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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Middle East
  3. US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

4.0% (24h)One-OffMiddle East18j
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 16%-0.0%
Qualite du marche

89 / 100

Haute qualité
Volume 24h

412,3 k €

Liquidité

122 k €

Liquidité élevée
Achat / Vente

15.0% / 16.0%

Spread

6.7%

Spread modéré
Variation 7j

-15.0%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 1 minute

17 déc. 25, 22:5430 juin 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes16%

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.

Marchés Associés

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July 31: 56%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

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Manifold Markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? [Polymarket]

18,4 k €
Oui: 5.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

US - Iran nuclear deal by end of June?

12,2 k €
Oui: 3%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Iran actually participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

11,8 k €
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Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,710.12+2.15%EthereumETH$1,652.78+1.48%SolanaSOL$65.08+1.65%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+1.44%XRPXRP$1.11+0.28%BNBBNB$595.48+1.63%

Actualités Associées

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsBlackRock warns of energy shock as May CPI is set to show acceleration in inflationCoindeskThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsNo-win bets keep Iran regime change odds high as market eyes 2027Blockchain.NewsBitcoin pump to $63,700 triggers the most short liquidations since late AprilCoindeskMajor cryptocurrencies under pressure as oil jumps 3%Coindesk

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.