491180518452192178240211608594671652725469202372758813","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"27790280194071755371746087383137289685582339701469083994581449934614326979486","name":"↓ $765","probability":100,"priceChange24h":45.95,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/s-and-p-500-1e40af6979.png","tokenId":"27790280194071755371746087383137289685582339701469083994581449934614326979486","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"7481657359175869886517045008667029456845173697011708261298396886013772439299","name":"↓ $760","probability":100,"priceChange24h":48.45,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/s-and-p-500-1e40af6979.png","tokenId":"7481657359175869886517045008667029456845173697011708261298396886013772439299","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"11191982909748814015848870754648458645307239871249975868967742651497209460316","name":"↓ $765","probability":100,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/s-and-p-500-1e40af6979.png","tokenId":"11191982909748814015848870754648458645307239871249975868967742651497209460316","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"5937644517915294883028063790716525120522529524381765612455992617036878118090","name":"↑ $765","probability":100,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/s-and-p-500-1e40af6979.png","tokenId":"5937644517915294883028063790716525120522529524381765612455992617036878118090","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"13420613607066967063330210713348242043162489277793505661058153655285987971274","name":"↓ $765","probability":100,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/s-and-p-500-1e40af6979.png","tokenId":"13420613607066967063330210713348242043162489277793505661058153655285987971274","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"33878848740534989198677170939646548569787994959239647301931018562413624861972","name":"↑ $775","probability":64,"priceChange24h":52,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/s-and-p-500-1e40af6979.png","tokenId":"33878848740534989198677170939646548569787994959239647301931018562413624861972","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"94930329886606331016382776823126988417110081737755940400148532379450846047618","name":"↓ $765","probability":51,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/s-and-p-500-1e40af6979.png","tokenId":"94930329886606331016382776823126988417110081737755940400148532379450846047618","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"37922576766998972108568816594273741852640401059837834529350006157540920071040","name":"↓ $770","probability":44,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/s-and-p-500-1e40af6979.png","tokenId":"37922576766998972108568816594273741852640401059837834529350006157540920071040","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"30409975225850748471994563892499213724391226080615195253281115258039500964825","name":"↑ $780","probability":12,"priceChange24h":6.55,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/s-and-p-500-1e40af6979.png","tokenId":"30409975225850748471994563892499213724391226080615195253281115258039500964825","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"99944267414653297051927163526075261079874040492193352929498033936365998484648","name":"↓ $740","probability":7,"priceChange24h":-0.9,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/s-and-p-500-1e40af6979.png","tokenId":"99944267414653297051927163526075261079874040492193352929498033936365998484648","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"69134168574110755063272444049088746616325742886087273705235800732584613891926","name":"↓ $735","probability":6,"priceChange24h":-1.1,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/s-and-p-500-1e40af6979.png","tokenId":"69134168574110755063272444049088746616325742886087273705235800732584613891926","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"53116547501739372759139979057007980941744602020467429259664551538013851389474","name":"↓ $750","probability":3,"priceChange24h":-4.2,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/s-and-p-500-1e40af6979.png","tokenId":"53116547501739372759139979057007980941744602020467429259664551538013851389474","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"2294504304675220558562020037416309107457935997051664098095597871299036752474","name":"↓ $760","probability":3,"priceChange24h":-39.6,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/s-and-p-500-1e40af6979.png","tokenId":"2294504304675220558562020037416309107457935997051664098095597871299036752474","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"4451832288208196900962497964123943427051217894097270016380813086630367446607","name":"↑ $800","probability":2,"priceChange24h":0.45,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/s-and-p-500-1e40af6979.png","tokenId":"4451832288208196900962497964123943427051217894097270016380813086630367446607","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"78564753901215623006216777478156245141497469874124855546724696987143654822610","name":"↑ $790","probability":2,"priceChange24h":-5.6,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/s-and-p-500-1e40af6979.png","tokenId":"78564753901215623006216777478156245141497469874124855546724696987143654822610","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"82320012563784296007815727388021577442804185896655836776550349378197217341203","name":"↑ $795","probability":1,"priceChange24h":0.05,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/s-and-p-500-1e40af6979.png","tokenId":"82320012563784296007815727388021577442804185896655836776550349378197217341203","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"97639977562619880635728736534212656162062862792879104240742545868356252525203","name":"↑ $785","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-1.5,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/s-and-p-500-1e40af6979.png","tokenId":"97639977562619880635728736534212656162062862792879104240742545868356252525203","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"28017582421262386286105574458908303779075895347800283971537530164136877885817","name":"↓ $755","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-15.6,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/s-and-p-500-1e40af6979.png","tokenId":"28017582421262386286105574458908303779075895347800283971537530164136877885817","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"8448973637532451622854847756568048183763524069903953109725940869777189743637","name":"↓ $745","probability":1,"priceChange24h":-5.9,"icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/s-and-p-500-1e40af6979.png","tokenId":"8448973637532451622854847756568048183763524069903953109725940869777189743637","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"raw_quotes","rawSum":798,"overroundPoints":null},"priceChange24h":-39.6,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":0.024,"bestAsk":0.044,"spread":2,"spreadPoints":1.9999999999999998,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":67,"qualityTier":"medium","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"tight","liquidityTier":"high","volumeTier":"high","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":false,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":20,"externalUrl":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-spy-hit-week-of-august-31-2026","source":{"id":"polymarket","name":"Polymarket","icon":"/predictionmarkets/polymarket.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"Market-implied probability","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"ratio"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"spy-hit-price-weekly"},"directRelatedCoins":[],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":103393,"probabilityDelta":233.40000000000003,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":"polymarket","higherProbabilitySourceName":"Polymarket","comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":233.40000000000003,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":251,"maxOutcomeLabel":"↓ $765","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":251,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":"↓ $765","matchedOutcomeCount":12,"totalOutcomeCount":16,"bookStructureA":"independent","bookStructureB":"independent","comparableBooks":true},"otherSourceId":"limitless","otherSourceName":"Limitless","otherEventSlug":"what-will-sandp-500-spy-hit-week-of-august-31-2026-1788168354607","otherEventTitle":"What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of August 31 2026?"}},{"id":"10014040","slug":"what-will-sandp-500-spy-hit-week-of-august-31-2026-1788168354607","title":"What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of August 31 2026?","description":"$ee","image":"https://cdn.limitless.exchange/groups-logo/10014040/398ef66b-b5ff-44d4-8161-e9b836e14313.png","status":"open","startDate":"2026-08-31T09:27:23.955Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T20:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:40.899Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":2182.6580000000004,"volume24h":338.2189999999998,"liquidity":0,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"group:381284","name":"↓ $765","probability":100,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"54040870737300276024346267912990693520796595366939747697442993032467601780710","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"group:381285","name":"↓ $760","probability":100,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"4403356541555074880614039015096986881934262230454218712796298621430078585032","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"group:381283","name":"↑ $770","probability":100,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"71960570876994560270161524210621547517205768264411810985957169350346360365075","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"group:381282","name":"↑ $775","probability":63.7,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"60865942126214338395648458967199964276512631200658124413197459225416759152993","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"group:381288","name":"↓ $745","probability":50,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"4961004712844434387155813086321116372243524428273506592088527664460595274730","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"group:381287","name":"↓ $750","probability":50,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"91105945892757664424352073502042965655147598252606056910922562968676432968204","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"group:381279","name":"↑ $790","probability":25.1,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"74158765084487240684476659155711732861274126983555689848653252495054092481756","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"group:381290","name":"↓ $735","probability":25.1,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"73246629234962026108614115044930667744136985243263815237496512299191598547534","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"group:381289","name":"↓ $740","probability":25.1,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"42439727716582751239659755611012215299253599614012500677704169039437116627282","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"group:381281","name":"↑ $780","probability":13,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"4045534364160715963852460422497402265902450840542018509144866849824916489630","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"group:381277","name":"↑ $800","probability":2.9,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"106626145500139252752012801059806837789799964166310821916209076487043511097908","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"group:381278","name":"↑ $795","probability":2,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"35494551611001988898317259076255601954955604742379201138998295188639088451955","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"group:381286","name":"↓ $755","probability":1.7,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"847826280439716791336088793798001990929949387755004102573942611976883608666","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"group:381280","name":"↑ $785","probability":1.6,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"19303194306269956296050517792309988619692091483127039165783545627501342356491","color":null,"normalizedProbability":null}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"raw_quotes","rawSum":560.2,"overroundPoints":null},"priceChange24h":null,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":null,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"spreadPoints":null,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":28,"qualityTier":"low","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"unknown","liquidityTier":"unknown","volumeTier":"medium","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":false,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":null,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":14,"externalUrl":"https://limitless.exchange/markets/what-will-sandp-500-spy-hit-week-of-august-31-2026-1788168354607","source":{"id":"limitless","name":"Limitless","icon":"/predictionmarkets/limitless.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"On-chain prediction market on Base","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"points"},"forecasting":null,"directRelatedCoins":[],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":{"matchId":103393,"probabilityDelta":233.40000000000003,"exceedsThreshold":true,"threshold":5,"higherProbabilitySourceId":"limitless","higherProbabilitySourceName":"Limitless","comparisonSummary":{"overallDeltaPoints":233.40000000000003,"maxOutcomeDeltaPoints":251,"maxOutcomeLabel":"↓ $765","maxSharedOutcomeDeltaPoints":251,"maxSharedOutcomeLabel":"↓ $765","matchedOutcomeCount":12,"totalOutcomeCount":16,"bookStructureA":"independent","bookStructureB":"independent","comparableBooks":true},"otherSourceId":"polymarket","otherSourceName":"Polymarket","otherEventSlug":"will-spy-hit-week-of-august-31-2026","otherEventTitle":"What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of August 31 2026?"}}]},{"slug":"2026-09-04-oil-wti-price-on-september-4-5h39ks","title":"Oil (WTI) price on September 4","startDate":"2026-08-28T03:56:08.892Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T21:00:00.000Z","contentUpdatedAt":"2026-09-04T02:06:48.877Z","linkedEventCount":2,"sourceCount":1,"sources":[{"id":"gemini","name":"Gemini","icon":"/predictionmarkets/gemini.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"CFTC-regulated prediction exchange; public live quotes and rolling 24h volume","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true}],"primaryTopic":null,"linkage":{"methods":["same_family_same_day"],"approvedMatchPairCount":0,"approvedMatchEventCount":0,"sameFamilyEventCount":2},"previewEvents":[{"id":"WTI2609042100","slug":"oil-wti-price-on-september-4","title":"Oil (WTI) price on September 4?","description":"$ef","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/oil_thumb_b051e146-0bb8-480e-9a08-14ebbc9aa70c.avif","status":"open","startDate":"2026-08-28T03:56:08.892Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T21:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:21:13.565Z","ageMinutes":9,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":833.63,"volume24h":259.66,"liquidity":0,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"218899-525524","name":"$$78 or above","probability":97.5,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-WTI2609042100-HI78","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"218899-525525","name":"$$81 or above","probability":83,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-WTI2609042100-HI81","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"218899-525533","name":"$$90 or above","probability":81.5,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-WTI2609042100-HI90","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"218899-526721","name":"$$75 or above","probability":56,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-WTI2609042100-HI75","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"218899-525530","name":"$$87 or above","probability":45,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-WTI2609042100-HI87","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"218899-525527","name":"$$84 or above","probability":32,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-WTI2609042100-HI84","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"218899-550147","name":"$$99 or above","probability":5.5,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-WTI2609042100-HI99","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"218899-547307","name":"$$96 or above","probability":3,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-WTI2609042100-HI96","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"raw_quotes","rawSum":403.5,"overroundPoints":null},"priceChange24h":null,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":96,"bestAsk":99,"spread":3,"spreadPoints":3,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":46,"qualityTier":"low","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"moderate","liquidityTier":"unknown","volumeTier":"medium","flags":{"thinMarket":false,"inactiveMarket":false,"highAmbiguity":false,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":0,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":8,"externalUrl":"https://exchange.gemini.com/predictions/WTI2609042100/oil-wti-price-on-september-4","source":{"id":"gemini","name":"Gemini","icon":"/predictionmarkets/gemini.