PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleOui 0%
Qualite du marche
73 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
225,8 k €
Liquidité
323,1 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
0.3% / 0.4%
Spread
33.3%
Spread largeVariation 7j
-18.1%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
25 juin 26, 18:267 juil. 26, 23:59
Tendances
0%
100%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes0%
Également disponible sur Manifold Markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? [Polymarket]
2j
4.8%
95.2%
Prévision communautaire40 prévisionnistesType: binary
Volume total8,7 k €
Volume 24h368,8 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and July 7, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Grosses transactions
$2.5k99.2%Nokukasistakenhier
$23.8k99.0%No0x0c0e…434eavant-hier
$9.5k98.0%No0x9631…89a1-3 j
$4.5k95.0%Nomr.ozi-4 j
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and July 7, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.