Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of October 6, 2026
Amérique latineOne-OffMétéoEn attente de résolution
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Idaho 96%En tête parmi 40 options
Idaho 96%Qualité du marché
34 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
1,5 k €
Liquidité
457,2 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
49.9 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
1 oct. 26, 13:00 UTC8 oct. 26, 13:00 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 0,1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a robot demonstrate exceptional speed, versatility, and performance in extreme environments by 2040?
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KalshiWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 10% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 15% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 20% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExWill the percentage of the US experiencing drought conditions exceed 25% on August 17, 2027?
ForecastExRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed state that has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 6, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
- States appear only during the months in which they plausibly reach D4, so this event's roster changes through the year. 40 of the 48 coterminous states are in season for October: Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, the named outcome, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, the named outcome, the named outcome, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, Washington, the named outcome, Wisconsin, Wyoming.
- A state absent from this event is not making any claim about that state's drought — it simply has no market this week.
- Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.