Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Politique
PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Yes (100%)
Résolu: 22 avr. 2026, 03:51
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Probabilité implicite actuelleOui 100%+0.2pt
Qualite du marche
15 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
0 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
-
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 106 jours
Obsolète26 févr. 26, 23:0521 avr. 26, 0:00
Tendances
100%
0%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Comparer les plateformes· Yes
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketCette pageMeilleur global | Faible | 100% | — | 0 € | 0 € | il y a 106 jours | |
 Kalshi80% de correspondance · vérifié | Faible | 82% | — | 0 € | 0 € | il y a 97 jours | Ouvrir → |
 Manifold Markets80% de correspondance · lié | — | 100% | — | — | — | il y a 96 jours | Ouvrir → |
 PredictIt78% de correspondance · vérifié | — | 92% | — | — | — | il y a 97 jours | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Fermés
Résolu
Oui (82%)
-1.0pt82%
18%
15 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total0 €
Volume 24h0 €
KALSHIÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets
Will the Virginia Redistricting Referendum Pass?
Fermés
Résolu
Oui (100%)
100%
0%
Prévision communautaire192 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSÉgalement disponible sur PredictIt
Will Virginia pass a redistricting referendum in 2026?
Fermés
Résolu
Oui (92%)
+12.0pt92%
-12.0pt8%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITRègles
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote.
- If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote.
- If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.