PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
38.0–38.4 67.3%+40.0ptEn tête parmi 6 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
58 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
2,3 k €
Liquidité
2,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
7 sept. 26, 16:04 UTC11 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/4-9/11)
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?
Manifold MarketsWhat will President Trump's RCP job approval rating be on Sept. 9?
PredictItTrump's DDHQ job approval rating on Sept. 11?
PredictItTrump approval Up or Down this week?
PolymarketHow high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
- Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
- Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
- The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.).
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Trump's approval rating on Sep 11, 2026? · 39.7 to 39.9 26%
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3 k €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Trump approval rating on September 11? ?
- Polymarket cote 38.0–38.4 à 67% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Trump approval rating on September 11? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Trump approval rating on September 11? doit être résolu le 11 septembre 2026.
- Comment Trump approval rating on September 11? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
- Où Trump approval rating on September 11? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi.