Will Donald Trump announce he is running for president by November 15?
Politique
PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Yes
Preuves de résolution limitées
CoinRithm peut afficher le résultat enregistré, mais tous les champs de règlement ne sont pas vérifiés par le fournisseur.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 100%
Qualite du marche
15 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
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Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 123 jours
Obsolète8 nov. 22, 0:0015 nov. 22, 0:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Règles
Speculation that Donald Trump will announce he is running for President of the United States received a heavy boost when he stated in a rally on November 7, 2022: "I'm going to be making a very big announcement on Tuesday, Nov. 15 at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach, Florida."
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald John Trump announces that he is running for president of the United States of America by November 15, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Donald Trump will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed to run for president of the United States, or whether he actually files to run for president in the future.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Donald Trump (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or his legal representation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
