PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 68%+33.0pt
Qualite du marche
38 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
130,4 €
Liquidité
951,7 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
26.0% / 38.0%
Spread
12.0 pt
Spread largeComments
0
Variation 7j
-37.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
20 juil. 26, 19:541 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List").
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe.
- If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
Marchés ouverts
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+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
- 8,4 k €
KALSHIHow low will the S&P get this year?
- 6,300 or below+6.0pt23%
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- 6,100 or below15%
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- Volume total
- 687,1 k €
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- Greed-2.0pt54.5%
- Neutral+20.0pt43.1%
- Extreme Greed-6.0pt0.8%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHow high will the S&P get this year?
- 7,800 or above99%
- 8,000 or above-0.4pt64%
- 8,200 or above-2.2pt36%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 915,3 k €
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- AI / Artificial Intelligence-9.0pt70%
- Independent / Independence70%
+17 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 39 k €
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60+2.0pt46%
- Above $4.80+7.0pt40%
- Above $5.0028%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Which companies will conduct layoffs this year?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- ISM Services PMI - August 2026
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- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour US bank failure by December 31, 2026? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 68% au 21 août 2026.
- Quand US bank failure by December 31, 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- US bank failure by December 31, 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment US bank failure by December 31, 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List").