PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Category 4 94.2%+0.9ptEn tête parmi 5 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Category 4 94.2%+0.9ptQualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
3,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
0.9 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
24 sept. 26, 19:36 UTC16 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 0,1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Hurricane Nolo category?
KalshiWill Hilo record the highest wind gust from Hurricane Nolo?
ForecastExWill Honolulu record the highest wind gust from Hurricane Nolo?
ForecastExWill Kahului record the highest wind gust from Hurricane Nolo?
ForecastExHow strong will Rachel be?
PolymarketHow strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by October 31?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve according to the peak intensity of Nolo.
- Peak intensity means the highest Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale category assigned to Nolo in any Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory issued for the storm.
- The category is stated in the advisory and is determined by maximum sustained wind speed (1-minute average): Category 1 is 74 to 95 mph, the named outcome is 96 to 110 mph, the named outcome is 111 to 129 mph, the named outcome is 130 to 156 mph, and the named outcome is 157 mph or greater.
- Each category includes both of its stated bounds, so every possible peak wind speed falls in exactly one category.
- If Nolo never reaches Category 1 strength, "the named outcome" will resolve to "Yes".
- Wind speeds will be used exactly as published, without rounding.