Which party will lead in RCP Congressional generic ballot polling for Nov. 3?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 20261j
PredictItVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution non vérifiéesRetail prediction exchange
Alerte qualité des donnéesPrix non significatif
Données au 2 nov. 2026, 09:14 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Dem<6.0%, Tie or GOP 0%En tête parmi 9 options
Dem<6.0%, Tie or GOP 0%Méthodologie
Retail prediction exchange
Type de question
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Volume 24h
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
27 oct. 26, 15:54 UTC3 nov. 26, 16:00 UTC
Tendances
Règles
The contract that resolves to Yes shall identify the RealClearPolling average "2026 Generic Congressional Vote" leader and spread at the End Date listed below.
- The approval rating shall be drawn from the table of individual polls, available upon launch of this market at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/state-of-the-union/generic-congressional-vote ("the Settlement Source"), as shown on devices set to Eastern Time.
Any number displayed at the Settlement Source at the End Date other than the difference between the two parties' support (currently labelled "Spread") will be irrelevant for purposes of this market.
Should the Settlement Source be unavailable at the End Date, PredictIt will, at its sole discretion, await an update, select the most recent data point in the identified series or an alternate source, or construct its own polling average.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 11/03/2026 11:00 AM (ET)
