PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Democrat 95%En tête parmi 13 options
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
28,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeSpread
2.0 pt
Spread modéréComments
0
Variation 7j
+1.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 minutes
13 oct. 25, 21:063 nov. 26, 0:00
Tendances
0%
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0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
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0%
Règles
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Référence CoinRithm Mark Warner 96% · 2 plateformes · bande de 1 pt
- Également disponible sur Smarkets — Virginia Senate Election Winner · Democrat 95%
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Virginia Senate winner? · Mark Warner 95%
- Également disponible sur Gemini — Virginia US Senate Winner · Mark Warner 96%
Marchés ouverts
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Jon Ossoff16.2%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt15.2%
+44 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 160,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 845,4 k €
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham+2.0pt64.2%
- Ralph Norman-4.0pt27.5%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 11,5 M €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom15%
- Jon Ossoff+0.2pt14%
+125 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva62.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro32.4%
- Renan Santos+0.2pt4.9%
+29 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio+0.4pt12%
+125 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance-1.0pt45.3%
- Marco Rubio-3.0pt21.1%
- Ron DeSantis-0.2pt5.3%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 50,3 M €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Virginia Senate Election Winner ?
- Polymarket cote Democrat à 95% au 21 août 2026.
- Quand Virginia Senate Election Winner sera-t-il résolu ?
- Virginia Senate Election Winner doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment Virginia Senate Election Winner est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
- Où Virginia Senate Election Winner est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Smarkets, Kalshi, Gemini.