Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5?
Politique
PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: No
Résolu: 6 mars 2024, 07:01
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 100%
Qualite du marche
15 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 122 jours
Obsolète15 nov. 23, 19:405 mars 24, 0:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Manchin (D-WV) announces that he is running for president of the United States of America in 2024, by March 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Joe Manchin will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed to run for president of the United States, or whether he actually files to run for president in the future.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Joe Manchin (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or his legal representation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 100% au 25 avril 2026.
- Quand Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5? doit être résolu le 5 mars 2024.
- Comment Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Manchin (D-WV) announces that he is running for president of the United States of America in 2024, by March 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.