PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
America / American 20+ times 83%+0.5ptEn tête parmi 20 options
Qualité du marché
52 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
3,1 k €
Liquidité
13,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
7.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
3 sept. 26, 22:38 UTC10 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
KalshiWhat will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
PolymarketWhat will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 1)?
PolymarketWhat will Trump say during the RNC Midterm Convention (Night 1)?
KalshiWhat will Anna Paulina Luna say during RNC Midterm Convention?
KalshiWill MS Now show Trumps full 2026 RNC convention speech?
Manifold MarketsRègles
JD Vance is scheduled to give remarks at the RNC Convention on September 9, 2026 at 10 AM ET.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during the specified appearance.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
- This market is explicitly about JD Vance's remarks at the RNC Convention scheduled for September 9, 2026.
- Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
- If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour What will JD Vance say during RNC Convention? ?
- Polymarket cote America / American 20+ times à 83% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand What will JD Vance say during RNC Convention? sera-t-il résolu ?
- What will JD Vance say during RNC Convention? doit être résolu le 10 septembre 2026.
- Comment What will JD Vance say during RNC Convention? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : JD Vance is scheduled to give remarks at the RNC Convention on September 9, 2026 at 10 AM ET.
- Où What will JD Vance say during RNC Convention? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi.