PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 83.2%-2.0pt
Qualité du marché
37 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
955,5 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
12.0% / 21.0%
Écart
9.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
2
Variation 7j
-0.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 25 minutes
16 déc. 25, 0:361 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.7pt100%
- Seth Moulton-0.6pt0%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 3,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.4%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.3%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 180,4 M €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56%
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.3pt39%
- Renan Santos+0.7pt3%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt61%
- October 31+1.5pt39%
- September 30-1.0pt20%
+17 résultats de plus
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Next French Presidential Election
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 83% au 1 septembre 2026.
- Quand Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.