PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleRepublican Party 92%+2.5%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualite du marche
91 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
2,3 k €
Liquidité
51,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
91.0% / 92.0%
Spread
1.1%
Spread serréVariation 7j
+2.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
28 janv. 26, 22:343 nov. 26, 0:00
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Republican Party92%
Comparer les plateformes· Republican Party
Trié par volume 24 h| Plateforme | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketCette pageLa plus active | 92% | — | 2,3 k € | 51,5 k € | il y a 8 minutes | |
 Kalshi | 93% | — | 0 € | 1,4 k € | il y a 4 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Kalshi
TX-04 House winner?
1a
11%
93%
24 • Faible qualitéSpread largeFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total1,9 k €
Volume 24h0 €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$2.6k6 juil.3j de données8 juil.
Marchés Associés
Will Graham Platner drop out?
2 M €Before Jul 14, 2026: 96%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Graham Platner drop out by...?
382,1 k €November 2: 97%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Maine Senate Election Winner
37,9 k €Democrat: 62%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
26,5 k €At least 1%: 66%KALSHI
KALSHI
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
22,9 k €Democrats Sweep: 44%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Georgia Governor winner?
11,9 k €Rick Jackson: 52%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Ripple, Coinbase among top donors in crypto’s $189 million election spending: reportThe Block
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.News
Ripple-backed PACs fuel record $189M crypto election spendingCrypto News
Eizenkot kicks off election bid as Polymarket puts him at 40% to lead IsraelBlockchain.News.jpg)
Supreme Court mail-ballot ruling lifts Lula to 55.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.NewsRègles
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.