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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Middle East
  3. Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

1.0% (24h)One-OffMiddle East18j
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Bahrain
Bahrain 39%+31.0%
En tête parmi 19 options
Qualite du marche

73 / 100

Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h

33,7 k €

Liquidité

96,9 k €

Liquidité élevée
Achat / Vente

6.0% / 9.0%

Spread

50.0%

Spread large
Variation 7j

+1.0%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes

22 mai 26, 21:3630 juin 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Bahrain39%

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz.
  • Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
  • For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman.
  • Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.

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Actualités Associées

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Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz.
  • Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
  • For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman.
  • Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.