PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
No Atlantic hurricane will form in September 57.6%+28.0ptEn tête parmi 6 options
Qualité du marché
72 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,9 k €
Liquidité
8,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
4 sept. 26, 16:02 UTC1 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will the next Atlantic hurricane form?
KalshiWhen will the next Category 5 hurricane form?
KalshiHow many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
PolymarketWill at least 5 hurricanes form in the Atlantic Basin in 2026?
ForecastExWill at least 7 hurricanes form in the Atlantic Basin in 2026?
ForecastExWill at least 9 hurricanes form in the Atlantic Basin in 2026?
ForecastExRègles
This market resolves based on when the first Atlantic hurricane forms in 2026, as classified by the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC).
- Each bracket is inclusive of both its start and end dates, evaluated in U.S. Eastern Time (ET).
- The bracket containing the date of the first qualifying NHC advisory will resolve "Yes", and all other brackets will resolve "No".
- A tropical cyclone is considered a hurricane when it has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale).
- A system is considered to have "formed" as a hurricane at the date and time of the first NHC public advisory that classifies a system in the Atlantic basin as a hurricane.
- Resolution is based on that first advisory, regardless of any later downward revision or reclassification.