KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
78° or below 45.2%En tête parmi 6 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
78° or below 45.2%Qualité du marché
72 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
7,8 k €
Intérêt ouvert
6,7 k €
Intérêt ouvert moyenÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
30 sept. 26, 14:00 UTC2 oct. 26, 08:00 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 5m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 30, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on October 1?
PolymarketLowest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 30, 2026?
KalshiWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 80 F on September 30, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 81 F on September 30, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 79 F on September 30, 2026? (maximum) (max) (hottest)?
ForecastExRègles
If the maximum temperature recorded at Los Angeles (CLILAX) for Oct 1, 2026, is less than 79° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.
Règles de chaque résultat
- 78° or below
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Los Angeles (CLILAX) for Oct 1, 2026, is less than 79° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 79° to 80°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Los Angeles (CLILAX) for Oct 1, 2026, is between 79-80° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 81° to 82°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Los Angeles (CLILAX) for Oct 1, 2026, is between 81-82° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 83° to 84°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Los Angeles (CLILAX) for Oct 1, 2026, is between 83-84° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 85° to 86°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Los Angeles (CLILAX) for Oct 1, 2026, is between 85-86° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 87° or above
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Los Angeles (CLILAX) for Oct 1, 2026, is greater than 86° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.