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"CFTC-regulated prediction exchange; public live quotes and rolling 24h volume","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"points"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"WTI"},"directRelatedCoins":[{"slug":"hyperliquid","symbol":"HYPE","name":"Hyperliquid","matchType":"name","price":87.34314084492998,"priceChange24h":5.98340684944674}],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":null},{"id":"BRENT2609042100","slug":"oil-brent-price-on-september-4","title":"Oil (Brent) price on September 4?","description":"$f0","image":"https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/images/oil_thumb_b051e146-0bb8-480e-9a08-14ebbc9aa70c.avif","status":"open","startDate":"2026-08-28T03:56:17.695Z","endDate":"2026-09-04T21:00:00.000Z","resolvedAt":null,"settlementWindowClosedAt":null,"resolvedAtBasis":null,"closedDetectedAt":null,"resolvedOutcomeExternalMarketId":null,"freshness":{"asOf":"2026-09-04T02:30:17.384Z","ageMinutes":0,"status":"fresh","basis":"latest_snapshot"},"volume":1446.86,"volume24h":0,"liquidity":0,"outcomes":[{"externalMarketId":"218902-525536","name":"$$90 or above","probability":89,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-BRENT2609042100-HI90","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"218902-525534","name":"$$87 or above","probability":84,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-BRENT2609042100-HI87","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"218902-525541","name":"$$93 or above","probability":68,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-BRENT2609042100-HI93","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"218902-526352","name":"$$96 or above","probability":48,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-BRENT2609042100-HI96","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"218902-546005","name":"$$99 or above","probability":12,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-BRENT2609042100-HI99","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null},{"externalMarketId":"218902-547539","name":"$$102 or above","probability":4.5,"priceChange24h":null,"icon":null,"tokenId":"GEMI-BRENT2609042100-HI102","color":"#4CAF50","normalizedProbability":null}],"probabilityBook":{"basis":"raw_quotes","rawSum":305.5,"overroundPoints":null},"priceChange24h":null,"priceChange7d":null,"bestBid":1,"bestAsk":null,"spread":null,"spreadPoints":null,"decisionSupport":{"qualityScore":22,"qualityTier":"low","qualityCapReason":null,"spreadTier":"unknown","liquidityTier":"unknown","volumeTier":"unknown","flags":{"thinMarket":true,"inactiveMarket":true,"highAmbiguity":false,"nearResolution":true,"staleData":false}},"resolutionCriteria":null,"settlementSources":null,"participantCount":0,"commentCount":null,"marketsCount":6,"externalUrl":"https://exchange.gemini.com/predictions/BRENT2609042100/oil-brent-price-on-september-4","source":{"id":"gemini","name":"Gemini","icon":"/predictionmarkets/gemini.svg","kind":"market","methodology":"CFTC-regulated prediction exchange; public live quotes and rolling 24h volume","supportsTrading":true,"supportsMarketMetrics":true,"quoteScale":"points"},"forecasting":null,"chartContext":{"seriesTicker":"BRENT"},"directRelatedCoins":[{"slug":"hyperliquid","symbol":"HYPE","name":"Hyperliquid","matchType":"name","price":87.34314084492998,"priceChange24h":5.98340684944674}],"indirectRelatedCoins":[],"divergence":null}]}],"pagination":{"limit":20,"offset":0,"hasMore":true},"meta":{"generatedAt":"2026-09-04T02:30:52.231Z","lookaheadDays":365,"minLinkedEvents":2,"minDurationHours":6,"rules":{"excludedTitlePatterns":["up or down","vs","bo3","bo5","highest temperature in"],"linkMethods":["approved_match","same_family_same_day"]}}},"paginationTranslations":{"previous_page_button":"Vai alla pagina precedente","next_page_button":"Vai alla pagina successiva","go_page":"Vai alla pagina","current_page":"Pagina corrente"},"localizationMap":{"definitions.fomc_fed_meetings.title":"FOMC / Riunioni della Fed","definitions.fomc_fed_meetings.description":"Segui i catalizzatori ricorrenti delle decisioni della Fed e delle riunioni FOMC attraverso le varie date di incontro.","definitions.fomc_fed_meetings.signals.fed_decision":"Decisione della Fed","definitions.fomc_fed_meetings.signals.fomc_meeting":"Riunione FOMC","definitions.cpi_releases.title":"Pubblicazioni CPI","definitions.cpi_releases.description":"Segui i catalizzatori ricorrenti del CPI e dell’inflazione USA nelle pubblicazioni mensili.","definitions.cpi_releases.signals.cpi_release":"Pubblicazione CPI","definitions.cpi_releases.signals.us_inflation_print":"Dato inflazione USA","definitions.gdp_releases.title":"Pubblicazioni PIL","definitions.gdp_releases.description":"Segui i catalizzatori ricorrenti del PIL nelle pubblicazioni trimestrali e annuali.","definitions.gdp_releases.signals.gdp_growth":"Crescita del PIL","definitions.gdp_releases.signals.gdp_release":"Pubblicazione del PIL","definitions.us_election_cycles.title":"Cicli Elettorali USA","definitions.us_election_cycles.description":"Segui i catalizzatori ricorrenti del ciclo elettorale USA tra midterm e presidenziali.","definitions.us_election_cycles.signals.midterms":"Midterm","definitions.us_election_cycles.signals.us_house":"Camera USA","definitions.us_election_cycles.signals.us_senate":"Senato USA","definitions.us_election_cycles.signals.presidential_election":"Elezione presidenziale","definitions.regulatory_approvals.title":"Approvazioni Regolatorie e Licenze","definitions.regulatory_approvals.description":"Segui i catalizzatori ricorrenti di approvazioni, licenze e cambi di regola nei mercati regolatori.","definitions.regulatory_approvals.signals.fda_approval":"Approvazione FDA","definitions.regulatory_approvals.signals.sec_change":"Cambiamento SEC","definitions.regulatory_approvals.signals.license_reauthorization":"Licenza / riautorizzazione"},"labels":{"backToHub":"Mercati Predittivi","title":"Calendario dei Mercati Predittivi","subtitle":"Esplora i prossimi cluster di catalizzatori costruiti da corrispondenze approvate tra fonti e famiglie di mercati dello stesso giorno.","builtFrom":"Costruito da corrispondenze approvate tra fonti e collegamenti di famiglie di titoli dello stesso giorno.","windowSummaryTemplate":"finestra di {days} g, metriche evento in {currency}","recurringCta":"Vedi famiglie ricorrenti","compareReadyStat":"Catalizzatori pronti al confronto","crossSourceStat":"Catalizzatori multi-fonte","familyOnlyStat":"Catalizzatori solo famiglia","empty":"Nessun catalizzatore imminente trovato nella finestra attuale dei mercati predittivi.","catalystsLabel":"catalizzatori","linkedMarkets":"mercati collegati","sources":"fonti","previewLabel":"Mercati collegati","compareReady":"Pronto al confronto","familyCluster":"Cluster di famiglia","sameDayFamily":"famiglia dello stesso giorno","approvedMatch":"corrispondenza approvata","gapSignal":"Gap attivo"}}]]

