PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleJuly 31 22%+17.0%En tête parmi 3 options
Qualite du marche
89 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
90,9 k €
Liquidité
42,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
21.0% / 22.0%
Spread
4.8%
Spread modéréVariation 7j
+13.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
22 juin 26, 19:4031 juil. 26, 23:59
Tendances
0%
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
July 3122%
Tendance du volume
$103.7k2 juil.7j de données8 juil.
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On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a memorandum of understanding ending the immediate conflict and establishing a 60-day framework for negotiating a final agreement.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces its termination of participation in the negotiation process toward the final agreement contemplated by the June 14, 2026 MOU between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A termination means a definitive end to the United States' participation in the negotiation process as a whole.
- A temporary suspension, pause, or adjournment of negotiations, however open-ended or indefinite, does not constitute a termination unless it is itself clearly and unambiguously framed as a definitive end to participation.
- A conditional withdrawal, in which the United States announces it is ending participation subject to or contingent on any future event or condition, does not constitute termination.