Will Trump complete his first term?
Politique
PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Yes
Preuves de résolution limitées
CoinRithm peut afficher le résultat enregistré, mais tous les champs de règlement ne sont pas vérifiés par le fournisseur.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 100%
Qualite du marche
15 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 122 jours
Obsolète6 janv. 21, 0:0020 janv. 21, 0:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Règles
This is a market on if Donald Trump will complete his first four-year term as President of the United States without consideration for temporary incapacity.
- The resolution source for this market will be the equivalent PredictIt market, https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/5158/Will-Donald-Trump-complete-his-first-term.
- If the source market resolves as Yes, this market will also resolve to Yes.
- If it resolves to No, this market will also resolve to No.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-6.0pt54%
- Ralph Norman+7.0pt37.8%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 15,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,1 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+8.6pt79%
- October 31+20.0pt67%
- September 30+19.0pt48%
+17 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.8%
- Jon Ossoff16.8%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt13.9%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 166 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+4.0pt86%
- Yes-4.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 9,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 874,5 k €
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?
- Darline Graham, 0-3%+6.0pt18.4%
- Darline Graham, 3-6%+2.0pt15.6%
- Ralph Norman, 0-3%+3.0pt13.8%
+15 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva62.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.1pt34.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt3%
+15 résultats de plus
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout
- Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?
- Ohio Governor winner?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump complete his first term? ?
- Polymarket cote Yes à 100% au 25 avril 2026.
- Quand Will Trump complete his first term? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump complete his first term? doit être résolu le 20 janvier 2021.
- Comment Will Trump complete his first term? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This is a market on if Donald Trump will complete his first four-year term as President of the United States without consideration for temporary incapacity.