Calendario dei Mercati Predittivi

Calendario dei Mercati Predittivi

venerdì 4 settembre

Lowest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 3, 2026

Lowest temperature in Miami on Sep 3, 2026

Lowest temperature in Austin on Sep 3, 2026

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Sep 3, 2026

Lowest temperature in Dallas on Sep 3, 2026

Lowest temperature in Houston on Sep 3, 2026

Lowest temperature in Denver on Sep 3, 2026

Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 3, 2026

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 3, 2026

Lowest temperature in Seattle on Sep 3, 2026

August Unemployment Rate

Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season

Trump approval rating on September 4

BTC price on September 4

ETH price on September 4

SOL price on September 4

XRP price on September 4

Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 4, 2026

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of August 31 2026

Oil (WTI) price on September 4

Calendario dei Mercati Predittivi

Calendario dei Mercati Predittivi

venerdì 4 settembre

Lowest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 3, 2026

Lowest temperature in Miami on Sep 3, 2026

Lowest temperature in Austin on Sep 3, 2026

Lowest temperature in Chicago on Sep 3, 2026

Lowest temperature in Dallas on Sep 3, 2026

Lowest temperature in Houston on Sep 3, 2026

Lowest temperature in Denver on Sep 3, 2026

Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 3, 2026

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 3, 2026

Lowest temperature in Seattle on Sep 3, 2026

August Unemployment Rate

Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season

Trump approval rating on September 4

BTC price on September 4

ETH price on September 4

SOL price on September 4

XRP price on September 4

Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 4, 2026

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of August 31 2026

Oil (WTI) price on September 4