Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in October?
Weather
PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: No
Résolu: 1 nov. 2023, 06:06
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 100%
Qualite du marche
15 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 123 jours
Obsolète28 sept. 23, 19:5631 oct. 23, 0:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between October 1 and October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET as described in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/).
- If no tropical systems make landfall in the conterminous United States at hurricane status within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market may only resolve to "No" after October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met.
- For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL , and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall.
- This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
Marchés ouverts
WeatherPOLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?
- 29°C+86.2pt99%
- 30°C-37.5pt1%
- 24°C or below0%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 99 k €
- Volume 24h
- 84,2 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 26, 2026?
- 86° to 87°64.5%
- 88° to 89°16.8%
- 84° to 85°9.3%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 75,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 75,6 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Aug 26, 2026?
- Miami80%
- New Orleans61%
- Atlanta59%
+17 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 53,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 53,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhere will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall?
- China+5.1pt90.6%
- South Korea+1.5pt6.6%
- Japan-36.1pt2.8%
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 26?
- 32°C+55.8pt100%
- 27°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 28°C-0.1pt0%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Singapore on August 26?
- 31°C+75.5pt100%
- 27°C or below0%
- 28°C-0.3pt0%
+8 résultats de plus
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 26?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 26?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on August 26?
- Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 26?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on August 26?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 26?
- Highest temperature in London on August 26?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in October? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 100% au 25 avril 2026.
- Quand Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in October? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in October? doit être résolu le 31 octobre 2023.
- Comment Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in October? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between October 1 and October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET as described in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2023/).